3810 41st St W #3810 · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great remodeled 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, Villa, with the Best West Bradenton location, close to Beaches and Shopping. Short walk to Pool and Clubhouse in this 55+ active community. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and appliances. Newer tile floors in living, dining and kitchen. Full size new Washer and Dryer.
Key facts
- Hvac replacement
- Community pool
- Low condo fees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished; Association names: Dom Spinelli; Cortez Villas Property Association; Directions available for property access
- Financial info: Total annual HOA/condo fees $5,268; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $439; HOA includes cable TV, pool, insurance, internet, building and grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water, escrow reserves and recreational facilities; Association approval required; Community features include pool, community mailbox, deed restrictions and sidewalks; Senior community; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats and dogs OK, breed restrictions, number limit, max pet weight 15 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Paved access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; High-speed internet available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; One story; East facing; Unit on first floor
- Construction: Block and cement siding construction; Membrane and shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Cortz Villas
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Screened porch; Sidewalks; Landscaped with mature landscaping and trees; Level lot; Street dead-end; Paved surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Coffered ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Thermostat; Window treatments; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside in a laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($874/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,029/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1736% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $155k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.01%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-26,111
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-38,472
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,029 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,563/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$439
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $117 | +0% $73 | +5% $29 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-7 | +0% $73 | +5% $153 | +10% $233 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $112 | base $73 | +0.5pp $33 | +1.0pp $-8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4107 41st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $3,700 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4325 40th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,675 | $2.16 | 11d | 9 | 0.29mi |
| 4460 Fairways Blvd #606 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4570 Pinebrook Cir #304 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $3,100 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3806 Southern Pkwy W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,176 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 108 Pinehurst Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,500 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4240 Ironwood Cir #404 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,495 | $2.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3909 45th Ter W #106 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4040 Ironwood Cir Unit 404F Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4040 Ironwood Cir Unit 406F Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,675 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 501A Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $2,595 | $3.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3603 Oxford Dr W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 406 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 406 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4457 45th Ave W #211 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,950 | $2.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3715 45th Ter W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3825 45th Ter W #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3401 50th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,699 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4110 Ironwood Cir #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4210 Ironwood Cir Unit 103J Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3603 45th Ter W #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4655 46th Street Ct W #103 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $600 | $0.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 283 Sherwood Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 303 Springdale Dr #303 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,999 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4550 47th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,800 | $1.94 | 3d | 27 | 0.78mi |
| 4449 46th Ave W Unit 4449 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $3,200 | $2.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 346 Springdale Dr Unit 346 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4801 47th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,810 | $1.78 | 3d | 32 | 0.86mi |
| 4112 Cape Vista Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,495 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 452 Palm Tree Dr Unit 452 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,595 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 206 Lakewood Dr Unit 206 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $2,700 | $2.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 655 Woodlawn Dr Unit 655 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4802 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,950 | $1.94 | 4d | 13 | 1.04mi |
| 4802 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,950 | $1.94 | 17d | 15 | 1.04mi |
| 4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $439 · $5,268/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $155,000
-
2026-03-05price $159,900
-
2026-02-18price $164,900
-
2026-01-22$169,500 Active
-
2009-11-03soldstatus $60,000
-
2009-10-30soldstatus $60,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great remodeled 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, Villa, with the Best West Bradenton location, close to Beaches and Shopping. Short walk to Pool and Clubhouse in this 55+ active community. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and appliances. Newer tile floors in living, dining and kitchen. Full size new Washer and Dryer.
-
2009-09-29$74,900 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great remodeled 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, Villa, with the Best West Bradenton location, close to Beaches and Shopping. Short walk to Pool and Clubhouse in this 55+ active community. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and appliances. Newer tile floors in living, dining and kitchen. Full size new Washer and Dryer.
-
1998-02-10soldstatus $55,500
-
1995-05-26soldstatus $51,900
-
1990-08-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,563 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,563 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,563
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,948
- − Management
- −$1,948
- − HOA
- −$5,268
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$1,346
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+222.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $164,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listed $169,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-29 Listed $74,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
- 1995-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $51,900 Public Records
- 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,563 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…