1705 Arizona Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$22,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank Repo, Needs Lots Of T. L. C.
Key facts
- Plumbing updates
- Solid foundation
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas; Forced air heating
- Home design: Residential property; One-story structure; Built in 1930; Frontage width approx. 40
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Michigan basement foundation; Built in 1930
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Paved street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the entry level (approx. 11 x 10); Dining area on the entry level (approx. 10 x 8); Living room on the entry level (approx. 15 x 13)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main/entry level (approx. 12 x 11 and 11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the entry level (approx. 8 x 5)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Total of 7 rooms; Basement present (Michigan-style)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the entry level (approx. 6 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $22k).
- Cap rate 36.9% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $155 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $672 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $22k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 109.41%
- DSCR
- 5.87
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $30,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2310 Thom St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 939 (-2%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $27 | 71 |
| 2518 Thom St E | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 942 (-2%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $37 | 61 |
| 1513 Jane Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,002 (+4%) | 3mo | $12,000 | $12 | 60 |
| 2612 Maplewood Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,041 (+8%) | 11mo | $15,000 | $14 | 53 |
| 1420 Dakota Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+10%) | 4mo | $9,000 | $9 | 51 |
| 2321 Oklahoma Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 868 (-10%) | 12mo | $33,000 | $38 | 47 |
| 1700 Delaware Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-10%) | 20mo | $15,000 | $17 | 45 |
| 1622 New York Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 839 (-13%) | 6mo | $34,500 | $41 | 45 |
| 2910 Meisner Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 920 (-4%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $38 | 43 |
| 1706 Delaware Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,041 (+8%) | 20mo | $20,000 | $19 | 43 |
| 3912 Douglas Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (-15%) | 6mo | $33,000 | $40 | 36 |
| 1620 Mabel Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 816 (-15%) | 18mo | $26,500 | $32 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $32,817
- Equity at exit
- $3,340
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.05×
- Total profit
- $75,579
- Equity at exit
- $1,937
Cash invested: $6,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $943 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$117
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $560/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $572
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $585 | -5% $578 | +0% $572 | +5% $566 | +10% $559 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $497 | -5% $535 | +0% $572 | +5% $609 | +10% $646 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $583 | -0.5pp $578 | base $572 | +0.5pp $566 | +1.0pp $560 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,600
- Closing costs
- $672
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $900 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $795 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $975 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $975 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $22,400 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $22,400 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $23,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $23,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $23,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $23,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$22,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,255
- − Property taxes
- −$560
- − Insurance
- −$112
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$906
- − Management
- −$906
- − Depreciation
- −$652
- Taxable income
- $6,931
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,664
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+147.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-28 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-05-28 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-04-01 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-04-01 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $560 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…