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3190 Haynes Park Dr
D+ Composite 47.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$204,900

3190 Haynes Park Dr · Stonecrest, GA 30038
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,396 sqft · Townhouse public records · 16 Days on market
Built 2018 1,742 sqft lot Est $240k · 15% under $110/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to move and priced with purpose, this 3-bedroom townhome in the Haynes Park community of Stonecrest is an estate sale being offered at $204,900 with a clear goal: a fast, clean closing. The home is clean, well-maintained, and move-in ready, with existing furniture that can convey with the sale or be removed prior to closing at the buyer's preference. This is a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant seeking affordable, turnkey housing or an investor looking for a straightforward rental addition in a proven townhome community. Estate sale opportunities at this price point rarely surface in this market, especially for a newer townhome offering this level of flexibility from a motivated estate. No inflated pricing, no complicated terms - just a clean home, a clear price, and terms designed to get to the closing table without friction.

Key facts

  • $110 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2018

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $110; Association covers grounds maintenance; Community features include homeowners association and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Total 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Two-story home; Fee simple ownership; Resale property; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick, cedar, and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Built on slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Asphalt road frontage; City street access; Sidewalks; Homeowners association

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen opens to family room / has view to family room
  • Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms; Bedroom features: Other
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Fireplace in the living room; Open-concept dining area; View from the kitchen to the family room; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($42/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.1% in Stonecrest — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Murphey Candler Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,092 of 1,228 statewide, top 91%, 528 students, 100% FRL); Lithonia Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #411 of 470 statewide, top 87%, 1,214 students, 100% FRL); Lithonia High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 1,483 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,826 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.07%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,112
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3194 Haynes Park Dr 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,396 (0%) 9mo $235,000 $168 92
7765 Haynes Park Cir 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,394 (-0%) 7mo $213,000 $153 91
7701 Haynes Park Pl 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,394 (-0%) 11mo $240,000 $172 89
3192 Haynes Park Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,361 (-2%) 16mo $250,000 $184 83
7676 Glade Trl 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,326 (-5%) 21mo $273,900 $207 70
3126 Haynes Park Dr 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,559 (+12%) 19mo $255,000 $164 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-29,266
Equity at exit
$30,551
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-9,486
Equity at exit
$17,716

Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30038

Home prices YoY
-28.0%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
321
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,147 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$423 /mo · $5,075/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$110
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $204,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $119 -5% $61 +0% $3 +5% $-54 +10% $-112
Rent -10% $-166 -5% $-81 +0% $3 +5% $88 +10% $173
Rate -1.0pp $107 -0.5pp $56 base $3 +0.5pp $-50 +1.0pp $-104

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,225
Closing costs
$6,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2901 Emme Ct Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1792 $2,250 $1.26 26d 1 0.10mi
2726 Kemp Ct Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1792 $2,500 $1.40 20d 1 0.20mi
2730 Kemp Ct Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1792 $2,295 $1.28 26d 1 0.21mi
2414 Fitts Dr Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1792 $2,400 $1.34 45d 1 0.26mi
2402 Fitts Dr Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,000 $1.11 45d 1 0.28mi
100 Deer Creek Cir Stonecrest, GA 3.0 2.0–2.5 1407 $1,500 $1.07 1d 5 0.29mi
100 Wesley Stonecrest Cir Stonecrest, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1215 $1,817 $1.50 1d 29 0.90mi
2294 Iris Dr SW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1758 $2,299 $1.31 7d 1 1.11mi
50 St James Dr Conyers, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $1,760 $1.70 1d 44 1.28mi
3499 Lakeview Crk Lithonia, GA 3.0 2.5 1470 $2,100 $1.43 45d 1 1.46mi
100 Kensington Cir Stonecrest, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1234 $1,976 $1.60 0d 65 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$110 · $1,320/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $204,900 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $204,900 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $204,900 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $204,900 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,900 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    listed $204,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    Priced to move and priced with purpose, this 3-bedroom townhome in the Haynes Park community of Stonecrest is an estate sale being offered at $204,900 with a clear goal: a fast, clean closing. The home is clean, well-maintained, and move-in ready, with existing furniture that can convey with the sale or be removed prior to closing at the buyer's preference. This is a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant seeking affordable, turnkey housing or an investor looking for a straightforward rental addition in a proven townhome community. Estate sale opportunities at this price point rarely surface in this market, especially for a newer townhome offering this level of flexibility from a motivated estate. No inflated pricing, no complicated terms - just a clean home, a clear price, and terms designed to get to the closing table without friction.

  7. 2026-05-11
    listed $204,900 New 851-char remark
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    Priced to move and priced with purpose, this 3-bedroom townhome in the Haynes Park community of Stonecrest is an estate sale being offered at $204,900 with a clear goal: a fast, clean closing. The home is clean, well-maintained, and move-in ready, with existing furniture that can convey with the sale or be removed prior to closing at the buyer's preference. This is a strong opportunity for an owner-occupant seeking affordable, turnkey housing or an investor looking for a straightforward rental addition in a proven townhome community. Estate sale opportunities at this price point rarely surface in this market, especially for a newer townhome offering this level of flexibility from a motivated estate. No inflated pricing, no complicated terms - just a clean home, a clear price, and terms designed to get to the closing table without friction.

  8. 2018-11-16
    soldstatus $154,990 Sold 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    THE BUCKINGHAM-A BEAUTIFUL 3 BEDROOM/2.5 BATH HOME WITH LVT FLOORING ON THE ENTIRE FIRST FLOOR, EXQUISITE TRIM DETAIL IN FOYER, OPEN FLOORPLAN WITH GOURMET CENTER ISLAND AND EAT IN BREAKFAST AREA. GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, WASHER/DRYER, AND 2" FAUX WOOD BLINDS THROUGHOUT ARE OFFERED AS INCLUDED FEATURES. MASTER BEDROOM WITH VAULTED CEILING, TWO SPACIOUS SECONDARY BEDROOMS, AND TWO FULL BATHS ALONG WITH LAUNDRY ROOM COMPLETE THE UPSTAIRS LEVEL. HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION. READY TO MOVE IN NOV 2018.

  9. 2018-07-30
    status Pending 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    THE BUCKINGHAM-A BEAUTIFUL 3 BEDROOM/2.5 BATH HOME WITH LVT FLOORING ON THE ENTIRE FIRST FLOOR, EXQUISITE TRIM DETAIL IN FOYER, OPEN FLOORPLAN WITH GOURMET CENTER ISLAND AND EAT IN BREAKFAST AREA. GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, WASHER/DRYER, AND 2" FAUX WOOD BLINDS THROUGHOUT ARE OFFERED AS INCLUDED FEATURES. MASTER BEDROOM WITH VAULTED CEILING, TWO SPACIOUS SECONDARY BEDROOMS, AND TWO FULL BATHS ALONG WITH LAUNDRY ROOM COMPLETE THE UPSTAIRS LEVEL. HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION. READY TO MOVE IN NOV 2018.

  10. 2018-07-27
    listed $154,990 Active 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    THE BUCKINGHAM-A BEAUTIFUL 3 BEDROOM/2.5 BATH HOME WITH LVT FLOORING ON THE ENTIRE FIRST FLOOR, EXQUISITE TRIM DETAIL IN FOYER, OPEN FLOORPLAN WITH GOURMET CENTER ISLAND AND EAT IN BREAKFAST AREA. GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, WASHER/DRYER, AND 2" FAUX WOOD BLINDS THROUGHOUT ARE OFFERED AS INCLUDED FEATURES. MASTER BEDROOM WITH VAULTED CEILING, TWO SPACIOUS SECONDARY BEDROOMS, AND TWO FULL BATHS ALONG WITH LAUNDRY ROOM COMPLETE THE UPSTAIRS LEVEL. HOME IS UNDER CONSTRUCTION. READY TO MOVE IN NOV 2018.

  11. 2018-04-13
    soldstatus $300,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,075 · $423/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,075 · $423/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,767
− Mortgage interest
−$11,478
− Property taxes
−$5,075
− Insurance
−$1,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,061
− Management
−$2,061
− HOA
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$5,961
Taxable loss
−$3,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$771
After-tax cash flow
$813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Stonecrest

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Stonecrest, GA
County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
City population
106,165
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
43,776
Household income
$73,694
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1168.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Asian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.98%
Current HPI
192.8328
Rent YoY
▲ 4.60%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Pending FMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Contingent FMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $204,900 FMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $204,900 GAMLS
  • 2018-11-16 Sold (MLS) $154,990 FMLS
  • 2018-07-30 Pending FMLS
  • 2018-07-27 Listed $154,990 FMLS
  • 2018-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+32.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,075 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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