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2207 16th St Duplex
B- Composite 65.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

2207 16th St · Emmetsburg, IA 50536
6 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,341 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1921 8,784 sqft lot $60/sqft · 5% below area Est $148k · 5% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Excellent Investment Opportunity! This well-maintained duplex features two spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath units — each with its own 1-car garage, private entrance, and in-unit laundry. Both units offer bright living spaces, functional layouts, and separate utilities for easy management. Recent updates include a brand-new roof and new carpeting in the main-floor bedrooms, making this property truly move-in ready. Perfect for an owner-occupant looking to live in one unit and rent the other, or an investor seeking reliable rental income. Don’t miss your chance to own this versatile, income-producing property — schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Recent updates
  • Brand new roof

Tags

PRIVATE ENTRANCEIN UNIT LAUNDRYRECENT UPDATESBRAND NEW ROOFNEW CARPETINGSEPARATE UTILITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex (multi-family residential); Two levels; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $172/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.7% in Emmetsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#31 in IA, #881 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Emmetsburg Community School District (town): math 64% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #176 of 289 in IA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 300 students, 41% FRL); Emmetsburg Middle School (math 68% / reading 67%, grade A-, #133 of 246 statewide, top 56%, 225 students, 48% FRL); Emmetsburg High School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #211 of 336 statewide, top 70%, 245 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Palo Alto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palo Alto County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.56%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,928
List price
$139,900
Delta
-5.43%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-755
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$27,479
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50536

Home prices YoY
-7.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
15.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,056/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,114
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $384 +0% $345 +5% $305 +10% $265
Rent -10% $222 -5% $283 +0% $345 +5% $406 +10% $467
Rate -1.0pp $415 -0.5pp $380 base $345 +0.5pp $308 +1.0pp $271

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,550

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $139,900 Active 654-char remark
  19. 2025-10-31
    listed $144,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,056 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,626 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$570/yr (+$48/mo · 54.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,056
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$471
After-tax cash flow
$3,664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Emmetsburg Community School District
NCES district ID
1910950
Math proficiency
64% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$46,839
Composite
56.97/100
National rank
#1110
State rank
#176 of 289 in IA

Livability — Emmetsburg

Score
83/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#881

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Emmetsburg, IA
City population
4,287
Population (ZIP)
4,287

Population outlook (Palo Alto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,816 people
By 2030
8,634 · -2.1%
By 2040
8,334 · -5.5%
By 2050
8,232 · -6.6%
By 2075
8,533 · -3.2%
By 2100
8,976 · +1.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palo Alto

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.0) · D 26.9% · R 71.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-47.8pp toward R · 2008: 2.8pp · 2024: -45.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.0 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.96%
Current HPI
237.1703
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $139,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $144,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,056 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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