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1008 Collins Ct
C- Composite 50.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,900

1008 Collins Ct · Bartonville, IL 61607
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1962 Est $157k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering approximately 1200 square feet in a quiet established neighborhood. Inside, the home features a practical and comfortable layout that feels easy to live in, with plenty of natural light and a warm welcoming flow throughout. Step outside to enjoy the large, fenced backyard perfect for summer gatherings, gardening, pets or simply unwinding at the end of the day. This home offers a newer furnace and water heater. Priced below market value this home presents an opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a conveniently located neighborhood with room to make it truly your own. This home is being sold "as-is" making it a great opportu

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Newer water heater
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDNEWER FURNACENEWER WATER HEATERQUIET ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1962
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shed(s); Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedrooms located on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($544/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (7.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Bartonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#840 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Limestone Chsd 310 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #486 of 919 in IL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Grove School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 289 students, 0% FRL); Limestone Community High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 924 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $97,500 (7.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.85%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 Caliente Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,246 (+2%) 1mo $175,000 $140 82
29 Gulf Stream Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,277 (+4%) 8mo $145,000 $114 75
106 Anna St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,256 (+2%) 8mo $161,000 $128 66
206 Winston Ln 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,130 (-8%) 2mo $169,900 $150 65
811 W Garfield Ave 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,140 (-7%) 7mo $123,000 $108 65
3819 S Paramount Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+5%) 0mo $210,000 $163 61
3912 S Paramount Rd 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-8%) 3mo $135,000 $120 57
106 Maple Ln 0.36mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,380 (+13%) 3mo $130,000 $94 53
5112 Pfeiffer Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-4%) 6mo $124,900 $106 51
4031 S Ricketts Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,406 (+15%) 6mo $166,000 $118 45
2715 S Tiara Strip 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,081 (-12%) 2mo $180,000 $167 43
2708 S Daycor Dv 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,396 (+14%) 4mo $178,000 $128 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-14,098
Equity at exit
$15,641
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-8,500
Equity at exit
$9,070

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61607

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $918
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $118 -5% $82 +0% $45 +5% $9 +10% $-27
Rent -10% $-32 -5% $7 +0% $45 +5% $84 +10% $122
Rate -1.0pp $98 -0.5pp $72 base $45 +0.5pp $18 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5817 S Adams St Bartonville, IL 2.0 1.0 768 $975 $1.27 15d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $104,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $104,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    price $104,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
  19. 2026-05-07
    listed $116,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,700
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$1,574
− Insurance
−$524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable loss
−$1,198
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$287
After-tax cash flow
$831/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Limestone Chsd 310
NCES district ID
1722950
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$49,759
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#11932
State rank
#486 of 919 in IL

Livability — Bartonville

Score
62/100
State rank
#840
US rank
#16553

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bartonville, IL
Population (ZIP)
10,734

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.81%
Current HPI
193.6234
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $116,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $114 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…