8021 Middlesex Rd · Mentor, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Pristine 4 bedroom 2 full bath Cape Cod on this tree lined street in the desirable sought after area in Mentor. The living room has a wood burning stone fireplace. Roomy 2 bedrooms on the first floor with a full bath and new flooring. New luxury vinyl tile throughout the kitchen and master bath and fresh paint throughout. The full Master bath has been renovated with LVT flooring and new vanity. Huge bonus room/ office off the master bedroom or whatever you'd like this room to be! Screened porch, paver patio, and a deck built around a beautiful tree which overlooks the serene 1/2 acre lot. Tons of storage!!! Great location! Close to both Rt 90 and Rt 2 and within walking distance of restaurants, stores, Mall, gym, etc. Truly move in ready!
Key facts
- Large mudroom
- Updated kitchen
- Spacious loft
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community amenities include fitness center, playground, park, shopping, tennis courts and pool, and medical services
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car), paved
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home
- Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built (public records)
- Exterior features: Deck, enclosed porch, patio and porch; Outbuilding / shed(s); Community pool; Property faces west
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Total of 8 rooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air gas heating
- Interior features: Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $267k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.7% in Mentor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#53 in OH, #739 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Mentor Exempted Village (suburban): math 58% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #201 of 656 in OH (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $250k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.23%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $292,932
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8101 Middlesex Rd | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,829 (-1%) | 2mo | $278,000 | $152 | 84 |
| 8002 Stockbridge Rd | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,906 (+3%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $157 | 77 |
| 7648 Poplar Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,884 (+2%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $133 | 71 |
| 8119 Dartmoor Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (-7%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $171 | 68 |
| 8115 Brookview Ln | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,892 (+2%) | 9mo | $440,000 | $233 | 64 |
| 8285 Steeplechase Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,836 (-1%) | 2mo | $341,000 | $186 | 62 |
| 8304 Clydesdale Dr | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,892 (+2%) | 2mo | $499,990 | $264 | 62 |
| 8224 Dartmoor Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,704 (-8%) | 4mo | $223,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 8250 Broadmoor Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,908 (+3%) | 9mo | $262,500 | $138 | 59 |
| 8223 Broadmoor Rd | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+8%) | 7mo | $246,000 | $123 | 50 |
| 8298 Clydesdale Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 2,027 (+9%) | 9mo | $485,000 | $239 | 48 |
| 8145 Midland Rd | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,650 (-11%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $158 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-26,092
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $25,286
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44060
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,666 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,951/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$560
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $383 | -5% $301 | +0% $219 | +5% $137 | +10% $55 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $8 | -5% $113 | +0% $219 | +5% $324 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $365 | -0.5pp $292 | base $219 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39441 Stillman Ln Willoughby, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $3,300 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7267 Hayes Blvd Mentor, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2516 | $3,499 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-16status $289,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-13$289,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,951 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,737 · $311/mo
- Expected delta
- +$786/yr (+$65/mo · 26.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$2,951
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,559
- − Management
- −$2,559
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$2,205
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$529
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mentor Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904549
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,267
- Composite
- 55.71/100
- National rank
- #1221
- State rank
- #201 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mentor
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #739
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mentor, OH
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- City population
- 60,779
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,779
- Household income
- $87,599
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 883.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.36%
- Current HPI
- 188.9887
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.54%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+132.1% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $289,900 MLSNOW
- 2021-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) $250,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-03-14 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-03-12 Listed $239,900 MLSNOW
- 2021-03-04 Coming Soon $239,900 MLSNOW
- 2019-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $199,900 Public Records
- 2019-06-04 Sold (MLS) $199,900 MLSNOW
- 2019-05-16 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2019-04-15 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2019-04-04 Price Changed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 2019-03-10 Price Changed $210,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-02-11 Listed $220,000 MLSNOW
- 2015-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $175,900 Public Records
- 2015-08-31 Sold (MLS) $175,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-08-28 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2015-07-15 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2015-06-29 Price Changed $184,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-06-08 Listed $189,900 MLSNOW
- 2003-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records
- 1998-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 1996-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $122,900 Public Records
- 1996-03-15 Sold (MLS) $122,900 MLSNOW
- 1995-11-17 Listed $122,900 MLSNOW
- 1995-11-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1995-05-15 Listed $124,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,951 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…