125 W 1st St · East Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCED $15,000. GREAT investment property located in the village of EAST SYRACUSE. Two individual single-family homes that earn about 27,000 a year in an annual income. Front building is approximately 1064 ft. ² and three bedrooms with a possibility of a fourth. Back building is approximately 1560 ft. ² with three bedrooms and a garage/workshop area. Front building has full basement. ADDITIONAL INCOME POTENTIAL. MOTIVATED SELLER MOVING ON TO LARGE PROJECT. Annual income is currently $27,000 a year. Back tenant is long-term and rent will increase to $1300 per month as of about 8/1. Annual income will increase $4200.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Garage workshop area
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned Residential 2 Unit
- Financial info: Gross income reported at $27,000; Unit rents: one unit at $950, the other at $1,300 (one unit is month-to-month); Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, supplies, and water/sewer; Tenants pay all utilities
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking available; Detached garage with 1 car space; See remarks for additional parking details
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-unit residential property; Single-story (1 story); Resale property
- Construction: Built with block and frame construction; Concrete elements; Vinyl and wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/range and refrigerator in each unit; Eat-in kitchen in one unit; Formal dining room in one unit
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Varied flooring throughout (carpet, ceramic tile, hardwood, vinyl)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.9% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $174k implies a 770% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.36%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,158
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $34,482
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13057
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,478 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$552 /mo · $6,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Alpine Dr Unit 107-2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 121 Doll Pkwy Unit A Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-03-05price $174,000
-
2026-01-12$189,000 Active
-
2025-02-20soldstatus $20,000
-
2023-01-24soldstatus $340,000
-
2021-10-06soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,625 · $552/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,625 · $552/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$6,625
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,379
- − Management
- −$2,379
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable income
- $2,677
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$642
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,406/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609990
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,801
- Composite
- 42.9/100
- National rank
- #3122
- State rank
- #379 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Syracuse
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #81
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 14,253
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,253
- Household income
- $80,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 316.8595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+167.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $174,000 CNYIS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $189,000 CNYIS
- 2025-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,625 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…