4417 N Oak Trfy · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house has a lot of space for the money-The 4th bedroom in the basement could be converted to a rec room-while sellers lived here they added on to house and updated kitchen-newer appliances-sellers are leaving refig/washer/dryer/microwave/lawn mower/patio furniture-great for first time home buyers Fenced backyard and storage shed-Great sun room off the back-This house has some extra space for a family-School bus provides front door drop off and pick up-the property is being sold as is but they welcome inspections.
Key facts
- 9,142 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property age: 51–75 years
- HOA & community: Association fee includes: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Metro Free telecom option
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 1.5-story home; Home faces front (garage faces front)
- Construction: Metal siding; Composition roof; Has finished basement with walk-up access and a basement bedroom
- Exterior features: Metal fencing; Shed(s); City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary on main level; other bedrooms on second and basement levels)
- Flooring: Wood floors in living areas and some bedrooms; Carpet in select rooms; Vinyl in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Window coverings; Thermal windows; Sun room; Main-floor primary bedroom; Family room on main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Dedicated laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crestview Elementary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 435 students, 68% FRL); North Kansas City High (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #433 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,640 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 37% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the North Kansas City 74 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.76%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,726
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 NE 43rd Ter | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,138 (-1%) | 9mo | $249,000 | $219 | 72 |
| 429 NE 42nd St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,232 (+7%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $122 | 71 |
| 209 NE Briarcliff Pkwy | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 | 1,196 (+4%) | 10mo | $249,000 | $208 | 66 |
| 609 NE 42nd St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,267 (+10%) | 3mo | $214,750 | $169 | 64 |
| 622 NE 43rd St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,022 (-11%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $196 | 62 |
| 211 NW Briarcliff Rd | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 | 1,200 (+4%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $250 | 62 |
| 712 NE 45th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-6%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $185 | 60 |
| 5 NW Briarcliff Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $244 | 52 |
| 915 NE 44th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (-10%) | 5mo | $199,500 | $193 | 50 |
| 4131 N Main St | 0.46mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $260 | 44 |
| 657 NE Russell Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (-11%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $233 | 44 |
| 4121 N Campbell Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,302 (+13%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $265 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,572
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $31,358
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64116
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,441 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,644/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $302 | +0% $266 | +5% $229 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $152 | -5% $209 | +0% $266 | +5% $323 | +10% $380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $299 | base $266 | +0.5pp $232 | +1.0pp $198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619 NE 41st Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,495 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5000 N Oak Trfy Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1225 | $1,163 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1300 NE Parvin Rd Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,530 | $1.74 | 2d | 15 | 0.67mi |
| 3800 N Cherry Ln Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,138 | $1.38 | 15d | 4 | 0.77mi |
| 1321a NE 39th St Unit 1309A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,699 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1321a NE 39th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 952 | $1,732 | $1.82 | 44d | 3 | 0.93mi |
| 1321a NE 39th St Unit 1304B Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,509 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4763 N Highland Ave Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 3d | 13 | 0.99mi |
| 1282 NW Vivion Rd Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $1,583 | $1.68 | 3d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 3350 N Holmes St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 975 | $3,329 | $3.41 | 2d | 91 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $130,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $130,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical $130,000
-
2004-08-17soldstatus
-
2004-08-13soldstatus 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
This house has a lot of space for the money-The 4th bedroom in the basement could be converted to a rec room-while sellers lived here they added on to house and updated kitchen-newer appliances-sellers are leaving refig/washer/dryer/microwave/lawn mower/patio furniture-great for first time home buyers Fenced backyard and storage shed-Great sun room off the back-This house has some extra space for a family-School bus provides front door drop off and pick up-the property is being sold as is but they welcome inspections.
-
2004-06-04$109,900 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
This house has a lot of space for the money-The 4th bedroom in the basement could be converted to a rec room-while sellers lived here they added on to house and updated kitchen-newer appliances-sellers are leaving refig/washer/dryer/microwave/lawn mower/patio furniture-great for first time home buyers Fenced backyard and storage shed-Great sun room off the back-This house has some extra space for a family-School bus provides front door drop off and pick up-the property is being sold as is but they welcome inspections.
-
2000-12-22soldstatus 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Pc4821 Fixer Upper-Lots Of Potential! 20x17 Family Room, 13x9 Mstr, 12x9 Br2 Double Closets! Private Treed Fenced Back Yard W/ Storage Shed. Maintence Free Siding! 1 Car Garage & More! House In Estate-Sold "As Is".
-
2000-09-29$69,900 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Pc4821 Fixer Upper-Lots Of Potential! 20x17 Family Room, 13x9 Mstr, 12x9 Br2 Double Closets! Private Treed Fenced Back Yard W/ Storage Shed. Maintence Free Siding! 1 Car Garage & More! House In Estate-Sold "As Is".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,644 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,644 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,644
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,384
- − Management
- −$1,384
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Kansas City 74
- NCES district ID
- 2922800
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,444
- Composite
- 37.88/100
- National rank
- #4321
- State rank
- #98 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,046
- Household income
- $64,123
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 844.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.14%
- Current HPI
- 256.6222
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.74%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+86.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-08-13 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-04 Listed $109,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-22 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-09-29 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,644 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…