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17421 Lumpkin St
C Composite 57.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

17421 Lumpkin St · Detroit, MI 48212
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,852 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1921 3,049 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just steps from the vibrant heart of Hamtramck! Offering two separate living units, this turnkey property is perfect for first-time home buyers looking to offset their mortgage or savvy investors seeking strong passive income potential. Each unit has been thoughtfully renovated with modern finishes while maintaining charm and functionality. Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, and cultural landmarks. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready opportunity in a prime location!

Key facts

  • Modern finishes
  • Prime location
  • 3,049 sq ft lot

Tags

TWO SEPARATE LIVING UNITSTHOUGHTFULLY RENOVATEDMODERN FINISHESMOVE-IN-READY OPPORTUNITYPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential single-family
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense information provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Above-grade finished area listed at 1,800 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Alley frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 100 (0.07 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom count provided
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Four total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Has heating equipment (natural gas forced air)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,539/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1175% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.98%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$70,376
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17256 Anglin St 0.34mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,644 (-11%) 7mo $95,000 $58 53
17420 Joseph Campau St 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,049 (+11%) 13mo $65,000 $32 48
17416 Goddard St 0.13mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,649 (-11%) 23mo $44,000 $27 47
17886 Joseph Campau St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,653 (-11%) 9mo $145,000 $88 46
18800 Mackay St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,840 (-1%) 18mo $51,500 $28 45
18184 Riopelle St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,700 (-8%) 16mo $65,000 $38 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,946
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$24,925
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48212

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,539 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,176/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,126
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $405 -5% $365 +0% $326 +5% $286 +10% $247
Rent -10% $204 -5% $265 +0% $326 +5% $387 +10% $447
Rate -1.0pp $396 -0.5pp $361 base $326 +0.5pp $290 +1.0pp $253

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 5d 1 0.58mi
168 Beresford St Highland Park, MI 4.0 1.0 1541 $1,475 $0.96 18d 1 1.21mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 22d 1 1.44mi
20015 Lumpkin St Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 2500 $1,800 $0.72 5d 1 1.45mi
19458 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1550 $1,500 $0.97 4d 1 1.45mi
106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI 5.0 1.0 1920 $1,450 $0.76 11d 1 1.47mi
20008 Hull St Highland Park, MI 5.0 2.0 1332 $1,600 $1.20 17d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    listed $139,900 Active 553-char remark
    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Discover this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just steps from the vibrant heart of Hamtramck! Offering two separate living units, this turnkey property is perfect for first-time home buyers looking to offset their mortgage or savvy investors seeking strong passive income potential. Each unit has been thoughtfully renovated with modern finishes while maintaining charm and functionality. Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, and cultural landmarks. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready opportunity in a prime location!

  15. 2026-05-18
    listed $139,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Discover this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just steps from the vibrant heart of Hamtramck! Offering two separate living units, this turnkey property is perfect for first-time home buyers looking to offset their mortgage or savvy investors seeking strong passive income potential. Each unit has been thoughtfully renovated with modern finishes while maintaining charm and functionality. Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, and cultural landmarks. Don't miss out on this move-in-ready opportunity in a prime location!

  16. 2025-09-30
    soldstatus $115,001
  17. 2025-07-18
    historical
  18. 2025-07-18
    historical
  19. 2025-06-26
    listed $149,900 Active
  20. 2025-06-26
    listed $149,900 Active
  21. 2025-06-25
    historical
  22. 2025-01-15
    status Pending
  23. 2025-01-15
    status Pending
  24. 2025-01-15
    soldstatus $38,500 Closed
  25. 2025-01-15
    soldstatus $38,500 Closed
  26. 2025-01-02
    status Active
  27. 2025-01-02
    status Active
  28. 2024-12-24
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  29. 2024-12-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  30. 2024-12-13
    listed $37,000 Active
  31. 2024-12-13
    listed $37,000 Active
  32. 2017-06-06
    historical
  33. 2017-06-06
    historical
  34. 2017-06-05
    status Active
  35. 2017-02-15
    status Pending
  36. 2017-02-15
    status Pending
  37. 2017-01-21
    price $10,000
  38. 2017-01-20
    price $10,000
  39. 2016-12-28
    status Active
  40. 2016-12-28
    status Pending
  41. 2016-11-03
    listed $24,900 Active
  42. 2016-11-03
    listed $24,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,176 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,665 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$489/yr (+$41/mo · 41.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,466
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,176
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$415
After-tax cash flow
$3,494/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
43,384
Household income
$38,186
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
1175.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Asian 29% Black 19% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 1% American 1%
Foreign-born
41%
Languages at home
36% English-only · Other Indo-European 28% Arabic 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.41%
Current HPI
292.9126
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+461.8% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $115,001 Public Records
  • 2025-07-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-26 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-25 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-15 Sold (MLS) $38,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-15 Sold (MLS) $38,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-24 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-24 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-13 Listed $37,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-13 Listed $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-06-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-05 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2017-02-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-02-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-01-21 Price Changed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-20 Price Changed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-11-03 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-11-03 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,176 · -9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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