912 Skylark Dr · Oak Trail Shores, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 912 Skylar Drive in beautiful Granbury! This charming home offers comfortable living with an inviting open floor plan that makes the space feel bright and airy. Like new carpet adds a fresh touch, while the cozy fireplace creates the perfect spot to unwind at the end of the day. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for gathering and features generous storage to keep everything organized and within reach. The thoughtful layout makes everyday living both functional and comfortable. Step outside to enjoy additional storage space with a convenient backyard shed — perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal décor. Whether you’re looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers affordability, flexibility, and small-town charm just minutes from everything Granbury has to offer. Recent improvements: Replaced plumbing, Replaced window seals and sealed windows, Replaced subflooring, added new interior trim, added vinyl plank in kitchen walk in pantry and laundry room, new back door, new porches, new sink faucets, new skirting, painted interior, repaired sewer drain, stretched and cleaned carpets. This home has been moved to a 2nd location, Conventional and FHA won't do this type of loan HOWEVER, I have a lender that does not mind if it's been moved, have your agent ask me for my lender's information.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Spacious lot
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 5.9% in Oak Trail Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,187 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Granbury ISD (town): math 46% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #237 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 690 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 125 units permitted in Hood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hood County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.88%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,174
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -5.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 821 Flamingo Rd | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,265 (-8%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $138 | 82 |
| 515 Skylark Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-11%) | 10mo | $119,999 | $99 | 56 |
| 211 Killough Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-11%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $111 | 45 |
| 429 Skylark Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-11%) | 20mo | $139,900 | $115 | 44 |
| 4768 Albatross Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+15%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $70 | 41 |
| 419 Blue Jay Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+13%) | 21mo | $148,500 | $96 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $41,930
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.75×
- Total profit
- $131,089
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76049
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 690
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,139 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $981/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $901
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $971 | -5% $936 | +0% $901 | +5% $865 | +10% $830 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $732 | -5% $816 | +0% $901 | +5% $985 | +10% $1,070 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $964 | -0.5pp $932 | base $901 | +0.5pp $868 | +1.0pp $835 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3318 Crystal Clear Ct Granbury, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-04-02price $130,000 1409-char remark
Show marketing remark (1409 chars)
Welcome to 912 Skylar Drive in beautiful Granbury! This charming home offers comfortable living with an inviting open floor plan that makes the space feel bright and airy. Like new carpet adds a fresh touch, while the cozy fireplace creates the perfect spot to unwind at the end of the day. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for gathering and features generous storage to keep everything organized and within reach. The thoughtful layout makes everyday living both functional and comfortable. Step outside to enjoy additional storage space with a convenient backyard shed — perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal décor. Whether you’re looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers affordability, flexibility, and small-town charm just minutes from everything Granbury has to offer. Recent improvements: Replaced plumbing, Replaced window seals and sealed windows, Replaced subflooring, added new interior trim, added vinyl plank in kitchen walk in pantry and laundry room, new back door, new porches, new sink faucets, new skirting, painted interior, repaired sewer drain, stretched and cleaned carpets. This home has been moved to a 2nd location, Conventional and FHA won't do this type of loan HOWEVER, I have a lender that does not mind if it's been moved, have your agent ask me for my lender's information.
-
2026-03-18status Active 1409-char remark
Show marketing remark (1409 chars)
Welcome to 912 Skylar Drive in beautiful Granbury! This charming home offers comfortable living with an inviting open floor plan that makes the space feel bright and airy. Like new carpet adds a fresh touch, while the cozy fireplace creates the perfect spot to unwind at the end of the day. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for gathering and features generous storage to keep everything organized and within reach. The thoughtful layout makes everyday living both functional and comfortable. Step outside to enjoy additional storage space with a convenient backyard shed — perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal décor. Whether you’re looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers affordability, flexibility, and small-town charm just minutes from everything Granbury has to offer. Recent improvements: Replaced plumbing, Replaced window seals and sealed windows, Replaced subflooring, added new interior trim, added vinyl plank in kitchen walk in pantry and laundry room, new back door, new porches, new sink faucets, new skirting, painted interior, repaired sewer drain, stretched and cleaned carpets. This home has been moved to a 2nd location, Conventional and FHA won't do this type of loan HOWEVER, I have a lender that does not mind if it's been moved, have your agent ask me for my lender's information.
-
2026-03-16historical Active Option Contract 1409-char remark
Show marketing remark (1409 chars)
Welcome to 912 Skylar Drive in beautiful Granbury! This charming home offers comfortable living with an inviting open floor plan that makes the space feel bright and airy. Like new carpet adds a fresh touch, while the cozy fireplace creates the perfect spot to unwind at the end of the day. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for gathering and features generous storage to keep everything organized and within reach. The thoughtful layout makes everyday living both functional and comfortable. Step outside to enjoy additional storage space with a convenient backyard shed — perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal décor. Whether you’re looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers affordability, flexibility, and small-town charm just minutes from everything Granbury has to offer. Recent improvements: Replaced plumbing, Replaced window seals and sealed windows, Replaced subflooring, added new interior trim, added vinyl plank in kitchen walk in pantry and laundry room, new back door, new porches, new sink faucets, new skirting, painted interior, repaired sewer drain, stretched and cleaned carpets. This home has been moved to a 2nd location, Conventional and FHA won't do this type of loan HOWEVER, I have a lender that does not mind if it's been moved, have your agent ask me for my lender's information.
-
2026-03-12price $135,000 1409-char remark
Show marketing remark (1409 chars)
Welcome to 912 Skylar Drive in beautiful Granbury! This charming home offers comfortable living with an inviting open floor plan that makes the space feel bright and airy. Like new carpet adds a fresh touch, while the cozy fireplace creates the perfect spot to unwind at the end of the day. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for gathering and features generous storage to keep everything organized and within reach. The thoughtful layout makes everyday living both functional and comfortable. Step outside to enjoy additional storage space with a convenient backyard shed — perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal décor. Whether you’re looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers affordability, flexibility, and small-town charm just minutes from everything Granbury has to offer. Recent improvements: Replaced plumbing, Replaced window seals and sealed windows, Replaced subflooring, added new interior trim, added vinyl plank in kitchen walk in pantry and laundry room, new back door, new porches, new sink faucets, new skirting, painted interior, repaired sewer drain, stretched and cleaned carpets. This home has been moved to a 2nd location, Conventional and FHA won't do this type of loan HOWEVER, I have a lender that does not mind if it's been moved, have your agent ask me for my lender's information.
-
2026-02-23$140,000 Active 1409-char remark
Show marketing remark (1409 chars)
Welcome to 912 Skylar Drive in beautiful Granbury! This charming home offers comfortable living with an inviting open floor plan that makes the space feel bright and airy. Like new carpet adds a fresh touch, while the cozy fireplace creates the perfect spot to unwind at the end of the day. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for gathering and features generous storage to keep everything organized and within reach. The thoughtful layout makes everyday living both functional and comfortable. Step outside to enjoy additional storage space with a convenient backyard shed — perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal décor. Whether you’re looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers affordability, flexibility, and small-town charm just minutes from everything Granbury has to offer. Recent improvements: Replaced plumbing, Replaced window seals and sealed windows, Replaced subflooring, added new interior trim, added vinyl plank in kitchen walk in pantry and laundry room, new back door, new porches, new sink faucets, new skirting, painted interior, repaired sewer drain, stretched and cleaned carpets. This home has been moved to a 2nd location, Conventional and FHA won't do this type of loan HOWEVER, I have a lender that does not mind if it's been moved, have your agent ask me for my lender's information.
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2025-04-09historical
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2025-01-21price $138,000
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2024-11-27price $139,500
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2024-10-21price $149,500
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2024-10-11$155,000 Active
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2022-04-19soldstatus
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2022-04-04soldstatus Closed
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2022-04-04soldstatus
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2022-03-23status Pending
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2022-03-12historical Active Option Contract
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2022-03-10status Active
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2022-02-28historical Active Option Contract
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2022-02-22$55,000 Active
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1999-07-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $981 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,306/yr (+$109/mo · 133.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$981
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,054
- − Management
- −$2,054
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $9,319
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,236
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Granbury ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821390
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,856
- Composite
- 40.04/100
- National rank
- #3820
- State rank
- #237 of 826 in TX
Livability — Oak Trail Shores
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1187
- US rank
- #20758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hood County · 58,506 people
- Metro
- Granbury, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,506
- Household income
- $104,967
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 235.0
Population outlook (Hood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,502 people
- By 2030
- 67,459 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 74,958 · +18.0%
- By 2050
- 81,922 · +29.0%
- By 2075
- 98,872 · +55.7%
- By 2100
- 107,796 · +69.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.0) · D 16.6% · R 82.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.0pp · 2024: -66.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.0 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+64.7 2008: R+54.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.09%
- Current HPI
- 273.1293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.20%
- Metro
- Granbury, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+136.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-16 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-09 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $138,000 NTREIS
- 2024-11-27 Price Changed $139,500 NTREIS
- 2024-10-21 Price Changed $149,500 NTREIS
- 2024-10-11 Listed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2022-04-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-04-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-04-04 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-03-23 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-03-12 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2022-03-10 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2022-02-28 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2022-02-22 Listed $55,000 NTREIS
- 1999-07-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+18.3%/yrLatest (2025): $981 · -13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…