25 Collins Rd · Hattiesburg, MS 39401

$10,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market

Built 1960 0.29 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Auction opportunity! Showings are by appointment only as the property is currently occupied. This property presents a great chance for investors or buyers looking to purchase at a competitive price. Offering strong potential for renovation or rental income, the home is being sold as-is with no warranties expressed or implied. Condition may require repairs and updates, making it ideal for cash buyers or those using renovation financing. Situated in an established area of Hattiesburg, the property provides convenient access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways. Don't miss this opportunity to bid on a property with upside potential--perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers seeking

Key facts

• 0.29 acre lot
• Built 1960
• Listed 60 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot approximately 0.29 acres (100 x 125); Living area reported as 1,446 (source: public records); Parcel information available

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Utilities: Public water; Sewer: unknown; Electricity available; Water available
• Home design: Single-family house; One story
• Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built year sourced from public records
• Exterior features: Front porch; Other exterior features

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heating details provided in remarks; Cooling details provided in remarks
• Interior features: Appliances and interior details are referenced in remarks

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
• Recommended offer: $9k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 109.5% vs local median 4.0% in Hattiesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in MS, #2,046 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment F.
• Forrest County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #47 of 130 in MS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $9,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 11.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 109.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 368.43%
• DSCR: 17.39
• GRM: 0.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 21.54×
• Total profit: $57,512
• Equity at exit: $1,491

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 50.97×
• Total profit: $139,916
• Equity at exit: $865

Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39401

• Rents YoY: 6.6%
• Active inventory: 266
• Price-to-rent: 0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,176 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$52
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$12 /mo · $150/yr
• Insurance: −$4
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$247
• Net cashflow: $860

Break-even live

Break-even rent $87

Max offer price $10,000

Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $867	-5% $863	+0% $860	+5% $856	+10% $853
Rent	-10% $767	-5% $813	+0% $860	+5% $906	+10% $953
Rate	-1.0pp $865	-0.5pp $862	base $860	+0.5pp $857	+1.0pp $854

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $2,500
• Closing costs: $300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-01
   days on market $10,000 Active 61 DOM
2. 2026-05-31
   days on market $10,000 Active 60 DOM
3. 2026-05-30
   days on market $10,000 Active 59 DOM
4. 2026-04-01
   listed $10,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,108
• − Mortgage interest: −$560
• − Property taxes: −$150
• − Insurance: −$50
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,129
• − Management: −$1,129
• − Depreciation: −$291
• Taxable income: $10,800
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,592
• After-tax cash flow: $7,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Forrest County School District
• NCES district ID: 2801490
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $39,597
• Composite: 31.45/100
• National rank: #5980
• State rank: #47 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hattiesburg

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #5
• US rank: #2046

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hattiesburg, MS
• County: Forrest County · 65,413 people
• City population: 87,151
• Metro: Hattiesburg, MS
• Population (ZIP): 42,531
• Household income: $41,127
• Rent vs Own: 56.4% rent · 43.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 2534.0

Population outlook (Forrest County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 79,264 people
• By 2030: 80,822 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 82,979 · +4.7%
• By 2050: 84,324 · +6.4%
• By 2075: 84,942 · +7.2%
• By 2100: 80,616 · +1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 52% White 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Forrest

• 2024 margin: R (+17.9) · D 40.3% · R 58.2% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -17.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+11.7 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -148.93%
• Current HPI: 137.87
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.56%
• Metro: Hattiesburg, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-01 Listed $10,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,139 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.