40 E Parkwood Dr · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom home captivates with its original woodwork, floors, and unique built-in features. Painted interiors welcome you, creating an inviting atmosphere ready for immediate enjoyment. The main level offers a spacious living room, alongside a formal dining room perfect for hosting gatherings. A generously sized kitchen with an eating area and pantry, provides a wonderful space for dining. You will love the vintage decor! The convenience of a bathroom on each floor enhances daily living. The full basement presents an exciting opportunity to expand your living space, offering endless possibilities for customization to suit your lifestyle needs. Ceiling fans throughout. Pro
Key facts
- Pantry
- Formal dining room
- Original woodwork
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: 2-story; Residential zoning
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on third level (23 x 19); Bedroom on second level (10 x 11); Bedroom on second level (13 x 11); Bedroom on second level (11 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Pantry; Full unfinished basement; One gas fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $120k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.92%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,416
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2331 Newport Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,520 (+6%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $56 | 81 |
| 17 Marie Ave | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 | 1,424 (-1%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $49 | 80 |
| 53 E Beechwood Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,442 (+0%) | 2mo | $163,000 | $113 | 79 |
| 69 E Beechwood Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-2%) | 1mo | $173,000 | $124 | 76 |
| 121 E Hillcrest Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-2%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $53 | 75 |
| 423 Sandalwood Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,444 (+1%) | 0mo | $62,000 | $43 | 74 |
| 50 Woodcrest Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+4%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $103 | 73 |
| 128 E Parkwood Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,228 (-14%) | 1mo | $29,810 | $24 | 63 |
| 165 Basswood Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,253 (-13%) | 2mo | $107,500 | $86 | 60 |
| 2032 Rugby Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,422 (-1%) | 0mo | $44,990 | $32 | 56 |
| 238 Delaware Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,575 (+10%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $22 | 49 |
| 2700 Ridge Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,616 (+12%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $145 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,378
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $18,439
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45405
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 W Fairview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2327 Eastview Ave Dayton, OH | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 31 E Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 101 W Norman Ave Unit 101 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $945 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 26 W Beechwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1468 | $1,050 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 181 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 201 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 167 W Hudson Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,185 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 39 E Maplewood Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1560 | $1,050 | $0.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 42 Pointview Ave Unit 42 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 234 Santa Clara Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,125 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 439 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 317 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,100 | $0.83 | 11d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 265 Victor Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 101 E Bruce Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 338 Kenwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $1,195 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1019 Cherry Dr Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,125 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1743 Radcliffe Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1729 | $1,200 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2232 Salem Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2247 Salem Ave Unit 2249 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2247 Salem Ave Unit 2247 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1225 Amherst Pl Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1548 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 138 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1439 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 136 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1439 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 905 Neal Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 534 Geyer St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,530 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1927 Burroughs Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,245 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 412 Forest Ave Unit 414 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2141 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1736 | $1,395 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $950 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 424 Lexington Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,025 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1108 Rydale Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1281 | $1,245 | $0.97 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$119,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,440 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,655 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$215/yr (+$18/mo · 15.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,440
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,206
- − Management
- −$1,206
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $419
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,955
- Household income
- $43,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1475.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.58%
- Current HPI
- 173.4962
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+280.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $119,900 Dayton MLS
- 1993-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,440 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…