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9 Munson Ln
B- Composite 66.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

9 Munson Ln · Gouldtown, NJ 08302
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,211 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1945 0.30 ac lot ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away along a private lane, this unique bungalow offers a peaceful setting with plenty of character and opportunity. Surrounded by nature, the property features vaulted ceilings, loft-style spaces, and a warm cabin-inspired atmosphere. Enjoy the privacy and quiet surroundings while still being conveniently located near local shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways for easy commuting. Located in the Bridgeton area, known for its rich history, outdoor recreation, and close proximity to South Jersey shore points and Delaware Bay attractions. A wonderful opportunity to bring your vision to life and create your own private retreat. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Private lane
  • Peaceful setting
  • Loft style spaces

Tags

PRIVATE LANEPEACEFUL SETTINGVAULTED CEILINGSLOFT STYLE SPACESCABIN INSPIRED ATMOSPHERELOCAL SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cumberland Regional School District (town): math 10% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #436 of 472 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.88%
Cap rate
25.32%
Cash-on-cash
67.94%
DSCR
4.02
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,035
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
654 Buckshutem Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,216 (+0%) 7mo $225,000 $185 62
712 Steward Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,134 (-6%) 8mo $50,000 $44 55
19 Waldens Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-14%) 4mo $300,000 $288 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.3%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$55,123
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
71.5%
Equity multiple
8.29×
Total profit
$132,621
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08302

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,873 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$1,030

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,075 -5% $1,053 +0% $1,030 +5% $1,008 +10% $985
Rent -10% $882 -5% $956 +0% $1,030 +5% $1,104 +10% $1,178
Rate -1.0pp $1,063 -0.5pp $1,047 base $1,030 +0.5pp $1,014 +1.0pp $996

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    listed $65,000 Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Tucked away along a private lane, this unique bungalow offers a peaceful setting with plenty of character and opportunity. Surrounded by nature, the property features vaulted ceilings, loft-style spaces, and a warm cabin-inspired atmosphere. Enjoy the privacy and quiet surroundings while still being conveniently located near local shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways for easy commuting. Located in the Bridgeton area, known for its rich history, outdoor recreation, and close proximity to South Jersey shore points and Delaware Bay attractions. A wonderful opportunity to bring your vision to life and create your own private retreat. Property is being sold as-is.

  7. 2008-06-18
    soldstatus $102,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,475
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,798
− Management
−$1,798
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$12,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,891
After-tax cash flow
$9,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland Regional School District
NCES district ID
3403620
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$52,721
Composite
17.28/100
National rank
#9088
State rank
#436 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Gouldtown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Gouldtown, NJ
Population (ZIP)
47,003

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,743 people
By 2030
150,373 · -1.6%
By 2040
146,881 · -3.8%
By 2050
142,653 · -6.6%
By 2075
129,468 · -15.2%
By 2100
107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 39% White 30% Black 25% Two or more races 19% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.94%
Current HPI
290.6461
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-36.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,305 · +16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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