1008 Collins Ct · Bartonville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering approximately 1200 square feet in a quiet established neighborhood. Inside, the home features a practical and comfortable layout that feels easy to live in, with plenty of natural light and a warm welcoming flow throughout. Step outside to enjoy the large, fenced backyard perfect for summer gatherings, gardening, pets or simply unwinding at the end of the day. This home offers a newer furnace and water heater. Priced below market value this home presents an opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a conveniently located neighborhood with room to make it truly your own. This home is being sold "as-is" making it a great opportu
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Newer water heater
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1962
- Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shed(s); Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedrooms located on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($544/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Bartonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#840 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Limestone Chsd 310 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #486 of 919 in IL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oak Grove School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 289 students, 0% FRL); Limestone Community High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 924 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Caliente Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,246 (+2%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $140 | 82 |
| 29 Gulf Stream Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,277 (+4%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $114 | 75 |
| 106 Anna St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,256 (+2%) | 8mo | $161,000 | $128 | 66 |
| 206 Winston Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (-8%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $150 | 65 |
| 811 W Garfield Ave | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-7%) | 7mo | $123,000 | $108 | 65 |
| 3819 S Paramount Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+5%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $163 | 61 |
| 3912 S Paramount Rd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-8%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $120 | 57 |
| 106 Maple Ln | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (+13%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $94 | 53 |
| 5112 Pfeiffer Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-4%) | 6mo | $124,900 | $106 | 51 |
| 4031 S Ricketts Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,406 (+15%) | 6mo | $166,000 | $118 | 45 |
| 2715 S Tiara Strip | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,081 (-12%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $167 | 43 |
| 2708 S Daycor Dv | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,396 (+14%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $128 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-14,098
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-8,500
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61607
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $118 | -5% $82 | +0% $45 | +5% $9 | +10% $-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-32 | -5% $7 | +0% $45 | +5% $84 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $98 | -0.5pp $72 | base $45 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5817 S Adams St Bartonville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $975 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $104,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $104,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$116,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$936
- − Management
- −$936
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable loss
- −$1,198
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$287
- After-tax cash flow
- $831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Limestone Chsd 310
- NCES district ID
- 1722950
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,759
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #11932
- State rank
- #486 of 919 in IL
Livability — Bartonville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #840
- US rank
- #16553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bartonville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,734
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.81%
- Current HPI
- 193.6234
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $116,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2024): $114 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…