471 Woodpark Dr · Point Pleasant, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts over 1800 sf of living space & plenty of parking! Conveniently located near multiple beaches, restaurants, & shopping, this spacious home also offers a secondary, first-floor kitchenette, perfect for multi-generational living. Huge storage shed to keep your bikes & beach chairs! Great primary residence, summer escape, or investment property. Please note this home also has a second address associated with it, 472 Mantoloking Rd. Buyer to consult municipality with any questions.
Key facts
- Huge storage shed
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $449k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $449k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.8% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in NJ, #3,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Brick Township Public School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #330 of 472 in NJ (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,030/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 404% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $449k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.42%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $596,050
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Reservation Row | 0.26mi | 4/1.5 | 1,704 (-7%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $252 | 73 |
| 9 Bayberry Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,748 (-5%) | 2mo | $650,000 | $372 | 64 |
| 442 Mamie Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 1,956 (+7%) | 9mo | $618,500 | $316 | 58 |
| 42 Arbutus Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (-6%) | 7mo | $425,000 | $248 | 52 |
| 593 Leanora St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,740 (-5%) | 2mo | $565,000 | $325 | 52 |
| 455 Mamie Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (-10%) | 7mo | $650,000 | $393 | 50 |
| 334 Alden St | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 | 1,680 (-8%) | 9mo | $400,000 | $238 | 48 |
| 636 Donald St | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 | 1,560 (-15%) | 4mo | $660,000 | $423 | 46 |
| 618 Leanora St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-13%) | 8mo | $568,750 | $355 | 38 |
| 458 Drum Point Rd | 0.75mi | 4/1.5 | 1,602 (-13%) | 8mo | $419,000 | $262 | 35 |
| 621 Preston St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,584 (-14%) | 8mo | $485,000 | $306 | 35 |
| 594 Donald St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,573 (-14%) | 9mo | $536,000 | $341 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $36,845
- Equity at exit
- $66,947
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $173,365
- Equity at exit
- $38,821
Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08723
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,030 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,355
- Tax from tax record
- −$502 /mo · $6,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,266
- Net cashflow
- $1,720
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,974 | -5% $1,847 | +0% $1,720 | +5% $1,593 | +10% $1,466 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,244 | -5% $1,482 | +0% $1,720 | +5% $1,958 | +10% $2,196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,946 | -0.5pp $1,834 | base $1,720 | +0.5pp $1,604 | +1.0pp $1,485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,250
- Closing costs
- $13,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Navarra Dr Brick, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $3,700 | $2.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 58 E Lagoona Dr Brick, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $11,000 | $7.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 632 Drum Point Rd Brick, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $5,850 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
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2026-04-10$449,000 Active
-
1987-05-22soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,020 · $502/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,600 · $717/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,580/yr (+$215/mo · 42.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,151
- − Property taxes
- −$6,020
- − Insurance
- −$2,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,788
- − Management
- −$5,788
- − Depreciation
- −$13,062
- Taxable income
- $14,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,432
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brick Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402220
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,717
- Composite
- 28.31/100
- National rank
- #6785
- State rank
- #330 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Point Pleasant
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #3574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- City population
- 25,732
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,141
- Household income
- $108,643
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -454.38%
- Current HPI
- 350.5719
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+290.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $449,000 MOMLS
- 1987-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,020 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…