13325 US Highway 331 · Defuniak Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer-Upper brick home near Paxton. 4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms on 1 acre. Being sold ''AS IS''. Cash contract only.
Key facts
- Exit door to deck
- New breakfast bar
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: Subdivision: METES & BOUNDS
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Utilities: Electric service; Private well water; Septic tank; Electric water heater
- Home design: Ranch-style, single-story home; Built in 1977
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Shingle roof details not provided
- Exterior features: Porch / covered porch; Yard building; Partially fenced lot; Cleared, level lot; Paved road frontage (state road / U.S. highway access); Survey available
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the first floor with walk-in closet; Other bedrooms located on the first floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with double vanity, Hollywood-style vanity, and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heat pump (air-to-air, multi-zone)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Newly painted; Split bedroom layout; Washer/dryer hookup; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first floor with pantry; Washer/dryer hookup available; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-439 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (25.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (43.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (43.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Maude Saunders Elementary School (math 58% / reading 52%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 553 students, 87% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $305k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.17%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 14.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $137,992
- Equity at exit
- $274,768
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.01×
- Total profit
- $428,030
- Equity at exit
- $592,548
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32433
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 423
- Price-to-rent
- 14.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,728 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-266 | -5% $-353 | +0% $-439 | +5% $-525 | +10% $-612 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-575 | -5% $-507 | +0% $-439 | +5% $-371 | +10% $-302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-285 | -0.5pp $-361 | base $-439 | +0.5pp $-518 | +1.0pp $-598 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $305,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$305,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,532 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,600/yr (+$133/mo · 171.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$10,995
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,639
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — Defuniak Springs
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #14475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 19,746
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,746
- Household income
- $52,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.77%
- Current HPI
- 367.046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+221.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $305,000 ECAR
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $315,000 ECAR
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $325,000 ECAR
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $350,000 ECAR
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $360,000 ECAR
- 2026-02-05 Listed $399,900 ECAR
- 2025-11-07 Sold (MLS) $115,000 ECAR
- 2025-10-31 Delisted — ECAR
- 2025-10-24 Listed $140,000 ECAR
- 2025-09-02 Pending — ECAR
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $450,000 ECAR
- 2024-11-11 Relisted — ECAR
- 2024-10-22 Price Changed $515,000 ECAR
- 2024-05-10 Listed $710,000 ECAR
- 2017-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-09 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 2015-07-10 Listed $95,000 NAMLS
- 2015-07-10 Listed $95,000 ECAR
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2025): $932 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…