🏷️ Likely Rental
716 Susquehana Ave · Perryville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 3 bed 1 bath tenant occupied townhome in Perryville now available! The tenant pay $1500 per month and the lease expires November 1, 2026.
Key facts
- 10 parking spots
- Built 1900
- Listed 61 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (15.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.9% in Perryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#74 in MD, #2,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
- Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $199k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,922
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -20.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Owen Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+2%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $214 | 71 |
| 4-A Owens Landing Ct Unit A | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 23mo | $355,000 | $296 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-25,036
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,711
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21903
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $227 | -5% $171 | +0% $114 | +5% $58 | +10% $2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-19 | -5% $48 | +0% $114 | +5% $181 | +10% $248 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $215 | -0.5pp $165 | base $114 | +0.5pp $63 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 Harford St Perryville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 100 Greenway Perryville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,381 | $1.71 | 2d | 7 | 0.23mi |
| 21 Owens Landing Ct Perryville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $2,450 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 17 Owen Ct Perryville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 606 Water St Havre de Grace, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $199,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-04-17$199,000 Active 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Updated 3 bed 1 bath tenant occupied townhome in Perryville now available! The tenant pay $1500 per month and the lease expires November 1, 2026.
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2017-03-28soldstatus $52,500
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2017-03-20historical 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom remodeled townhouse.
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2017-03-16soldstatus $52,500 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom remodeled townhouse.
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2017-03-16soldstatus $52,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom remodeled townhouse.
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2017-02-13status Contract
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2016-12-27price $59,900
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2016-10-28price $69,900
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2016-08-15price $75,000
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2016-07-19$82,900 Active
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom remodeled townhouse.
-
2016-07-19$59,900 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom remodeled townhouse.
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1997-08-25historical
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1997-06-27
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1997-05-30historical
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1997-04-02historical
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1996-11-26
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1996-11-12
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1996-10-30historical
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1996-10-18historical
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1996-08-07
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1996-07-19
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,123 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$523/yr (+$44/mo · 46.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,123
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,622
- − Management
- −$1,622
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$2,028
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$487
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cecil County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400240
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,544
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8322
- State rank
- #15 of 24 in MD
Livability — Perryville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #2689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perryville, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,679
Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,877 people
- By 2030
- 106,905 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 107,156 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 104,170 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 95,771 · -9.5%
- By 2100
- 82,381 · -22.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cecil
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.75%
- Current HPI
- 223.8037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+232.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 2017-03-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-03-16 Sold (MLS) $52,500 MRIS
- 2017-03-16 Sold (MLS) $52,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-02-13 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-12-27 Price Changed $59,900 MRIS
- 2016-10-28 Price Changed $69,900 MRIS
- 2016-08-15 Price Changed $75,000 MRIS
- 2016-07-19 Listed $82,900 MRIS
- 2016-07-19 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-08-25 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-06-27 Listed — MRIS
- 1997-05-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-04-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-11-26 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-11-12 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-10-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-10-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-08-07 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-07-19 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,123 · +62.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…