875 S 43rd St · Springfield, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
Key facts
- Eating bar area
- Classic 1940s home
- Access to back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
- Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mt Vernon Elementary School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #366 of 412 statewide, top 91%, 412 students, 63% FRL); Agnes Stewart Middle School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 513 students, 63% FRL); Springfield High School (math 30% / reading 54%, grade F, #64 of 143 statewide, top 46%, 1,317 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.31%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $416,396
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- -45.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 740 Filbert Ln | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,079 (-2%) | 10mo | $229,000 | $212 | 73 |
| 919 S 37th Pl | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,134 (+3%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $353 | 62 |
| 1091 Longridge Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-4%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $355 | 61 |
| 662 S 44th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,210 (+10%) | 4mo | $394,999 | $326 | 60 |
| 370 S 38th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,096 (-1%) | 1mo | $409,000 | $373 | 59 |
| 647 S 44th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+8%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $290 | 59 |
| 4942 Holly St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,042 (-6%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $350 | 57 |
| 426 S 42nd Pl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 9mo | $362,500 | $302 | 51 |
| 4898 Holly St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,014 (-8%) | 9mo | $377,250 | $372 | 50 |
| 1181 S 39th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-9%) | 10mo | $377,000 | $374 | 45 |
| 425 S 39th Pl | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-13%) | 9mo | $329,000 | $343 | 35 |
| 4833 Daisy St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,256 (+14%) | 8mo | $349,500 | $278 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-43,424
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-44,742
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97478
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,814 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $-121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $34 | -5% $-43 | +0% $-121 | +5% $-199 | +10% $-276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-264 | -5% $-193 | +0% $-121 | +5% $-49 | +10% $22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-64 | base $-121 | +0.5pp $-179 | +1.0pp $-239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4173 Glacier View Dr Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,175 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 617 S 41st Ct Unit 606 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 617 S 41st Ct Unit 610 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 339 S 42nd St Unit 317 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1444 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,150 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 219 S 40th St Unit 221s40th Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,645 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,595 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4885 Aster St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,734 | $1.73 | 15d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 403 S 37th Pl Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,995 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4086 B St Springfield, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 901 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 15d | 6 | 0.83mi |
| 3785 Main St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,645 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4800 B St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 971 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 14 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,199 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 13 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,299 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 317 30th St Springfield, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,649 | $1.37 | 15d | 19 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $224,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $224,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $224,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
-
2026-04-10status Pending 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
-
2026-04-02status Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
-
2026-03-31status Pending 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
-
2026-03-18status Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
-
2026-01-28status Pending 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
-
2026-01-05$229,900 Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Here we have a classic 1940s home. Originally a three bedroom, one of the bedrooms has been turned into a large utility room. The kitchen, located on the south side of the home has an excellent shape and size with a nice eating bar area adjacent to a large dining area. The dining room has access to the back yard. Set back to the southeast of the house is a large detached garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,742
- − Management
- −$1,742
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$5,351
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,284
- After-tax cash flow
- $-167/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 19
- NCES district ID
- 4111670
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,236
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7746
- State rank
- #48 of 58 in OR
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 76,907
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,373
- Household income
- $80,086
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 904.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -395.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.38%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-03-31 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-01-28 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $229,900 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…