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5206 Newton St #202
C- Composite 53.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$145,000

5206 Newton St #202 · Bladensburg, MD 20710
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,048 sqft · Condo public records · 209 Days on market
Built 1966 $377/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Three Bedroom Condo in the heart of Bladensburg! Ready to move in, yet does needs some TLC. Seller prefers to sell as is. Located on the back side of the Building, with a balcony view of the wooded area. Secured Main Building Entrance. Located close to the Bladensburg Waterfront Park, Mount Rainier nature Center, the Bladensburg Community Center, and Kenilworth Park Aquatic Gardens. It's also perfect for Downtown Commuters and only 2.4 miles to the Deanwood Metro Station.

Key facts

  • $377 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Condominium ownership; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; In city limits; city/county roads with blacktop surface
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $377; Professionally managed off-site; Association covers common area maintenance, lawn care, parking fee, reserves, sewer, snow removal, trash, water, management, and custodial/maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot; Parking included in association
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service; Hot water: other
  • Home design: Condominium unit (Unit/Flat); Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Entry on 2nd floor; Building not winterized; Facing/entry within city limits (Bladensburg)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Major renovation effective 2020
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Sidewalks; Street lighting; Community in-ground pool; Tot lot/playground; Common grounds

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range/oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (main level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Combination dining and living area; Not furnished; 2+ shared/attached walls
  • Laundry & utility: No in-unit washer/dryer or hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-552/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (5.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#277 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, amenities D.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bladensburg Elementary (math 5% / reading 18%, grade F, #567 of 860 statewide, top 67%, 710 students, 90% FRL); Bladensburg High (math 14% / reading 31%, grade F, #170 of 222 statewide, top 76%, 2,164 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 53% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.60%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$76,357
Equity at exit
$130,627
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
6.61×
Total profit
$227,790
Equity at exit
$281,703

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20710

Home prices YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,805 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,490/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$377
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,863
Max offer price $136,873
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $36 -5% $-5 +0% $-46 +5% $-87 +10% $-128
Rent -10% $-189 -5% $-117 +0% $-46 +5% $25 +10% $97
Rate -1.0pp $27 -0.5pp $-9 base $-46 +0.5pp $-84 +1.0pp $-122

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5301 Quincy St Unit 1204 Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 905 $1,750 $1.93 25d 1 0.02mi
5301 Quincy St Unit 01-304 FR Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 905 $1,750 $1.93 44d 1 0.02mi
5200 Newton St Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0–1.5 931 $1,650 $1.77 44d 2 0.05mi
5200 Newton St #202 Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.5 925 $1,650 $1.78 25d 1 0.05mi
3901 53rd St Bladensburg, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,495 $1.76 3d 2 0.06mi
5211 Newton St #103 Bladensburg, MD 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,900 $1.66 44d 1 0.08mi
5215 Newton St #104 Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 922 $1,850 $2.01 44d 1 0.10mi
4101 53rd Ave Unit 4210P2 Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 788 $1,725 $2.19 25d 1 0.20mi
4101 53rd Ave Unit 4103A1 Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 788 $1,725 $2.19 44d 1 0.20mi
3554 55th Ave Hyattsville, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 603 $1,792 $2.97 0d 7 0.25mi
4109 51st St Unit 5102T102 Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 755 $1,630 $2.16 25d 1 0.27mi
4611 Edmonston Rd Unit 1 Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0 850 $1,750 $2.06 25d 1 0.53mi
5802 Annapolis Rd Bladensburg, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 796 $1,898 $2.38 0d 22 0.71mi
4203 58th Ave Bladensburg, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 752 $2,123 $2.82 0d 14 0.74mi
4203 58th Ave Bladensburg, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 735 $2,069 $2.81 2d 61 0.74mi
5704 Euclid St Cheverly, MD 4.0 2.0 1260 $2,300 $1.83 13d 1 1.08mi
3839 64th Ave Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0 875 $1,650 $1.89 2d 4 1.14mi
5323 Taylor Rd Unit 1546071P Riverdale, MD 3.0 2.0 1097 $2,258 $2.06 16d 1 1.16mi
5033 57th Ave Bladensburg, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 859 $1,999 $2.33 0d 13 1.17mi
5303 55th Pl Riverdale, MD 4.0 3.0 1375 $4,150 $3.02 6d 1 1.25mi
3709 Parkwood St Brentwood, MD 4.0 3.0 1104 $2,950 $2.67 44d 1 1.26mi
6011 Emerson St Bladensburg, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $1,725 $2.34 25d 3 1.28mi
6011 Emerson St Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 737 $1,662 $2.26 16d 3 1.28mi
6011 Emerson St Bladensburg, MD 2.0 1.0 737 $1,688 $2.29 44d 2 1.28mi
5334 Baltimore Ave Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 903 $3,501 $3.88 0d 52 1.33mi
3806 39th St Unit 3 Brentwood, MD 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 44d 1 1.34mi
5501 45th Ave Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 829 $2,325 $2.80 0d 22 1.38mi
4100 Rhode Island Ave Brentwood, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 822 $2,650 $3.22 0d 12 1.38mi
5540 60th Ave Riverdale, MD 3.0 1.5 1368 $2,900 $2.12 6d 1 1.42mi
5301 62nd Ave Riverdale, MD 4.0 2.5 1152 $2,700 $2.34 19d 1 1.45mi
4108 40th St Unit 301 Brentwood, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,475 $1.64 6d 1 1.46mi
5510 Madison St Riverdale, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 566 $1,805 $3.19 4d 16 1.46mi
6212 Carters Ln Riverdale, MD 4.0 2.5 1152 $2,350 $2.04 44d 1 1.48mi
3750 Jamison St NE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0–2.0 761 $2,676 $3.51 3d 8 1.48mi
5221 Egret LN Bladensburg, MD 3.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1540 $1,975 $1.28 44d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$377 · $4,524/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 206 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 205 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 204 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 203 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $145,000 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2025-10-06
    status Active
  9. 2025-09-18
    historical
  10. 2025-09-18
    listed $175,000 Active
  11. 2025-08-11
    historical $175,000
  12. 2022-09-21
    soldstatus $590,800
  13. 2021-10-26
    historical
  14. 2021-10-06
    price $209,000
  15. 2021-09-05
    listed $219,000 Active
  16. 2019-11-19
    historical
  17. 2019-10-22
    price $199,000
  18. 2019-10-07
    listed $219,000 Active
  19. 2019-09-10
    soldstatus $111,000
  20. 2019-08-26
    soldstatus $111,000 Closed
  21. 2019-07-08
    status Pending
  22. 2019-05-28
    price $111,000
  23. 2019-05-28
    historical
  24. 2019-05-25
    listed $110,000 Active
  25. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $107,000
  26. 2006-02-09
    soldstatus $117,500
  27. 2006-01-31
    soldstatus $116,000
  28. 2006-01-11
    historical
  29. 2006-01-10
    listed $116,000
  30. 1997-12-17
    soldstatus $50,000
  31. 1997-11-22
    soldstatus $50,000
  32. 1997-10-10
    historical
  33. 1997-02-28
    listed $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,490 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,490 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,658
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,490
− Insurance
−$1,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,733
− Management
−$1,733
− HOA
−$4,524
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$2,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$644
After-tax cash flow
$92/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Bladensburg

Score
64/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#14239

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B- Cost of living C- Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bladensburg, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
City population
9,801
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
9,801
Household income
$63,810
Rent vs Own
78.8% rent · 21.2% own
Severe rent burden
810.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (57%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
38% · Canada, South Korea, Guatemala
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 34% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.66%
Current HPI
365.4382
Rent YoY
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.2% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-11 Coming Soon $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $590,800 Public Records
  • 2021-10-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-06 Price Changed $209,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-09-05 Listed $219,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-22 Price Changed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-07 Listed $219,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-26 Sold (MLS) $111,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-08 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-28 Price Changed $111,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-25 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
  • 2006-01-31 Sold (MLS) $116,000 MRIS
  • 2006-01-11 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-01-10 Listed $116,000 MRIS
  • 1997-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1997-11-22 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MRIS
  • 1997-10-10 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-02-28 Listed $53,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,490 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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