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1300 33rd St
D Composite 43.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,500

1300 33rd St · Wichita Falls, TX 76302
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1940 $29/sqft · 72% below area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity with major groundwork complete—this home is already down to the studs with minimal demo remaining. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,122 sq ft, it offers endless possibilities. Situated on a corner lot, the layout allows for an open-concept design and flexible reconfiguration. Ideal for investors or renovators ready to customize and add value with their own vision and finishes.

Key facts

  • Built 1940
  • Listed 51 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 46.9% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $31,525 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.16%
Cap rate
46.94%
Cash-on-cash
145.16%
DSCR
7.46
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,745
List price
$32,500
Delta
-72.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1314 Montgomery St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,223 (+9%) 9mo $180,000 $147 57
2914 California St 0.45mi 3/1.0 990 (-12%) 10mo $30,305 $31 51
1217 Oakhurst Dr 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,048 (-7%) 21mo $154,900 $148 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.67×
Total profit
$60,676
Equity at exit
$4,846
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.16×
Total profit
$137,929
Equity at exit
$2,810

Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76302

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,676 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$170
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $469/yr
Insurance
$14
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$1,034

Break-even live

Break-even rent $366
Max offer price $32,500
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,053 -5% $1,044 +0% $1,034 +5% $1,025 +10% $1,016
Rent -10% $902 -5% $968 +0% $1,034 +5% $1,101 +10% $1,167
Rate -1.0pp $1,051 -0.5pp $1,043 base $1,034 +0.5pp $1,026 +1.0pp $1,017

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,125
Closing costs
$975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1514 Christine Rd Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,600 $1.25 46d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $32,500 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,500 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,500 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,500 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $32,500 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-04-21
    price $37,500 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Investor opportunity with major groundwork complete—this home is already down to the studs with minimal demo remaining. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,122 sq ft, it offers endless possibilities. Situated on a corner lot, the layout allows for an open-concept design and flexible reconfiguration. Ideal for investors or renovators ready to customize and add value with their own vision and finishes.

  7. 2026-04-14
    listed $42,500 Active 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Investor opportunity with major groundwork complete—this home is already down to the studs with minimal demo remaining. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,122 sq ft, it offers endless possibilities. Situated on a corner lot, the layout allows for an open-concept design and flexible reconfiguration. Ideal for investors or renovators ready to customize and add value with their own vision and finishes.

  8. 2024-09-18
    soldstatus
  9. 2018-07-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$469 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$595 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$126/yr (+$10/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,109
− Mortgage interest
−$1,821
− Property taxes
−$469
− Insurance
−$960
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,609
− Management
−$1,609
− Depreciation
−$945
Taxable income
$12,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,047
After-tax cash flow
$9,365/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,932
Household income
$59,590
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
478.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
191.4059
Rent YoY
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $37,500 WFAOR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $42,500 WFAOR
  • 2024-09-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-07-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $469 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…