1605-1607 3rd Ave · Watervliet, NY 12189

$460,000

20 bd · 16.0 ba · 4,950 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Updated and well maintained 4-unit, previously generating $77,100 annually. This property is positioned for increased returns with 3 vacant units ready for lease-up at market rents. One occupied unit provides immediate income. Recent improvements include updated kitchens and bathrooms with new vanities, showers, and toilets, along with fresh paint and refinished hardwood floors. New shingle roof adds to the overall appeal. Ideal for investors looking to stabilize, increase rents, and build long-term cash flow.

Key facts

• New toilets
• Fresh paint
• Updated bathrooms

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHENS
• UPDATED BATHROOMS
• NEW VANITIES
• NEW SHOWERS
• NEW TOILETS
• FRESH PAINT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $460k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $811/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $460k).
• Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 5.9% in Watervliet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 84/100 on livability (#51 in NY, #786 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D.
• Watervliet City School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #524 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $8,097/mo this rent would consume 149% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $129k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $365k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $460,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.75%
• DSCR: 2.37
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.26×
• Total profit: $162,687
• Equity at exit: $68,587

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.3%
• Equity multiple: 5.21×
• Total profit: $542,892
• Equity at exit: $39,772

Cash invested: $128,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12189

• Home prices YoY: -28.7%
• Rents YoY: 6.6%
• Active inventory: 72
• Price-to-rent: 18.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $8,097 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,412
• Tax from tax record: −$493 /mo · $5,911/yr
• Insurance: −$192
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$56 /mo · $666/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,700
• Net cashflow: $3,245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,990

Max offer price $460,000

Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $3,505	-5% $3,375	+0% $3,245	+5% $3,114	+10% $2,984
Rent	-10% $2,605	-5% $2,925	+0% $3,245	+5% $3,564	+10% $3,884
Rate	-1.0pp $3,476	-0.5pp $3,362	base $3,245	+0.5pp $3,125	+1.0pp $3,004

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 4× units	5	4	$8,096
Total (4 units)			$8,097

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $115,000
• Closing costs: $13,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-07
   listed $460,000 Active
3. 2023-09-15
   soldstatus $365,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,911 · $493/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,843 · $570/mo
• Expected delta: +$931/yr (+$78/mo · 15.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $97,164
• − Mortgage interest: −$25,767
• − Property taxes: −$5,911
• − Insurance: −$2,966
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,773
• − Management: −$7,773
• − Depreciation: −$13,382
• Taxable income: $33,591
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$8,062
• After-tax cash flow: $30,872/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Watervliet City School District
• NCES district ID: 3630210
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $43,276
• Composite: 34.23/100
• National rank: #5261
• State rank: #524 of 590 in NY

Livability — Watervliet

• Score: 84/100
• State rank: #51
• US rank: #786

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Watervliet, NY
• County: Albany County · 196,626 people
• City population: 18,656
• Metro: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
• Population (ZIP): 18,656
• Household income: $65,276
• Rent vs Own: 60.3% rent · 39.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1224.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 320,794 people
• By 2030: 327,401 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 338,218 · +5.4%
• By 2050: 348,467 · +8.6%
• By 2075: 381,693 · +19.0%
• By 2100: 393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -110.16%
• Current HPI: 273.8109
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.61%
• Metro: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+26.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Pending — Global MLS
• 2026-04-07 Listed $460,000 Global MLS
• 2023-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,911 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.