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316 W Lincoln Hwy
C- Composite 54.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

316 W Lincoln Hwy · Coatesville, PA 19320
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,233 sqft · Townhouse public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1900 2,423 sqft lot Est $169k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attn Investors - 3 Possible 4 Bedroom Brick Home - Needs Updates But Solid Home - Many Replacement Windows Already In Place - Nice Fenced Back Yard - Car Port

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New flooring
  • Fenced-in backyard

Tags

FENCED-IN BACKYARDOFF-STREET PARKINGNEW WINDOWSNEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking; Detached carport (1 space); Total of 1 garage/parking space noted
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Not in a federal flood zone; Property in excellent condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Replacement windows; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Chain link fencing; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Tub/shower; Ceiling fans; Family room off kitchen; Traditional floor plan; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.1% in Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#791 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $170k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.64%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,921
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 W Lincoln Hwy 0.01mi 3/1.0 1,233 (0%) 6mo $110,000 $89 95
322 W Lincoln Hwy 0.01mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,233 (0%) 7mo $170,000 $138 89
329 Mount Pleasant St 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,260 (+2%) 4mo $246,000 $195 85
317 Mount Pleasant St 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,260 (+2%) 4mo $235,000 $187 82
381 Charles St 0.15mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (+4%) 6mo $240,000 $188 77
338 Valley Rd 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,131 (-8%) 2mo $155,000 $137 74
225 Madison St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (-7%) 6mo $90,000 $78 72
322 Charles St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-14%) 3mo $135,000 $127 71
218 Fleetwood St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,184 (-4%) 7mo $139,900 $118 56
216 Fleetwood St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (+6%) 7mo $139,900 $107 53
220 Fleetwood St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (+6%) 7mo $139,900 $107 53
313 S 1st Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+11%) 1mo $194,670 $142 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-7,054
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$31,229
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19320

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,942 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$309 /mo · $3,711/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,609
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $311 +0% $263 +5% $215 +10% $167
Rent -10% $110 -5% $187 +0% $263 +5% $340 +10% $417
Rate -1.0pp $349 -0.5pp $306 base $263 +0.5pp $219 +1.0pp $174

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
322 Charles St Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,700 $1.60 25d 1 0.09mi
416 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.0 1240 $2,100 $1.69 19d 1 0.10mi
342 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.0 1131 $1,450 $1.28 44d 1 0.24mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Coatesville, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $2,039 $2.09 20d 19 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1407 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,784 $1.51 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1910 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,890 $1.74 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1109 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,766 $1.50 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1816 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,965 $1.67 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2216 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,810 $1.54 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2224 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,840 $1.56 6d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2114 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,719 $1.58 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2209 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1078 $2,000 $1.86 16d 1 0.39mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2024 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,925 $1.63 16d 1 0.39mi
118 N 2nd Ave Apt 9 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 807 $1,595 $1.98 44d 1 0.54mi
23 N 2nd Ave Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,685 $1.50 25d 1 0.56mi
100 Harlan Dr Coatesville, PA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $1,294 $1.22 2d 1 0.85mi
524 Lincoln Hwy E Apt 3F Coatesville, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 25d 1 0.92mi
533 Lincoln Hwy E Coatesville, PA 2.0 1.0 854 $1,595 $1.87 23d 1 0.94mi
92 Virginia Ave Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.5 1184 $1,850 $1.56 25d 1 0.99mi
1055 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $2,600 $2.26 44d 1 1.04mi
633 Coates St Coatesville, PA 4.0 3.0 1331 $1,250 $0.94 25d 1 1.15mi
749 Oak St Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.0 924 $1,800 $1.95 3d 1 1.30mi
40 Beech St Coatesville, PA 4.0 1.0 1150 $1,850 $1.61 25d 1 1.30mi
868 Coates St Coatesville, PA 3.0 2.0 1016 $1,750 $1.72 23d 1 1.39mi
845 Poplar St Coatesville, PA 3.0 1.5 1152 $2,250 $1.95 19d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $169,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,711 · $309/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,711 · $309/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,305
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,711
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,864
− Management
−$1,864
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$134
After-tax cash flow
$3,026/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coatesville Area SD
NCES district ID
4206240
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$66,753
Composite
23.19/100
National rank
#7944
State rank
#457 of 539 in PA

Livability — Coatesville

Score
70/100
State rank
#791
US rank
#7996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coatesville, PA
County
Chester County · 432,350 people
City population
55,941
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
55,941
Household income
$90,601
Rent vs Own
26.2% rent · 73.8% own
Severe rent burden
1480.0

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -195.38%
Current HPI
274.045
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+151.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
  • 2004-08-06 Sold (MLS) $67,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-06-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-06-07 Listed $67,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,711 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…