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1003 16th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

1003 16th St · Phenix City, AL 36867
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1920 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Investment Opportunity with Rental Income Potential! This spacious and historic home is the perfect blend of character and opportunity. Recently rented for $700/month, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking for a unique home to make their own. With 1312 sq ft of living space, the home boasts 2 large bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Each room is generously sized, including the eat-in kitchen and a convenient laundry room. The layout is designed for comfortable living, and the large yard adds outdoor appeal for tenants or homeowners alike. Step onto the covered front porch and enjoy the timeless charm of this 105-year-old gem. Original details throughout the home add characte

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 69 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No community amenities listed

Exterior

  • Parking: See remarks for parking details
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Covered porch/patio; Back yard; Has a view

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $30,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$154,816) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $897 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.2% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.65%
Cap rate
42.16%
Cash-on-cash
128.08%
DSCR
6.70
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,816
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
923 20th St 0.21mi 2/0.5 1,408 (+7%) 3mo $53,000 $38 74
2105 11th Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,342 (+2%) 4mo $118,500 $88 67
1709 18th Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,326 (+1%) 2mo $170,000 $128 55
2400 13th Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,241 (-5%) 0mo $222,500 $179 53
2304 14th Ct 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,376 (+5%) 4mo $162,000 $118 50
2116 6th Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+10%) 1mo $234,900 $163 49
1011 11th Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,157 (-12%) 1mo $43,000 $37 48
1704 18th Ave 0.66mi 2/1.5 1,191 (-9%) 6mo $132,000 $111 47
2500 5th Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,247 (-5%) 4mo $219,900 $176 44
1008 11th Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 1,124 (-14%) 1mo $23,700 $21 43
500 21st Pl 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+12%) 5mo $250,650 $171 41
2104 1st Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,120 (-15%) 5mo $85,000 $76 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.62×
Total profit
$55,611
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.24×
Total profit
$136,449
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36867

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,396 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $437/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$897

Break-even live

Break-even rent $261
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $914 -5% $905 +0% $897 +5% $888 +10% $880
Rent -10% $786 -5% $841 +0% $897 +5% $952 +10% $1,007
Rate -1.0pp $912 -0.5pp $904 base $897 +0.5pp $889 +1.0pp $881

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2108 9th Ave Phenix City, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,150 $1.11 22d 1 0.39mi
1346 Ingersoll Dr Phenix City, AL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,700 $1.17 14d 1 0.91mi
1106 Broadway Unit 1106C Columbus, GA 1.0 1.0 930 $1,600 $1.72 14d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $30,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $30,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $30,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $30,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $30,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-31
    historical $925
  18. 2026-01-10
    price $925
  19. 2026-01-09
    listed $875
  20. 2025-09-01
    price $40,000
  21. 2025-05-01
    price $45,000
  22. 2025-01-02
    listed $50,000 Active
  23. 2022-05-12
    price $700
  24. 2005-02-11
    soldstatus $21,410

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$437 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$437 · $36/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,751
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$437
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,340
− Management
−$1,340
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$10,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,623
After-tax cash flow
$8,135/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phenix City
NCES district ID
0102700
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,228
Composite
27.29/100
National rank
#7001
State rank
#59 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phenix City

Score
60/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#19037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phenix City, AL
County
Russell County · 53,055 people
City population
62,290
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
22,821
Household income
$48,026
Rent vs Own
52.0% rent · 48.0% own
Severe rent burden
1399.0

Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,137 people
By 2030
75,826 · +8.1%
By 2040
87,858 · +25.3%
By 2050
99,721 · +42.2%
By 2075
128,009 · +82.5%
By 2100
149,251 · +112.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Russell

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
171.8426
Rent YoY
▲ 5.33%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $30,000 EABOR
  • 2026-01-31 Rental Removed $925 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $925 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-09 Listed for Rent $875 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-09-01 Price Changed $40,000 EABOR
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $45,000 EABOR
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $50,000 EABOR
  • 2022-05-12 Price Changed $700 RENT.
  • 2005-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $21,410 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $437 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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