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5646 Bristle Leaf Dr
D Composite 40.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

5646 Bristle Leaf Dr · Wylie, TX 75407
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,012 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2022 5,227 sqft lot Est $194k · at est. $58/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 5646 Bristle Leaf Dr in Princeton, TX! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home built in 2022 offers low-maintenance living with modern finishes and an open-concept layout perfect for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or investors. The bright kitchen opens to the spacious living area, creating a functional flow for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy energy-efficient construction, modern cabinetry, durable flooring, and a private backyard with room to relax, garden, or entertain. The attached garage and smart layout maximize every square foot. Located in fast-growing Princeton near McKinney, this home offers convenient access to Hwy 380, shopping, dining, schools, and major empl

Key facts

  • Modern cabinetry
  • Private backyard
  • Convenient access

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENT CONSTRUCTIONMODERN CABINETRYPRIVATE BACKYARDCONVENIENT ACCESSNEARBY ATTRACTIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type treated as residential single family; Standard listing; transaction type: For Sale; Possession at closing/funding
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA financing; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual HOA fee of $700; HOA includes full use of facilities and grounds maintenance; HOA management: Bridgewater Residential Community, Inc.

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Garage; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Preowned (built in 2022)
  • Construction: Built in 2022; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Less than 0.5 acre lot; Subdivision: Bridgewater Ph 4b; Please use GPS for directions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Kitchen island; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level); Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); 6 total rooms; 1 living area; 1 dining area; One-level layout
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater; Utility room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (9.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (0.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harper El (math 50% / reading 41%, grade D-, #1,112 of 4,322 statewide, top 26%, 436 students, 56% FRL); Clark Middle (math 53% / reading 42%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 707 students, 66% FRL); Princeton H S (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #437 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,521 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1410 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,795 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.26%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5509 Timber Point Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,039 (+3%) 4mo $199,000 $192 85
207 Lemongrass 0.30mi 2/1.0 1,039 (+3%) 8mo $187,900 $181 75
318 Moray Dr 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,047 (+4%) 8mo $210,000 $201 73
115 Lemongrass Dr 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,039 (+3%) 13mo $215,000 $207 70
733 Slocum Way 0.75mi 2/1.0 1,012 (0%) 6mo $193,500 $191 60
111 Wind Cove Ln 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,082 (+7%) 9mo $239,990 $222 44
6211 Surfside Dr 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,084 (+7%) 12mo $229,990 $212 41
6300 Surfside Dr 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,084 (+7%) 13mo $229,990 $212 40
329 Clematis St 0.71mi 2/2.5 1,101 (+9%) 8mo $209,990 $191 39
301 Clematis St 0.71mi 2/2.5 1,101 (+9%) 9mo $209,990 $191 39
305 Clematis St 0.71mi 2/2.5 1,101 (+9%) 9mo $204,990 $186 39
321 Clematis St 0.71mi 2/2.5 1,101 (+9%) 9mo $209,990 $191 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-41,379
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-35.3%
Equity multiple
-0.24×
Total profit
$-64,068
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75407

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
1410
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,840 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$446 /mo · $5,352/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$-97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,964
Max offer price $167,795
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $7 -5% $-45 +0% $-97 +5% $-150 +10% $-202
Rent -10% $-243 -5% $-170 +0% $-97 +5% $-25 +10% $48
Rate -1.0pp $-4 -0.5pp $-50 base $-97 +0.5pp $-145 +1.0pp $-194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5644 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1262 $1,800 $1.43 45d 1 0.03mi
5708 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,925 $1.34 45d 1 0.07mi
119 Cypress Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,750 $1.39 45d 1 0.07mi
5724 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $2,050 $1.62 26d 1 0.09mi
5733 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,720 $1.36 45d 1 0.12mi
5836 Timber Point Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,875 $1.30 20d 1 0.16mi
5504 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,999 $1.35 6d 1 0.16mi
5817 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1411 $1,624 $1.15 22d 1 0.16mi
5825 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,780 $1.24 45d 1 0.17mi
228 Rubylace Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,700 $1.18 45d 1 0.20mi
318 Mahogany Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,800 $1.22 26d 1 0.24mi
136 Honeysuckle St Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1267 $1,700 $1.34 45d 1 0.25mi
330 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,699 $1.15 1d 1 0.25mi
320 Dewberry St Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,695 $1.14 1d 1 0.26mi
320 Dewberry St Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,745 $1.18 14d 1 0.26mi
403 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1485 $1,749 $1.18 7d 1 0.27mi
403 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1485 $1,849 $1.25 26d 1 0.27mi
5836 Crystal Water Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,799 $1.21 7d 1 0.28mi
5847 Rock Maple Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,785 $1.21 19d 1 0.31mi
5847 Rock Maple Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,785 $1.21 9d 1 0.31mi
427 Ashbrook Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,800 $1.21 5d 1 0.32mi
5808 Cherry Hollow Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,749 $1.39 19d 1 0.35mi
143 Plumcove Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 3.0 1376 $2,150 $1.56 45d 1 0.37mi
241 Boxberry Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1411 $1,725 $1.22 45d 1 0.46mi
525 Dashwood Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1243 $1,700 $1.37 1d 1 0.46mi
108 Wyndemere Ln Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1438 $2,100 $1.46 45d 1 0.48mi
617 Dashwood Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,619 $1.12 4d 1 0.51mi
510 Olmstead Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $2,395 $1.90 7d 1 0.53mi
5105 Greywing Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1438 $1,895 $1.32 19d 1 0.65mi
5322 Longshadow Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,699 $1.21 4d 1 0.70mi
5322 Longshadow Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,899 $1.35 22d 1 0.70mi
6018 Primrose Rd , TX 3.0–4.0 2.5 1484 $1,800 $1.21 5d 5 0.70mi
623 Linden Rd Princeton, TX 3.0 2.5 1419 $1,650 $1.16 45d 1 0.72mi
5213 Longshadow Dr Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,985 $1.58 1d 1 0.72mi
134 Harvest St Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,825 $1.27 20d 1 0.72mi
6114 Holly Spring Rd , TX 2.0 2.5 1130 $1,675 $1.48 45d 1 0.72mi
6114 Holly Spring Rd , TX 2.0 2.5 1351 $1,550 $1.15 14d 1 0.72mi
6203 Holly Spring Rd , TX 2.0 2.5 1130 $1,595 $1.41 45d 1 0.72mi
5324 Vinebrook Way Princeton, TX 3.0 2.0 1262 $1,695 $1.34 45d 1 0.72mi
6111 Shearwater Rd , TX 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,900 $1.36 1d 1 0.73mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$58 · $696/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,352 · $446/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,352 · $446/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥110°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,083
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$5,352
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,767
− Management
−$1,767
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$4,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,000
After-tax cash flow
$-169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Princeton ISD
NCES district ID
4835850
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,827
Composite
42.44/100
National rank
#3226
State rank
#188 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wylie

Score
69/100
State rank
#419
US rank
#8623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Collin County · 1,159,394 people
City population
34,171
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,171
Household income
$100,037
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
368.0

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,210,074 people
By 2030
1,358,201 · +12.2%
By 2040
1,654,061 · +36.7%
By 2050
1,937,359 · +60.1%
By 2075
2,567,039 · +112.1%
By 2100
2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Mexico
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

2024 margin
R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.99%
Current HPI
238.9373
Rent YoY
▼ -1.02%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $185,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+90.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,352 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…