1300 CENTRAL Ave Unit 2L · Union City, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
View this sunny 2 BRS LR KIT FULL BATH railroad style apartment with private enclosed storage area located on the corner of Central Avenue and 13th Street. This railroad style apartment with windows allows for an abundance of natural light to enliven the residence. Enjoy cooking in the large kitchen with stainless steel appliances and have your morning coffee at the breakfast bar. The home has washer and dryer and is accented with tile and hardwood flooring. The 15'x12' primary bedroom suite has a cozy bay window, while the 11x10'7" second brm/den has two large closets! The second bedroom functions beautifully as a den/office area flex space. You'll love the location, close to beautiful Washington Park with tennis, basketball, football, baseball sections and play areas for the young or young at heart. 1300 Central Avenue is close to shopping, trendy restaurants, and easy access to highways. NJ Bus Transit to Port Authority is located at Summit Avenue and 12th Street.
Key facts
- Washer and dryer
- Large kitchen
- Cozy bay window
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $276k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.3% in Union City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#117 in NJ, #2,998 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living F.
- Union City School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #399 of 472 in NJ (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 226 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,850/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 6042% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.23%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $383,874
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- -25.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $167,248
- Equity at exit
- $256,751
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.86×
- Total profit
- $467,501
- Equity at exit
- $553,692
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07087
- Home prices YoY
- 9.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,850 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$357 /mo · $4,283/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$599
- Net cashflow
- $281
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1206 Bergenline Ave Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,695 | $3.39 | 10d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1618 Bergenline Ave Unit 3F Union City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,250 | $3.21 | 7d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1620 Palisade Ave Unit B Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1620 Palisade Ave #1 Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,950 | $3.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1810 Palisade Ave Unit 1R Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,600 | $3.53 | 20d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1305 Paterson Plank Rd North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $3,895 | $3.99 | 5d | 21 | 0.42mi |
| 401 Bergenline Ave #1 Union City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2105 New York Ave Unit Basement Union City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,100 | $3.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9 Grand St Unit 2A Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,775 | $5.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1901 Kennedy Blvd North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,075 | $3.19 | 17d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 115 20th St Apt 1 Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1405 Clinton St Hoboken, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 979 | $5,400 | $5.51 | 3d | 6 | 0.64mi |
| 1331 Grand St Hoboken, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $4,450 | $4.77 | 7d | 2 | 0.66mi |
| 1404 Willow Ave Hoboken, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1142 | $12,467 | $10.91 | 1d | 9 | 0.67mi |
| 100 Harbor Blvd Weehawken, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $7,919 | $8.90 | 7d | 11 | 0.68mi |
| 1501 Harbor Blvd Unit 302 Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $3,500 | $4.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1505 Harbor Blvd Unit 502 Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $3,928 | $5.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1525 Harbor Blvd Weehawken Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $8,135 | $10.41 | 1d | 15 | 0.71mi |
| 221 Jane St #1 Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,100 | $3.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 502 Central Ave Apt B1 Jersey City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,800 | $4.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 800 Harbor Blvd Weehawken Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $6,549 | $7.06 | 2d | 28 | 0.73mi |
| 2709 Bergenline Ave Unit 3B Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2705 Central Ave Unit 1 Union City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,300 | $4.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 27 Graham St Unit Rear (3) Jersey City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,895 | $4.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 311 Park Ave Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $2,500 | $6.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 950 Monroe St Unit 1013 Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,305 | $4.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 950 Monroe St Unit 708 Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,330 | $4.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 464-470 Central Ave Unit B9 Jersey City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 900 Monroe St Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $3,838 | $4.72 | 1d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 1500 Washington St Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $3,825 | $5.20 | 14d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 1500 Washington St Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $3,988 | $5.43 | 20d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 1000 Jefferson St Hoboken, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $5,968 | $6.18 | 1d | 15 | 0.83mi |
| 920 Jefferson St #502 Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $3,300 | $5.07 | 10d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1500 Washington St Unit 9K Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $3,950 | $5.37 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2626 Grand Ave North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,522 | $3.42 | 16d | 7 | 0.84mi |
| 231 32nd St Unit 412 Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $2,815 | $4.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 314 Webster Ave Unit 2 Jersey City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,400 | $3.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 831 Monroe St #839 Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $4,450 | $6.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 824 Madison St Unit 1240948P Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,949 | $5.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 312 10th St #312 Hoboken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,450 | $4.93 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $285,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-04-22$310,000 Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
View this sunny 2 BRS LR KIT FULL BATH railroad style apartment with private enclosed storage area located on the corner of Central Avenue and 13th Street. This railroad style apartment with windows allows for an abundance of natural light to enliven the residence. Enjoy cooking in the large kitchen with stainless steel appliances and have your morning coffee at the breakfast bar. The home has washer and dryer and is accented with tile and hardwood flooring. The 15'x12' primary bedroom suite has a cozy bay window, while the 11x10'7" second brm/den has two large closets! The second bedroom functions beautifully as a den/office area flex space. You'll love the location, close to beautiful Washington Park with tennis, basketball, football, baseball sections and play areas for the young or young at heart. 1300 Central Avenue is close to shopping, trendy restaurants, and easy access to highways. NJ Bus Transit to Port Authority is located at Summit Avenue and 12th Street.
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2026-04-22$310,000 Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
View this sunny 2 BRS LR KIT FULL BATH railroad style apartment with private enclosed storage area located on the corner of Central Avenue and 13th Street. This railroad style apartment with windows allows for an abundance of natural light to enliven the residence. Enjoy cooking in the large kitchen with stainless steel appliances and have your morning coffee at the breakfast bar. The home has washer and dryer and is accented with tile and hardwood flooring. The 15'x12' primary bedroom suite has a cozy bay window, while the 11x10'7" second brm/den has two large closets! The second bedroom functions beautifully as a den/office area flex space. You'll love the location, close to beautiful Washington Park with tennis, basketball, football, baseball sections and play areas for the young or young at heart. 1300 Central Avenue is close to shopping, trendy restaurants, and easy access to highways. NJ Bus Transit to Port Authority is located at Summit Avenue and 12th Street.
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2019-09-24historical
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2019-06-21status Active
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2019-06-10historical
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2019-05-21$275,000 Active
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2008-01-13historical
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2007-09-15$249,000
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2007-09-04historical
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2007-05-29$275,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,283 · $357/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,690 · $474/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,407/yr (+$117/mo · 32.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,283
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,736
- − Management
- −$2,736
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$1,236
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,210
- Composite
- 21.55/100
- National rank
- #8312
- State rank
- #399 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Union City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #2998
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union City, NJ
- County
- Hudson County · 718,323 people
- City population
- 66,463
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,463
- Household income
- $64,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6042.0
Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 771,834 people
- By 2030
- 818,028 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 907,866 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 994,480 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 1,163,301 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,254,703 · +62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 28% White 10% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 9% Dominican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 74% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hudson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.10%
- Current HPI
- 597.8126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.89%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+12.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $310,000 NJMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $310,000 HCMLS
- 2019-09-24 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2019-06-21 Relisted — HCMLS
- 2019-06-10 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2019-05-21 Listed $275,000 HCMLS
- 2008-01-13 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2007-09-15 Listed $249,000 HCMLS
- 2007-09-04 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2007-05-29 Listed $275,000 HCMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2021): $4,283 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…