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1302 Kelsey Ave Duplex
D Composite 42.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

1302 Kelsey Ave · Toledo, OH 43605
None bd · None ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1904 Poor condition 3,385 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED SELLER FORMER DUPLEX NOW A CHURCH.TAXES LISTED ARE AS CHURCH. COULD BE CONVERTED BACK TO A DUPLEX WITH SOME WORK. UPPER NEEDS BATHROOM AND A CLOSET TO BE A 2 BEDROOM UNIT. BATH LISTED IN ROOM SPECS IS JUST A "SPACE" MAINE FLOOR NEEDS WALLS, BATH, AND KITCHEN CONVERSION. CURRENTLY LOWER HAS 2 HALF BATHS WHICH COULD EASILY BE CONVERTED TO A FULL BATH.SOLD AS IS ALL ITEMS SAY WITH PROPERTY.

Key facts

  • Corner location
  • Off-street parking
  • 3,385 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOCATIONOFF-STREET PARKINGINCOME-PRODUCING DUPLEXREPOSITIONING POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Duplex with 2 units (both currently vacant); One building

Exterior

  • Parking: Space for 6 vehicles; Asphalt paved parking with alley access, on-street parking and parking lot
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property (duplex); Two-story; Two levels; Mixed use/other structure type
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Flat and shingle roof; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $40k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $621/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 43.6% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,461 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,922/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1257% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $40k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.81%
Cap rate
43.55%
Cash-on-cash
133.07%
DSCR
6.92
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1302 Kelsey Ave 0.00mi —/— 0mo $42,000 87
334 Willard St 0.11mi 5/2.0 2,800 2mo $50,000 $18 80
349 Parker Ave 0.15mi 4/2.0 2,468 2mo $79,900 $32 79
457 Parker Ave 0.26mi 6/4.0 4mo $160,000 72
414 Oswald St 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,536 2mo $96,000 $63 69
826 Greenwood Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,592 1mo $67,000 $42 69
1207 Nevada St 0.39mi —/— 5mo $68,000 65
1539 Mott Ave 0.51mi 4/2.0 1mo $54,890 63
440 5th St 0.51mi 6/3.0 2,688 1mo $134,900 $50 62
645 White St 0.49mi 4/2.0 3mo $66,500 62
132 Elgin Ave 0.49mi 6/2.5 2,384 4mo $89,900 $38 62
566 Howland Ave 0.50mi 11/4.0 4,256 4mo $22 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.91×
Total profit
$77,339
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.92×
Total profit
$189,527
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43605

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,922 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$1,242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $350
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,270 -5% $1,256 +0% $1,242 +5% $1,228 +10% $1,214
Rent -10% $1,090 -5% $1,166 +0% $1,242 +5% $1,318 +10% $1,394
Rate -1.0pp $1,262 -0.5pp $1,252 base $1,242 +0.5pp $1,232 +1.0pp $1,221

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,922

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
245 Plymouth St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,125 $0.70 15d 1 0.06mi
315 Parker Ave Unit 3 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 1029 $799 $0.78 24d 1 0.14mi
223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1098 $1,099 $1.00 24d 1 0.20mi
1311 Mason St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 950 $703 $0.74 15d 1 0.21mi
653 Oswald St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 920 $800 $0.87 44d 1 0.23mi
1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1282 $1,149 $0.90 44d 1 0.39mi
420 Platt St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1499 $685 $0.46 22d 1 0.39mi
221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,099 $1.05 24d 1 0.40mi
414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,150 $0.77 24d 1 0.40mi
414 Platt St Unit ST-1 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.40mi
1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,000 $0.93 44d 1 0.40mi
578 Dearborn Ave Unit 2 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 660 $750 $1.14 24d 1 0.41mi
1123 Nevada St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 792 $900 $1.14 15d 1 0.41mi
557 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 848 $1,100 $1.30 44d 1 0.42mi
1104 Nevada St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 $900 44d 1 0.46mi
508 Howland Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 840 $1,000 $1.19 44d 1 0.47mi
1614 Nevada St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1172 $1,000 $0.85 22d 1 0.48mi
251 Graham St Apt A Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 625 $850 $1.36 44d 1 0.48mi
752 Euclid Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 $850 44d 1 0.49mi
451 5th St Apt 1 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 850 $650 $0.76 44d 1 0.52mi
571 Howland Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 874 $875 $1.00 44d 1 0.54mi
128 Carbon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,200 $1.08 24d 1 0.55mi
470 2nd St Unit 1 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $799 $0.84 44d 1 0.57mi
724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 819 $750 $0.92 44d 1 0.59mi
724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 850 $750 $0.88 15d 1 0.59mi
2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,025 $0.92 24d 1 0.64mi
1505 Navarre Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1331 $1,145 $0.86 44d 1 0.66mi
537 Potter St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $625 $0.52 24d 1 0.73mi
537 Potter St Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 1000 $600 $0.60 44d 1 0.73mi
419 Clyde St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 $1,100 15d 1 0.75mi
948 White St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,135 $1.11 15d 1 0.76mi
625 Riverside Dr Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,767 $2.05 15d 37 0.77mi
2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,200 $0.89 15d 1 0.83mi
1106 White St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,015 $0.85 15d 1 0.87mi
237 Yondota St Apt 3 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 $550 44d 1 0.87mi
908 Forsythe St Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1164 $900 $0.77 15d 1 0.88mi
908 Forsythe St Unit Downstairs Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1164 $950 $0.82 44d 1 0.88mi
722 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 15d 1 0.94mi
21 Magyar St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 680 $1,050 $1.54 44d 1 0.94mi
732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 968 $1,145 $1.18 15d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $40,000 Active
  3. 2025-10-14
    price $11,000 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER FORMER DUPLEX NOW A CHURCH.TAXES LISTED ARE AS CHURCH. COULD BE CONVERTED BACK TO A DUPLEX WITH SOME WORK. UPPER NEEDS BATHROOM AND A CLOSET TO BE A 2 BEDROOM UNIT. BATH LISTED IN ROOM SPECS IS JUST A "SPACE" MAINE FLOOR NEEDS WALLS, BATH, AND KITCHEN CONVERSION. CURRENTLY LOWER HAS 2 HALF BATHS WHICH COULD EASILY BE CONVERTED TO A FULL BATH.SOLD AS IS ALL ITEMS SAY WITH PROPERTY.

  4. 2018-11-08
    soldstatus $11,000 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER FORMER DUPLEX NOW A CHURCH.TAXES LISTED ARE AS CHURCH. COULD BE CONVERTED BACK TO A DUPLEX WITH SOME WORK. UPPER NEEDS BATHROOM AND A CLOSET TO BE A 2 BEDROOM UNIT. BATH LISTED IN ROOM SPECS IS JUST A "SPACE" MAINE FLOOR NEEDS WALLS, BATH, AND KITCHEN CONVERSION. CURRENTLY LOWER HAS 2 HALF BATHS WHICH COULD EASILY BE CONVERTED TO A FULL BATH.SOLD AS IS ALL ITEMS SAY WITH PROPERTY.

  5. 2018-03-21
    listed $14,900 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER FORMER DUPLEX NOW A CHURCH.TAXES LISTED ARE AS CHURCH. COULD BE CONVERTED BACK TO A DUPLEX WITH SOME WORK. UPPER NEEDS BATHROOM AND A CLOSET TO BE A 2 BEDROOM UNIT. BATH LISTED IN ROOM SPECS IS JUST A "SPACE" MAINE FLOOR NEEDS WALLS, BATH, AND KITCHEN CONVERSION. CURRENTLY LOWER HAS 2 HALF BATHS WHICH COULD EASILY BE CONVERTED TO A FULL BATH.SOLD AS IS ALL ITEMS SAY WITH PROPERTY.

  6. 2017-12-28
    historical
  7. 2017-07-17
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,064
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,845
− Management
−$1,845
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$15,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,641
After-tax cash flow
$11,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This former duplex, now a church, requires extensive rehabilitation to restore it to livable condition. Significant repairs and updates are needed to improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed wiring — Safety hazard
  • Major Debris — Structural damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Rehabilitation of the entire property — Restoration to a livable condition
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances property's visual appeal
  • Both HVAC and electrical system upgrades — Ensures comfort and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed wiring · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Debris · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Rehabilitation of the entire property — Restoration to a livable condition
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances property's visual appeal
  • Both HVAC and electrical system upgrades — Ensures comfort and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,441
Household income
$39,118
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
1257.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.85%
Current HPI
138.6894
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $40,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $11,000 NORIS
  • 2018-11-08 Sold (MLS) $11,000 NORIS
  • 2018-03-21 Listed $14,900 NORIS
  • 2017-12-28 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2017-07-17 Listed $29,900 NORIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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