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1705 Arizona Ave
D+ Composite 49.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$22,400

1705 Arizona Ave · Flint, MI 48506
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1930 4,356 sqft lot Est $31k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bank Repo, Needs Lots Of T. L. C.

Key facts

  • Plumbing updates
  • Solid foundation
  • Functional layout

Tags

SOLID FOUNDATIONFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSTRONG STRUCTURAL FOOTPRINTMECHANICAL SYSTEMSPLUMBING UPDATESGENERAL MODERNIZATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas; Forced air heating
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story structure; Built in 1930; Frontage width approx. 40
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Michigan basement foundation; Built in 1930
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Paved street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the entry level (approx. 11 x 10); Dining area on the entry level (approx. 10 x 8); Living room on the entry level (approx. 15 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main/entry level (approx. 12 x 11 and 11 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the entry level (approx. 8 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Total of 7 rooms; Basement present (Michigan-style)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the entry level (approx. 6 x 5)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $22k).
  • Cap rate 36.9% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $155 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $672 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $22k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,400

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.21%
Cap rate
36.93%
Cash-on-cash
109.41%
DSCR
5.87
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$30,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2310 Thom St 0.41mi 2/1.0 939 (-2%) 8mo $25,000 $27 71
2518 Thom St E 0.55mi 2/1.0 942 (-2%) 12mo $35,000 $37 61
1513 Jane Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,002 (+4%) 3mo $12,000 $12 60
2612 Maplewood Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 1,041 (+8%) 11mo $15,000 $14 53
1420 Dakota Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+10%) 4mo $9,000 $9 51
2321 Oklahoma Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 868 (-10%) 12mo $33,000 $38 47
1700 Delaware Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 864 (-10%) 20mo $15,000 $17 45
1622 New York Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 839 (-13%) 6mo $34,500 $41 45
2910 Meisner Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 920 (-4%) 12mo $35,000 $38 43
1706 Delaware Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,041 (+8%) 20mo $20,000 $19 43
3912 Douglas Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 820 (-15%) 6mo $33,000 $40 36
1620 Mabel Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 816 (-15%) 18mo $26,500 $32 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.23×
Total profit
$32,817
Equity at exit
$3,340
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.05×
Total profit
$75,579
Equity at exit
$1,937

Cash invested: $6,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$943 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$117
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $560/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $220
Max offer price $22,400
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $585 -5% $578 +0% $572 +5% $566 +10% $559
Rent -10% $497 -5% $535 +0% $572 +5% $609 +10% $646
Rate -1.0pp $583 -0.5pp $578 base $572 +0.5pp $566 +1.0pp $560

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,600
Closing costs
$672
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 14d 1 0.91mi
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 22d 1 0.99mi
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 14d 1 1.01mi
1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 875 $975 $1.11 14d 1 1.12mi
3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 8d 1 1.14mi
2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 14d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $22,400 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $22,400 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $23,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $23,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $23,900 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $23,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-14
    listed $22,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$560 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$560 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,321
− Mortgage interest
−$1,255
− Property taxes
−$560
− Insurance
−$112
− Repairs & maintenance
−$906
− Management
−$906
− Depreciation
−$652
Taxable income
$6,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,664
After-tax cash flow
$5,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-28 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-05-28 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-05-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-04-01 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-04-01 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $560 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…