12 Church St · Pulaski, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2 bath property in Pulaski! Ample space inside and out, with proximity to premier recreation areas like the Salmon River and extensive snowmobile trails
Key facts
- Snowmobile trails
- Salmon river
- 0.53 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: One story; Existing property condition
- Construction: Wood siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Flag lot; Residential lot; Road frontage on a city street; Lot dimensions approximately 99 x 200; Lot size about 0.53 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 9 total rooms including living spaces and great room
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Great room; Has basement (partial); 1 fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.3% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#302 in NY, #4,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Pulaski Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #377 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.19%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,750
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 James St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,057 (-6%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $122 | 82 |
| 16 Coho St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,228 (+2%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $125 | 74 |
| 4004 Port St | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,160 (-1%) | 12mo | $231,000 | $107 | 68 |
| 40 Park St | 0.24mi | 4/1.5 | 2,058 (-6%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $75 | 66 |
| 28 Coho St | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,966 (-10%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 91 North St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 2,288 (+5%) | 2mo | $464,900 | $203 | 58 |
| 4747 Salina St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 | 1,979 (-9%) | 8mo | $171,000 | $86 | 54 |
| 17 Forest Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,920 (-12%) | 20mo | $200,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 7 View Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,855 (-15%) | 1mo | $292,000 | $157 | 51 |
| 4069 Port St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 2,388 (+9%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $142 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $62,925
- Equity at exit
- $72,963
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.25×
- Total profit
- $166,019
- Equity at exit
- $145,664
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13142
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,616 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $686 | -5% $654 | +0% $358 | +5% $332 | +10% $305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $231 | -5% $295 | +0% $358 | +5% $422 | +10% $486 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $406 | -0.5pp $383 | base $358 | +0.5pp $334 | +1.0pp $309 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $94,900 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $94,900 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active 185-char remark
-
2026-05-15$99,900 Active 180-char remark
-
2026-03-02status Pending 185-char remark
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2026-01-31historical Active Under Contract 185-char remark
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2026-01-31historical 185-char remark
-
2026-01-14price $99,900 185-char remark
-
2025-12-17$109,900 Active 185-char remark
-
2025-11-07status Active
-
2025-10-24status Active
-
2025-10-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-18$109,900 Active
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-10-08price $109,900
-
2025-09-15price $129,900
-
2025-09-10price $129,900
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2025-07-22status Active
-
2025-07-17$149,900 Active
-
2025-07-17$149,900 Active
-
2015-11-17soldstatus $90,000
-
2015-11-16soldstatus $90,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2015-09-12historical Under Contract- Do Not Show
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2015-08-25price $94,900
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2015-08-24status Active
-
2015-08-13historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2015-06-22price $99,900
-
2015-06-01$104,900 Active
-
2000-10-13soldstatus $79,500
-
1995-06-23soldstatus $73,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,571 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,571 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$4,571
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,551
- − Management
- −$1,551
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $3,167
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$760
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623880
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,689
- Composite
- 43.06/100
- National rank
- #3095
- State rank
- #377 of 590 in NY
Livability — Pulaski
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #4860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pulaski, NY
- City population
- 6,568
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,568
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.13%
- Current HPI
- 294.1918
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+30.0% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-06-05 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $94,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-22 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2026-03-02 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-01-31 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $109,900 CNYIS
- 2025-11-07 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-10-23 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-10-18 Listed $109,900 CNYIS
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $109,900 CNYIS
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $129,900 Global MLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $129,900 CNYIS
- 2025-07-22 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $149,900 Global MLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2015-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2015-11-16 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CNYIS
- 2015-09-12 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2015-08-25 Price Changed $94,900 CNYIS
- 2015-08-24 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2015-08-13 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2015-06-22 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2015-06-01 Listed $104,900 CNYIS
- 2000-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
- 1995-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,571 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…