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112 Hartson Dr
C- Composite 51.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$264,990

112 Hartson Dr · Taylor, TX 76574
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,749 sqft · Other · 72 Days on market
Built 2026 3,746 sqft lot $71/sqft · 37% below area Est $419k · 37% under $54/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Only Premier Builder offering the most included features within 5 miles of Samsung. This thoughtfully designed home showcases numerous upgrades throughout, including enhanced flooring with upgraded LVP and plush carpet, stylish upgraded tile, and elevated hardware finishes that add a touch of sophistication to every space. Enjoy the convenience of a pre-plumbed water softener loop and the rare advantage of being the only new build in Taylor offering natural gas—great for cooking enthusiasts and energy efficiency. With quality craftsmanship and high-end features included, this home stands out as a must-see opportunity in a rapidly growing area.

Key facts

  • Upgraded lvp
  • Plush carpet
  • Natural gas

Tags

UPGRADED LVPPLUSH CARPETSTYLISH UPGRADED TILEELEVATED HARDWARE FINISHESNATURAL GAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.3% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#312 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Taylor ISD (town): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #726 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Naomi Pasemann El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 649 students, 68% FRL); Taylor Middle (math 16% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 651 students, 69% FRL); Taylor H S (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,366 of 1,632 statewide, top 84%, 907 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 319 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $230,410 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.60%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$418,734
List price
$264,990
Delta
-36.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-38,598
Equity at exit
$39,511
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-43,378
Equity at exit
$22,911

Cash invested: $74,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76574

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,304 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,269/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$54
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,101
Max offer price $264,990
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $310 -5% $235 +0% $160 +5% $85 +10% $10
Rent -10% $-22 -5% $69 +0% $160 +5% $251 +10% $343
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $228 base $160 +0.5pp $92 +1.0pp $22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,248
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
119 Everglades Ave Taylor, TX 3.0 2.5 3078 $2,350 $0.76 3d 1 0.59mi
1717 T H Johnson Dr Taylor, TX 4.0 2.5 2450 $2,600 $1.06 0d 1 0.62mi
903 Grand Teton Trl Taylor, TX 4.0 2.5 2962 $2,295 $0.77 13d 1 0.67mi
2804 Bull Run Apt B Taylor, TX 2.0 1.5 4232 $1,300 $0.31 45d 1 0.87mi
1800 Grace St Taylor, TX 4.0 3.5 2503 $2,050 $0.82 13d 1 1.42mi
1800 Grace St Taylor, TX 3.0 2.0 2503 $2,050 $0.82 14d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$54 · $648/yr
Likely covers
watergas

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $264,990 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $264,990 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $264,990 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,990 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,990 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,990 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,990 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,990 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,990 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $269,990 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,990 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,990 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,990 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,990 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $269,990 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    The Only Premier Builder offering the most included features within 5 miles of Samsung. This thoughtfully designed home showcases numerous upgrades throughout, including enhanced flooring with upgraded LVP and plush carpet, stylish upgraded tile, and elevated hardware finishes that add a touch of sophistication to every space. Enjoy the convenience of a pre-plumbed water softener loop and the rare advantage of being the only new build in Taylor offering natural gas—great for cooking enthusiasts and energy efficiency. With quality craftsmanship and high-end features included, this home stands out as a must-see opportunity in a rapidly growing area.

  16. 2026-04-22
    price $274,990 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    The Only Premier Builder offering the most included features within 5 miles of Samsung. This thoughtfully designed home showcases numerous upgrades throughout, including enhanced flooring with upgraded LVP and plush carpet, stylish upgraded tile, and elevated hardware finishes that add a touch of sophistication to every space. Enjoy the convenience of a pre-plumbed water softener loop and the rare advantage of being the only new build in Taylor offering natural gas—great for cooking enthusiasts and energy efficiency. With quality craftsmanship and high-end features included, this home stands out as a must-see opportunity in a rapidly growing area.

  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $282,990 Active 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    The Only Premier Builder offering the most included features within 5 miles of Samsung. This thoughtfully designed home showcases numerous upgrades throughout, including enhanced flooring with upgraded LVP and plush carpet, stylish upgraded tile, and elevated hardware finishes that add a touch of sophistication to every space. Enjoy the convenience of a pre-plumbed water softener loop and the rare advantage of being the only new build in Taylor offering natural gas—great for cooking enthusiasts and energy efficiency. With quality craftsmanship and high-end features included, this home stands out as a must-see opportunity in a rapidly growing area.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,269 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,849 · $404/mo
Expected delta
+$3,581/yr (+$298/mo · 282.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,649
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$1,269
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,212
− Management
−$2,212
− HOA
−$648
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$2,568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$616
After-tax cash flow
$2,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor ISD
NCES district ID
4842280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$45,330
Composite
20.35/100
National rank
#8606
State rank
#726 of 826 in TX

Livability — Taylor

Score
71/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#7013

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, TX
County
Williamson County · 680,029 people
City population
20,242
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Population (ZIP)
20,242
Household income
$78,568
Rent vs Own
23.4% rent · 76.6% own
Severe rent burden
371.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
699,027 people
By 2030
795,537 · +13.8%
By 2040
990,683 · +41.7%
By 2050
1,184,292 · +69.4%
By 2075
1,623,825 · +132.3%
By 2100
1,924,153 · +175.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 22% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.71%
Current HPI
227.58
Rent YoY
▲ 0.43%
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $269,990 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $274,990 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $282,990 Unlock MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,269 · -14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…