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7836 Nashville St Unit A/b St 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 43.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0

$449,900

7836 Nashville St Unit A/b St · Houston, TX 77028
6 bd · 6.0 ba · 2,664 sqft · MultiFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 2026 4,220 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to 7836 Nashville Street! This stunning, newly constructed duplex delivers a perfect blend of modern luxury and versatility. Featuring two identical units—one beautifully staged and one a pristine, blank canvas—this property is an exceptional opportunity for owner-occupants or investors. Each unit features a bright, open-concept living and dining area that flows into a chef-inspired kitchen with contemporary finishes and premium cabinetry. The thoughtful floor plan includes a desirable first-floor primary suite with a luxurious dual-vanity bath, while the upstairs secondary bedrooms feature a smart Jack-and-Jill layout with separate, private vanities for ultimate conveni

Key facts

  • Dual-vanity bath
  • Premium cabinetry
  • 4,220 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWLY CONSTRUCTED DUPLEXBRIGHT OPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGCHEF-INSPIRED KITCHENPREMIUM CABINETRYFIRST-FLOOR PRIMARY SUITEDUAL-VANITY BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential income; Owner is listing agent

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking area
  • Utilities: Standard municipal utilities (water, sewer, electric)
  • Home design: New construction residential income property; Two-unit building (total 2 units)
  • Construction: Built in 2026; Composition roof; Built by 7 Concepts Inc
  • Exterior features: Paved parking; Lot approximately 4,220 square feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Quartz counters
  • Bedrooms: Two separate units, each with 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Quartz countertops; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $449,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $436,896.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-97/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $409k (9.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $358k (20.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $358k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmore El (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #4,152 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 532 students, 99% FRL); Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,576/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $357,600 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.91%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$436,896
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7815 Joy St 0.16mi 6/2.0 2,577 (-3%) 12mo $399,900 $155 61
6813 Parkhurst Dr 0.08mi 6/2.0 2,875 (+8%) 14mo $480,000 $167 55
7918 Ritz St 0.22mi 6/2.0 2,875 (+8%) 13mo $480,000 $167 50
7709 St Louis St 0.27mi 6/2.0 2,545 (-4%) 18mo $405,500 $159 49
6916 Tommye St Unit A-B 0.51mi 6/2.0 2,628 (-1%) 20mo $430,000 $164 42
6112 Fairchild St 0.41mi 6/2.0 2,452 (-8%) 14mo $412,000 $168 40
8202 Furray Rd 0.74mi 6/— 2,436 (-9%) 20mo $374,900 $154 34
8022 Ley Rd 0.67mi 6/3.0 3,050 (+14%) 11mo $325,000 $107 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$84,037
Equity at exit
$254,111
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$244,193
Equity at exit
$444,056

Cash invested: $122,331 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77028

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
21.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,291
Tax est. 1.5%
$546 /mo · $6,553/yr
Insurance
$182
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$751
Net cashflow
$-194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,822
Max offer price $408,788
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $108 -5% $-43 +0% $-194 +5% $-345 +10% $-496
Rent -10% $-477 -5% $-336 +0% $-194 +5% $-53 +10% $88
Rate -1.0pp $26 -0.5pp $-83 base $-194 +0.5pp $-307 +1.0pp $-423

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,576

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$109,224
Closing costs
$13,107
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $449,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $449,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $449,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $449,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $449,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $449,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $459,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 687-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $459,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,912
− Mortgage interest
−$24,473
− Property taxes
−$6,553
− Insurance
−$2,184
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,433
− Management
−$3,433
− Depreciation
−$12,710
Taxable loss
−$9,875
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,370
After-tax cash flow
$39/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,109
Household income
$38,357
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1177.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (57%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 38%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.25%
Current HPI
267.7798
Rent YoY
▼ -1.55%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $459,900 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…