1300 33rd St · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity with major groundwork complete—this home is already down to the studs with minimal demo remaining. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,122 sq ft, it offers endless possibilities. Situated on a corner lot, the layout allows for an open-concept design and flexible reconfiguration. Ideal for investors or renovators ready to customize and add value with their own vision and finishes.
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 51 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 46.9% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 145.16%
- DSCR
- 7.46
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,745
- List price
- $32,500
- Delta
- -72.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1314 Montgomery St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (+9%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $147 | 57 |
| 2914 California St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (-12%) | 10mo | $30,305 | $31 | 51 |
| 1217 Oakhurst Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-7%) | 21mo | $154,900 | $148 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $60,676
- Equity at exit
- $4,846
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.16×
- Total profit
- $137,929
- Equity at exit
- $2,810
Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76302
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,676 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$170
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $469/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $1,034
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,053 | -5% $1,044 | +0% $1,034 | +5% $1,025 | +10% $1,016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $902 | -5% $968 | +0% $1,034 | +5% $1,101 | +10% $1,167 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,051 | -0.5pp $1,043 | base $1,034 | +0.5pp $1,026 | +1.0pp $1,017 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,125
- Closing costs
- $975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1514 Christine Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 46d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $32,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $32,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $37,500 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Investor opportunity with major groundwork complete—this home is already down to the studs with minimal demo remaining. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,122 sq ft, it offers endless possibilities. Situated on a corner lot, the layout allows for an open-concept design and flexible reconfiguration. Ideal for investors or renovators ready to customize and add value with their own vision and finishes.
-
2026-04-14$42,500 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Investor opportunity with major groundwork complete—this home is already down to the studs with minimal demo remaining. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,122 sq ft, it offers endless possibilities. Situated on a corner lot, the layout allows for an open-concept design and flexible reconfiguration. Ideal for investors or renovators ready to customize and add value with their own vision and finishes.
-
2024-09-18soldstatus
-
2018-07-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $469 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $595 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$126/yr (+$10/mo · 26.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,109
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,821
- − Property taxes
- −$469
- − Insurance
- −$960
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,609
- − Management
- −$1,609
- − Depreciation
- −$945
- Taxable income
- $12,697
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,932
- Household income
- $59,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 478.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 191.4059
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-11.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $37,500 WFAOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $42,500 WFAOR
- 2024-09-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $469 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…