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4141 Lafayette Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,500

4141 Lafayette Ave · St. Louis, MO 63110
16 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,536 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1917 5,201 sqft lot $99/sqft · 24% below area Est $459k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity in sought-after Botanical Heights! This well-maintained 4-family offers strong rental potential and is also ideal for an owner-occupant looking to have 3 tenants help cover the mortgage. Each unit is approximately 900 sq ft and features a private exterior entrance, spacious living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, and private bedroom. 3 units have recently been vacated and refreshed with cosmetic updates, fresh paint, and new kitchen cabinets; ready for immediate leasing. The 4th unit is currently on a month-to-month lease, providing value-add potential and flexibility for future rent increases. The basement offers laundry hookups and plenty of storage space. Tenants will appreciate the off-street parking in the rear with a brand-new concrete pad and sidewalk. Major improvements include a new TPO roof installed in 2020 and a new sewer lateral. Ideally located between Shaw and The Grove, you’re just a short walk to restaurants, nightlife, and the beautiful Missouri Botanical Garden. Nearby Tower Grove Park offers farmers markets, food trucks, festivals, and incredible green space. This is an unbeatable location that tenants love!

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New kitchen cabinets
  • Cosmetic updates

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIALPRIVATE EXTERIOR ENTRANCECOSMETIC UPDATESFRESH PAINTNEW KITCHEN CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $349,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$458,598) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×3bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $670/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $339k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,997/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $350k implies a 1065% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $339,015 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
15.49%
Cash-on-cash
32.85%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$458,598
List price
$349,500
Delta
-23.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$134,066
Equity at exit
$52,112
10-year hold
IRR
40.2%
Equity multiple
5.34×
Total profit
$424,485
Equity at exit
$30,218

Cash invested: $97,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63110

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
18.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,997 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,833
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $959/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,259
Net cashflow
$2,679

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,605
Max offer price $349,500
Occupancy floor 50%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $1,294
Total (4 units) $5,997

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,375
Closing costs
$10,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,500 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,500 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,500 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,500 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,500 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,500 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,500 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $349,500 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $349,500 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $349,500 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $349,500 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $349,500 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $349,500 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    price $349,500 1185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1185 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in sought-after Botanical Heights! This well-maintained 4-family offers strong rental potential and is also ideal for an owner-occupant looking to have 3 tenants help cover the mortgage. Each unit is approximately 900 sq ft and features a private exterior entrance, spacious living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, and private bedroom. 3 units have recently been vacated and refreshed with cosmetic updates, fresh paint, and new kitchen cabinets; ready for immediate leasing. The 4th unit is currently on a month-to-month lease, providing value-add potential and flexibility for future rent increases. The basement offers laundry hookups and plenty of storage space. Tenants will appreciate the off-street parking in the rear with a brand-new concrete pad and sidewalk. Major improvements include a new TPO roof installed in 2020 and a new sewer lateral. Ideally located between Shaw and The Grove, you’re just a short walk to restaurants, nightlife, and the beautiful Missouri Botanical Garden. Nearby Tower Grove Park offers farmers markets, food trucks, festivals, and incredible green space. This is an unbeatable location that tenants love!

  15. 2026-05-05
    price $349,500
    Show marketing remark (1185 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in sought-after Botanical Heights! This well-maintained 4-family offers strong rental potential and is also ideal for an owner-occupant looking to have 3 tenants help cover the mortgage. Each unit is approximately 900 sq ft and features a private exterior entrance, spacious living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, and private bedroom. 3 units have recently been vacated and refreshed with cosmetic updates, fresh paint, and new kitchen cabinets; ready for immediate leasing. The 4th unit is currently on a month-to-month lease, providing value-add potential and flexibility for future rent increases. The basement offers laundry hookups and plenty of storage space. Tenants will appreciate the off-street parking in the rear with a brand-new concrete pad and sidewalk. Major improvements include a new TPO roof installed in 2020 and a new sewer lateral. Ideally located between Shaw and The Grove, you’re just a short walk to restaurants, nightlife, and the beautiful Missouri Botanical Garden. Nearby Tower Grove Park offers farmers markets, food trucks, festivals, and incredible green space. This is an unbeatable location that tenants love!

  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $375,000 Active 1185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1185 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in sought-after Botanical Heights! This well-maintained 4-family offers strong rental potential and is also ideal for an owner-occupant looking to have 3 tenants help cover the mortgage. Each unit is approximately 900 sq ft and features a private exterior entrance, spacious living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, and private bedroom. 3 units have recently been vacated and refreshed with cosmetic updates, fresh paint, and new kitchen cabinets; ready for immediate leasing. The 4th unit is currently on a month-to-month lease, providing value-add potential and flexibility for future rent increases. The basement offers laundry hookups and plenty of storage space. Tenants will appreciate the off-street parking in the rear with a brand-new concrete pad and sidewalk. Major improvements include a new TPO roof installed in 2020 and a new sewer lateral. Ideally located between Shaw and The Grove, you’re just a short walk to restaurants, nightlife, and the beautiful Missouri Botanical Garden. Nearby Tower Grove Park offers farmers markets, food trucks, festivals, and incredible green space. This is an unbeatable location that tenants love!

  17. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
  19. 2026-03-10
    listed $375,000 Active
  20. 2002-05-31
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$959 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,390 · $283/mo
Expected delta
+$2,431/yr (+$203/mo · 253.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$71,964
− Mortgage interest
−$19,577
− Property taxes
−$959
− Insurance
−$1,748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,757
− Management
−$5,757
− Depreciation
−$10,167
Taxable income
$27,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,720
After-tax cash flow
$25,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
17,645
Household income
$81,655
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
921.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.93%
Current HPI
342.2466
Rent YoY
▲ 6.24%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1065.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $349,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $349,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $375,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $375,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $959 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…