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224 Quail Run Way Way SE
D Composite 41.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$285,575

224 Quail Run Way Way SE · Walthourville, GA 31301
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,810 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 0.57 ac lot Est $291k · at est. $34/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

You'll love the Anderson plan located in The Village at Sassafras, because it combines form and function into one exquisite home. Entering from the foyer, you will first access the flex room - furnish as an office, second living space, the possibilities are endless! Continuing down a short corridor, you are greeted by an inviting kitchen with corner pantry and bar area for additional seating. The family room is visible from the kitchen - perfect for the modern family. Upstairs, the master suite features a spacious bedroom but the en-suite steals the show. Dual vanities, a garden tub, separate shower, private toilet room and an expansive walk-in closet. Three secondary bedrooms share a hall

Key facts

  • Inviting kitchen
  • Master suite
  • Corner pantry

Tags

FLEX ROOMINVITING KITCHENCORNER PANTRYBAR AREAFAMILY ROOMMASTER SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: The Village At Sassafras
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $34 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Under construction
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built recently (under construction)
  • Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Paved road access; Irrigation equipment

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $286k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (7.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#255 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $444 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $234,325 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,410
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 Buckhead Loop SE 0.35mi 4/2.5 1,810 (0%) 1mo $283,825 $157 83
334 Buckhead Loop SE 0.40mi 4/2.5 1,810 (0%) 3mo $284,025 $157 79
631 Buckhead Loop SE 0.14mi 4/3.0 1,984 (+10%) 1mo $315,475 $159 75
722 Buckhead Loop SE 0.14mi 4/2.5 1,609 (-11%) 0mo $279,800 $174 75
358 Buckhead Loop SE 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,735 (-4%) 2mo $301,090 $174 73
382 Buckhead Loop SE 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,926 (+6%) 1mo $310,875 $161 70
802 Buckhead Loop SE 0.14mi 4/2.5 2,065 (+14%) 0mo $296,375 $144 70
663 Buckhead Loop SE 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,565 (-14%) 1mo $276,975 $177 68
218 Antler Ave 0.24mi 4/3.0 1,984 (+10%) 6mo $296,450 $149 66
916 Buckhead Loop SE 0.19mi 4/2.5 2,065 (+14%) 3mo $306,210 $148 65
1118 Buckhead Loop SE 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,565 (-14%) 6mo $275,650 $176 64
393 Buckhead Loop SE 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,565 (-14%) 0mo $280,500 $179 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-16,165
Equity at exit
$85,148
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$13,171
Equity at exit
$104,145

Cash invested: $79,961 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31301

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,498
Tax est. 1.5%
$357 /mo · $4,284/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$34
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$-156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,541
Max offer price $262,947
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $41 -5% $-58 +0% $-156 +5% $-255 +10% $-354
Rent -10% $-341 -5% $-249 +0% $-156 +5% $-64 +10% $29
Rate -1.0pp $-13 -0.5pp $-84 base $-156 +0.5pp $-230 +1.0pp $-306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,394
Closing costs
$8,567
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2722 Arnall Dr Allenhurst, GA 5.0 3.0 2256 $2,600 $1.15 46d 1 0.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$34 · $408/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $285,575 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $285,575 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,575 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,575 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,575 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,575 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $285,575 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,575 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $285,575 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,575 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,575 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,575 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $285,575 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,575 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,575 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,575 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,575 Active 2 DOM
  18. 2026-05-29
    listed $285,575 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,119
− Mortgage interest
−$15,997
− Property taxes
−$4,284
− Insurance
−$1,428
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,250
− Management
−$2,250
− HOA
−$408
− Depreciation
−$8,308
Taxable loss
−$6,804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,633
After-tax cash flow
$-244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with potential for both resale and rental value through minor updates and improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can make the kitchen more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading fixtures can make the bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Flooring replacement — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the overall appearance and functionality of the home.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can make the kitchen more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading fixtures can make the bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Flooring replacement — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the overall appearance and functionality of the home.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Walthourville

Score
64/100
State rank
#255
US rank
#14108

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Liberty County · 58,565 people
City population
4,933
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
4,933
Household income
$65,417
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
121.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 31% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.16%
Current HPI
187.7716
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $285,575 HABR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…