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116 N Griffin St
B- Composite 67.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$28,900

116 N Griffin St · Macomb, IL 61455
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1930 5,340 sqft lot $30/sqft · 44% below area ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sitting on large lot. Big eat-in kitchen with lots of cabinets and unfinished basement. 2 car detached garage. This one has good bones, lots of potential! Close to shopping, transportation, make your appointment today

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Large lot
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

LARGE LOTEAT-IN KITCHENUNFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGECLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO TRANSPORTATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($915 rent vs $29k).
  • Recommended offer: $27k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 6.0% in Macomb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
  • Macomb CUSD 185 (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #410 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elem School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 548 students, 0% FRL); Edison Elementary School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #438 of 665 statewide, top 67%, 432 students, 0% FRL); Macomb Senior High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 622 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $867 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $27,166 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.16%
Cap rate
25.33%
Cash-on-cash
68.01%
DSCR
4.03
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,576
List price
$28,900
Delta
-60.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1216 E Carroll St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,012 (+6%) 8mo $72,000 $71 75
316 N Monroe St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (-3%) 15mo $40,000 $43 59
316 N Monroe St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (-3%) 15mo $40,000 $43 59
702 S Pearl St 0.69mi 3/1.0 936 (-2%) 10mo $140,000 $150 53
1625 E Murray St 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (+9%) 2mo $92,000 $88 52
730 E Franklin St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 989 (+4%) 16mo $40,000 $40 40
601 Compton Pkwy 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 887 (-7%) 11mo $120,000 $135 38
318 N Monroe St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-14%) 22mo $30,250 $37 34
1528 E Pierce St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+11%) 20mo $50,000 $47 33
1022 E Oak St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 891 (-6%) 18mo $112,000 $126 31
310 S Madison St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 820 (-14%) 8mo $21,000 $26 31
920 N State St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-14%) 7mo $53,000 $65 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.5%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$24,578
Equity at exit
$4,309
10-year hold
IRR
71.7%
Equity multiple
8.32×
Total profit
$59,229
Equity at exit
$2,499

Cash invested: $8,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61455

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$915 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$152
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$192
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $334
Max offer price $28,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $475 -5% $467 +0% $459 +5% $450 +10% $442
Rent -10% $386 -5% $422 +0% $459 +5% $495 +10% $531
Rate -1.0pp $473 -0.5pp $466 base $459 +0.5pp $451 +1.0pp $443

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,225
Closing costs
$867
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
902 N Charles St Macomb, IL 2.0 1.5 840 $695 $0.83 45d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,900 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,900 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $28,900 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $28,900 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $28,900 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $28,900 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $28,900 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $28,900 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $28,900 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $28,900 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $28,900 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,900 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,900 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,900 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    price $28,900 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Come take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sitting on large lot. Big eat-in kitchen with lots of cabinets and unfinished basement. 2 car detached garage. This one has good bones, lots of potential! Close to shopping, transportation, make your appointment today

  16. 2026-03-28
    listed $29,900 Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Come take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sitting on large lot. Big eat-in kitchen with lots of cabinets and unfinished basement. 2 car detached garage. This one has good bones, lots of potential! Close to shopping, transportation, make your appointment today

  17. 2014-07-24
    soldstatus $44,000 2-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2 chars)

    CL

  18. 2011-05-31
    listed $54,900 2-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2 chars)

    CL

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,974
− Mortgage interest
−$1,619
− Property taxes
−$1,203
− Insurance
−$144
− Repairs & maintenance
−$878
− Management
−$878
− Depreciation
−$841
Taxable income
$5,411
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,299
After-tax cash flow
$4,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Macomb CUSD 185
NCES district ID
1723920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,162
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8927
State rank
#410 of 620 in IL

Livability — Macomb

Score
70/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#7918

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Macomb, IL
County
McDonough County · 17,317 people
City population
17,317
Metro
Macomb, IL
Population (ZIP)
17,317
Household income
$48,679
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
1062.0

Population outlook (McDonough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,242 people
By 2030
33,318 · +0.2%
By 2040
33,520 · +0.8%
By 2050
33,630 · +1.2%
By 2075
33,657 · +1.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McDonough

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.7% · R 58.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+16.6 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+1.5 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.20%
Current HPI
140.4351
Rent YoY
Metro
Macomb, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $28,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-24 Sold (MLS) $44,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-31 Listed $54,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,203 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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