4871 Banbury Ct #10 · Warrensville Heights, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Miles Landing! This three bedroom, one and half bathroom condo is ready for its next occupant. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- $165 HOA
- Built 1963
- Listed 79 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, commute D-.
- Warrensville Heights City (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #604 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.0%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.59%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,662
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 48.90%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $17,419
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $77,393
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44128
- Rents YoY
- 12.0%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $766/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$165
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4889 Banbury Ct Warrensville Heights, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 23755 Banbury Cir #10 Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 21418 Raymond St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,695 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4340 Clarkwood Pkwy Cleveland, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,108 | $1.10 | 1d | 487 | 1.16mi |
| 5303 Northfield Rd Bedford Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 712 | $1,210 | $1.70 | 2d | 28 | 1.21mi |
| 21111 Raymond St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 21206 Hillgrove Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,375 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 21303 Kenyon Dr Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 21106 Gardenview Dr Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20605 Hansen Rd Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 25400 Rockside Rd Bedford Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,455 | $1.67 | 1d | 6 | 1.43mi |
| 20600 Watson Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,953 | $1.79 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 20609 Hillgrove Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,497 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $165 · $1,980/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-03-09$79,900 Active 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Welcome to Miles Landing! This three bedroom, one and half bathroom condo is ready for its next occupant. Schedule your showing today!
-
2011-11-21historical
-
2011-10-30$15,788
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2011-06-20historical
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2011-06-09$19,900
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2010-12-31historical
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2010-09-16$24,000
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2007-09-27historical
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2007-05-29$27,900
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2001-02-15soldstatus $62,900
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1999-06-09soldstatus $3,050,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $766 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,006 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$240/yr (+$20/mo · 31.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$766
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − HOA
- −$1,980
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,407
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$818
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warrensville Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904500
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,622
- Composite
- 20.98/100
- National rank
- #8467
- State rank
- #604 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warrensville Heights
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #5173
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warrensville Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 27,122
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,122
- Household income
- $43,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2088.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.42%
- Current HPI
- 114.0877
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.96%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-97.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2011-11-21 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2011-10-30 Listed $15,788 MLSNOW
- 2011-06-20 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2011-06-09 Listed $19,900 MLSNOW
- 2010-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2010-09-16 Listed $24,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-09-27 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-05-29 Listed $27,900 MLSNOW
- 2001-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $62,900 Public Records
- 1999-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $3,050,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $766 · +399.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…