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410 S Denby Ave
F Composite 34.93
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

410 S Denby Ave · Evansville, IN 47713
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 894 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1919 4,792 sqft lot Est $92k · 46% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home currently rents for $550/month. Lease end date 10/31/20. Tenant pays all utilities.

Key facts

  • Updated finishes
  • Modern countertops
  • Updated flooring

Tags

REMODELED HOMEUPDATED FINISHESWHITE CABINETRYMODERN COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESUPDATED FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 900 square feet above grade

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with a crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 35

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Primary bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($220/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (23.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairlawn Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #790 of 994 statewide, top 81%, 422 students, 76% FRL); Mcgary Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #311 of 330 statewide, top 94%, 351 students, 81% FRL); William Henry Harrison High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #211 of 369 statewide, top 58%, 1,158 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $135k implies a 487% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,466 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,082
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
503 S Grand Ave 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+12%) 7mo $60,000 $60 68
424 S Linwood Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (+11%) 5mo $155,000 $157 63
416 S Garvin St 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,024 (+14%) 3mo $38,750 $38 60
1237 E Illinois St 0.66mi 2/1.0 906 (+1%) 12mo $107,000 $118 57
1308 E Walnut St 0.57mi 2/1.0 964 (+8%) 7mo $54,000 $56 54
1006 Cherry St 0.58mi 2/1.0 976 (+9%) 4mo $95,000 $97 54
1303 E Indiana St 0.67mi 2/1.0 962 (+8%) 5mo $22,000 $23 52
1152 E Chandler Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 825 (-8%) 4mo $127,000 $154 48
1423 John St 0.75mi 2/1.0 972 (+9%) 5mo $99,900 $103 47
1136 E Chandler Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 825 (-8%) 9mo $128,899 $156 45
717 E Iowa St 0.67mi 2/1.0 768 (-14%) 7mo $31,700 $41 39
1409 E Walnut St 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,022 (+14%) 2mo $155,000 $152 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,291
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$12,804
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47713

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
9.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,035 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $425/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,011
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $95 -5% $56 +0% $18 +5% $-20 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-63 -5% $-23 +0% $18 +5% $59 +10% $100
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $53 base $18 +0.5pp $-17 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 21d 1 0.14mi
304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 967 $955 $0.99 21d 1 0.15mi
734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 21d 1 0.45mi
1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 990 $800 $0.81 21d 1 0.61mi
1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,195 $1.23 14d 1 0.67mi
1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 964 $1,050 $1.09 14d 1 0.70mi
1440 E Division St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 689 $1,250 $1.81 14d 1 0.80mi
1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 814 $795 $0.98 14d 1 0.80mi
827 Judson St Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,295 $1.28 14d 1 0.81mi
1021 Jefferson Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 798 $795 $1.00 14d 1 0.86mi
41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN 2.0 2.0 1083 $1,500 $1.39 21d 1 0.87mi
41 W Division St Unit 101 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 634 $1,100 $1.74 21d 1 0.87mi
200 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,599 $1.86 14d 7 0.89mi
605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1069 $1,375 $1.29 21d 1 0.93mi
924 SE 6th St Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 21d 1 0.94mi
610 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 751 $675 $0.90 21d 1 1.01mi
8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 21d 1 1.01mi
24 NW 6th St Apt 103 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 706 $1,300 $1.84 21d 1 1.03mi
706 Court St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.5 1100 $850 $0.77 21d 1 1.05mi
17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 882 $1,455 $1.65 21d 1 1.06mi
615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 1122 $895 $0.80 21d 1 1.06mi
1680 E Franklin St #1682 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 675 $855 $1.27 21d 7 1.06mi
329 Main St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 717 $1,505 $2.10 14d 1 1.10mi
1231 Culver Dr Unit C Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 575 $625 $1.09 21d 1 1.14mi
300 Main St Unit 1 D3 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 21d 1 1.16mi
1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 712 $900 $1.26 14d 1 1.20mi
322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 21d 6 1.20mi
210 S Weinbach Ave Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,450 $1.34 21d 1 1.20mi
400 NW 5th St Unit 4 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 792 $725 $0.92 21d 1 1.21mi
101 SE 2nd St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 530 $750 $1.42 14d 1 1.21mi
202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 926 $2,449 $2.64 21d 4 1.22mi
100 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $1,725 $2.41 14d 17 1.25mi
1421 SE 2nd St Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 14d 1 1.26mi
1018 Baker Ave Unit B Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $625 $0.78 21d 1 1.28mi
406 Edgar St Unit 1 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 530 $1,500 $2.83 21d 1 1.29mi
1505 Jackson Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 780 $995 $1.28 21d 1 1.30mi
715 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 806 $895 $1.11 21d 1 1.35mi
109 E Eichel Ave Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 675 $745 $1.10 21d 1 1.37mi
32 W Tennessee St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 864 $925 $1.07 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $134,900 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $145,000
  16. 2026-05-05
    price $154,900
  17. 2026-04-25
    listed $159,900 Active
  18. 2020-06-24
    soldstatus $23,000 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home currently rents for $550/month. Lease end date 10/31/20. Tenant pays all utilities.

  19. 2019-04-24
    listed $25,000
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home currently rents for $550/month. Lease end date 10/31/20. Tenant pays all utilities.

  20. 2019-04-24
    listed $25,000 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home currently rents for $550/month. Lease end date 10/31/20. Tenant pays all utilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$425 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$786 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$361/yr (+$30/mo · 84.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,416
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$425
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$993
− Management
−$993
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$2,151
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$516
After-tax cash flow
$736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
9,988
Household income
$40,873
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
735.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.22%
Current HPI
229.9312
Rent YoY
▲ 9.87%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+480.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $145,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $154,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $159,900 IRMLS
  • 2020-06-24 Sold (MLS) $23,000 IRMLS
  • 2019-04-24 Listed $25,000 IRMLS
  • 2019-04-24 Listed $25,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $425 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…