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471 Woodpark Dr
B+ Composite 75.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$449,000

471 Woodpark Dr · Point Pleasant, NJ 08723
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,834 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1970 4,791 sqft lot Est $596k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts over 1800 sf of living space & plenty of parking! Conveniently located near multiple beaches, restaurants, & shopping, this spacious home also offers a secondary, first-floor kitchenette, perfect for multi-generational living. Huge storage shed to keep your bikes & beach chairs! Great primary residence, summer escape, or investment property. Please note this home also has a second address associated with it, 472 Mantoloking Rd. Buyer to consult municipality with any questions.

Key facts

  • Huge storage shed
  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970

Tags

FIRST FLOOR KITCHENETTEHUGE STORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $449k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $449k).
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.8% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in NJ, #3,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Brick Township Public School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #330 of 472 in NJ (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,030/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 404% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $449k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $449,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.89%
Cash-on-cash
16.42%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$596,050
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
61 Reservation Row 0.26mi 4/1.5 1,704 (-7%) 1mo $430,000 $252 73
9 Bayberry Ave 0.42mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,748 (-5%) 2mo $650,000 $372 64
442 Mamie Dr 0.47mi 4/2.5 1,956 (+7%) 9mo $618,500 $316 58
42 Arbutus Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,715 (-6%) 7mo $425,000 $248 52
593 Leanora St 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,740 (-5%) 2mo $565,000 $325 52
455 Mamie Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,656 (-10%) 7mo $650,000 $393 50
334 Alden St 0.61mi 4/1.5 1,680 (-8%) 9mo $400,000 $238 48
636 Donald St 0.51mi 4/1.5 1,560 (-15%) 4mo $660,000 $423 46
618 Leanora St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-13%) 8mo $568,750 $355 38
458 Drum Point Rd 0.75mi 4/1.5 1,602 (-13%) 8mo $419,000 $262 35
621 Preston St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,584 (-14%) 8mo $485,000 $306 35
594 Donald St 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,573 (-14%) 9mo $536,000 $341 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$36,845
Equity at exit
$66,947
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$173,365
Equity at exit
$38,821

Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08723

Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,030 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,355
Tax from tax record
$502 /mo · $6,020/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,266
Net cashflow
$1,720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,852
Max offer price $449,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,974 -5% $1,847 +0% $1,720 +5% $1,593 +10% $1,466
Rent -10% $1,244 -5% $1,482 +0% $1,720 +5% $1,958 +10% $2,196
Rate -1.0pp $1,946 -0.5pp $1,834 base $1,720 +0.5pp $1,604 +1.0pp $1,485

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,250
Closing costs
$13,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
31 Navarra Dr Brick, NJ 3.0 2.0 1572 $3,700 $2.35 17d 1 1.36mi
58 E Lagoona Dr Brick, NJ 4.0 2.0 1483 $11,000 $7.42 2d 1 1.40mi
632 Drum Point Rd Brick, NJ 4.0 3.0 2300 $5,850 $2.54 2d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $449,000 Active
  3. 1987-05-22
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,020 · $502/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,600 · $717/mo
Expected delta
+$2,580/yr (+$215/mo · 42.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$72,354
− Mortgage interest
−$25,151
− Property taxes
−$6,020
− Insurance
−$2,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,788
− Management
−$5,788
− Depreciation
−$13,062
Taxable income
$14,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,432
After-tax cash flow
$17,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brick Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3402220
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$68,717
Composite
28.31/100
National rank
#6785
State rank
#330 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Point Pleasant

Score
76/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#3574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
City population
25,732
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
32,141
Household income
$108,643
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -454.38%
Current HPI
350.5719
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+290.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $449,000 MOMLS
  • 1987-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,020 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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