CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
151 Dowdle St
B- Composite 69.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

151 Dowdle St · Millport, AL 35576
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 339 Days on market
Built 1960 1.00 ac lot $50/sqft · at area comps Est $101k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Wrap-around porch
  • Outdoor space

Tags

WRAP-AROUND PORCHGENEROUS LOTOUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#64 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Lamar County (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #57 of 129 in AL (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • Lamar County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 339 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $100k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 36% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 339 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.07%
Cash-on-cash
13.50%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,249
List price
$100,000
Delta
-1.23%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$25,083
Equity at exit
$37,527
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$70,331
Equity at exit
$52,604

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35576

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,158 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $402/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $759
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $372 -5% $343 +0% $315 +5% $287 +10% $258
Rent -10% $224 -5% $269 +0% $315 +5% $361 +10% $407
Rate -1.0pp $365 -0.5pp $340 base $315 +0.5pp $289 +1.0pp $263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 339 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 337 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 336 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 335 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 334 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 333 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 331 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 330 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 327 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 326 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 325 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 321 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 320 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 319 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 318 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 317 DOM
  17. 2026-02-03
    status Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space

  18. 2026-02-01
    historical 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space

  19. 2025-07-13
    listed $100,000 Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space

  20. 2025-06-16
    listed $100,000 Active
  21. 2021-12-14
    soldstatus $35,000
  22. 2021-09-27
    listed $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$402 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$410 · $34/mo
Expected delta
+$8/yr (+$1/mo · 1.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 36% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,893
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$402
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,111
− Management
−$1,111
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$542
After-tax cash flow
$3,239/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar County
NCES district ID
0101950
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,856
Composite
27.58/100
National rank
#6937
State rank
#57 of 129 in AL

Livability — Millport

Score
68/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#9074

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millport, AL
Population (ZIP)
3,875

Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,818 people
By 2030
12,235 · -4.5%
By 2040
11,110 · -13.3%
By 2050
10,081 · -21.4%
By 2075
8,013 · -37.5%
By 2100
6,222 · -51.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 11% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamar

2024 margin
Solid R (+76.0) · D 11.7% · R 87.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -53.8pp · 2024: -76.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+76.0 2020: R+72.2 2016: R+69.0 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+53.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.64%
Current HPI
124.3084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+156.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-01 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-07-13 Listed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $100,000 VMLS
  • 2021-12-14 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WAMLS
  • 2021-09-27 Listed $39,000 WAMLS

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $402 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…