51074 Mott Rd #218 · Canton, MI 48188

$32,100

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 235 Days on market

Built 2024

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Built 2024
• Listed 235 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $31,600

Exterior

• Home design: Spec inventory type; Plan name 93885; Active status
• Exterior features: Address: 51074 Mott Rd #218, Canton, MI 48188

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Living area of 1,056

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
• Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Van Buren Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #228 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 245 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $222 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $963 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $28,248 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.74% ✓
• Cap rate: 61.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 198.51%
• DSCR: 9.83
• GRM: 1.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 10.36×
• Total profit: $84,138
• Equity at exit: $4,786

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 20.39×
• Total profit: $174,312
• Equity at exit: $2,775

Cash invested: $8,988 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48188

• Rents YoY: 0.5%
• Active inventory: 245
• Price-to-rent: 1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,163 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$168
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$40 /mo · $482/yr
• Insurance: −$13
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$454
• Net cashflow: $1,487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $281

Max offer price $32,100

Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,025
• Closing costs: $963
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $32,100 Active 235 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $32,100 Active 234 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $32,100 Active 233 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $32,100 Active 232 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $32,100 Active 230 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $32,100 Active 226 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $32,100 Active 225 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $32,100 Active 224 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $32,100 Active 221 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $32,100 Active 220 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,100 Active 219 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $32,100 Active 218 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $31,600 Active 217 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,955
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,798
• − Property taxes: −$482
• − Insurance: −$160
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,076
• − Management: −$2,076
• − Depreciation: −$934
• Taxable income: $18,428
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,423
• After-tax cash flow: $13,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Van Buren Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2634560
• Math proficiency: 33% ▲ 6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $54,166
• Composite: 33.2/100
• National rank: #5533
• State rank: #228 of 540 in MI

Livability — Canton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 99,041
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 45,665
• Household income: $122,781
• Rent vs Own: 17.2% rent · 82.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 486.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Asian 23% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -299.09%
• Current HPI: 193.4673
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.46%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B