Duplex
1811 Butler St · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investor deal. Duplex requiring a full interior renovation. A new roof has recently been installed, providing a major improvement already completed. Property consists of two separate units with individual entrances and offers solid potential following renovation. Ideal for investors or contractors seeking a value-add project. Whether you're looking to fix and flip or hold long term, with the right vision this could be a great addition to your portfolio
Key facts
- Individual entrances
- Two separate units
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $742/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 57.1% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Florence Howard Elementary School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 488 students, 94% FRL); Cf Vigor High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 547 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 67% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $35k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 57.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 181.63%
- DSCR
- 9.08
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.42×
- Total profit
- $102,110
- Equity at exit
- $19,361
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 24.19×
- Total profit
- $227,257
- Equity at exit
- $33,031
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36617
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,151 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $215/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $1,483
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | — | $2,152 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,076 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,076 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,151 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2966 Northwest Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $895 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3764 Autumndale Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 708 Bond St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 100 Dairy Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $975 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2207 Wolf Ridge Rd Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2211 Wolf Ridge Rd Unit B Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3427 Stovall St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $850 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2025-12-23$35,000 Active
-
2013-07-22soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $215 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $215 · $18/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$215
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,065
- − Management
- −$2,065
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $18,314
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,395
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- City population
- 205,729
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,952
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.78%
- Current HPI
- 128.8377
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+337.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2025-12-23 Listed $35,000 GCMLS AL
- 2013-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $215 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…