151 Dowdle St · Millport, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 36.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Wrap-around porch
- Outdoor space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#64 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Lamar County (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #57 of 129 in AL (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- Lamar County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 339 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $100k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 36% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 339 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.50%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,249
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -1.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $25,083
- Equity at exit
- $37,527
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $70,331
- Equity at exit
- $52,604
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35576
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,158 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $402/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $372 | -5% $343 | +0% $315 | +5% $287 | +10% $258 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $269 | +0% $315 | +5% $361 | +10% $407 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $365 | -0.5pp $340 | base $315 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-02-03status Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space
-
2026-02-01historical 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space
-
2025-07-13$100,000 Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! 151 DOWDLE STREET This charming 3 bed / 2 bath home is bursting with potential and ready for someone with the eye (and heart) to bring it back to life. Sitting proudly on a generous lot with a classic wrap-around porch and spacious rooms, this property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you’re looking to add to your rental portfolio or flip for profit, this one checks the boxes: Desirable layout Plenty of outdoor space
-
2025-06-16$100,000 Active
-
2021-12-14soldstatus $35,000
-
2021-09-27$39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $402 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $410 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8/yr (+$1/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 36% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$402
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,111
- − Management
- −$1,111
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,258
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar County
- NCES district ID
- 0101950
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,856
- Composite
- 27.58/100
- National rank
- #6937
- State rank
- #57 of 129 in AL
Livability — Millport
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #9074
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millport, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,875
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,818 people
- By 2030
- 12,235 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 11,110 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 10,081 · -21.4%
- By 2075
- 8,013 · -37.5%
- By 2100
- 6,222 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 11% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+76.0) · D 11.7% · R 87.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -53.8pp · 2024: -76.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+76.0 2020: R+72.2 2016: R+69.0 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+53.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Current HPI
- 124.3084
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+156.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-01 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-13 Listed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-06-16 Listed $100,000 VMLS
- 2021-12-14 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WAMLS
- 2021-09-27 Listed $39,000 WAMLS
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $402 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…