Duplex
4113 Cope St · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$460,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Nice location midtown Duplex with 8 bedrooms ideal for a large family. 1-3BR Unit, 1-5 BR Unit, 3 kitchens, washer and dryer on site. and fully rented to long term tenants. Property recreated in 1984.
Key facts
- Midtown duplex
- 3 kitchens
- 6,790 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $460k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $239/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $460k).
- Recommended offer: $405k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Willow Crest Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #128 of 156 statewide, top 86%, 284 students, 100% FRL); Romig Middle School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #22 of 36 statewide, top 63%, 720 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 38% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Anchorage School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $129k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.45%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $707,808
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4207 Cope St | 0.05mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 2,978 (-8%) | 1mo | $625,000 | $210 | 75 |
| 4309 Garfield St | 0.25mi | 6/3.0 | 3,016 (-7%) | 6mo | $660,000 | $219 | 72 |
| 3807 Greenland Dr | 0.43mi | 6/4.0 | 3,308 (+2%) | 13mo | $799,900 | $242 | 61 |
| 3305 Greenland Dr | 0.62mi | 6/5.0 | 3,671 (+14%) | 19mo | $620,000 | $169 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.1% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $84,971
- Equity at exit
- $209,417
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $252,557
- Equity at exit
- $324,757
Cash invested: $128,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99503
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 16.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,625 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,412
- Tax from tax record
- −$573 /mo · $6,872/yr
- Insurance
- −$192
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$971
- Net cashflow
- $477
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $738 | -5% $607 | +0% $477 | +5% $347 | +10% $217 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $112 | -5% $294 | +0% $477 | +5% $660 | +10% $843 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $709 | -0.5pp $594 | base $477 | +0.5pp $358 | +1.0pp $237 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 1.5 | $4,624 |
| #1 | 4 | 1.5 | $2,312 |
| #2 | 4 | 1.5 | $2,312 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,625 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $115,000
- Closing costs
- $13,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-02-28status Pending
-
2026-01-14status Active
-
2026-01-14price $460,000
-
2025-05-08$500,000 Active
-
2013-08-26$332,000
-
2003-04-08soldstatus
-
2002-09-10$215,000
-
1997-11-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,872 · $573/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,872 · $573/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,767
- − Property taxes
- −$6,872
- − Insurance
- −$2,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,440
- − Management
- −$4,440
- − Depreciation
- −$13,382
- Taxable loss
- −$1,701
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$408
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,964
- Household income
- $76,144
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 747.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Asian 15% Native American 15% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 9% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.10%
- Current HPI
- 238.2191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+114.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-28 Pending — AKMLS
- 2026-01-14 Relisted — AKMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $460,000 AKMLS
- 2025-05-08 Listed $500,000 AKMLS
- 2013-08-26 Listed $332,000 AKMLS
- 2003-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-09-10 Listed $215,000 AKMLS
- 1997-11-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,872 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…