CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2372 Blue Sage Lane #87 Ln
B Composite 70.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2372 Blue Sage Lane #87 Ln · Boise City, ID 83716
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 141 Days on market
Built 1985 $660/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well maintained single-wide manufactured home located on Lake Patricia in Blue Valley Lakeside Community! This very affordable home is conveniently located in Southeast Boise and provides easy access to I-84, Boise Airport, downtown Boise, shopping and is just 5 miles to Lucky Peak Reservoir. This home has two covered porches and an open living/kitchen area making it great for hosting friends and family while enjoining the views of Lake Patricia. This home also has built-in cabinets and plenty of storage and an alarm system. Lot rent is $750 plus $65 for water and sewer. Contact [email protected]. Must be pre-approved by park prior to seller accepting an offer.

Key facts

  • Plenty of storage
  • Built-in cabinets
  • Alarm system

Tags

BLUE VALLEY LAKESIDE COMMUNITYTWO COVERED PORCHESOPEN LIVING KITCHEN AREABUILT-IN CABINETSPLENTY OF STORAGEALARM SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee (approximately $660/month)

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Community water service
  • Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot; Built in 1985
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Vinyl fencing; Covered patio/deck; Composition roof; Located in a mobile home park; Private road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Breakfast bar; Tile counters; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Freestanding oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom with en-suite bath; Split bedroom floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar; Pantry; Tile counters
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room on the main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Timberline High School (math 53% / reading 74%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,398 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 33% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Boise Independent District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
10.88%
Cash-on-cash
16.37%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$60,984
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2155 Blue Sage Ln 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,057 (+14%) 11mo $70,000 $66 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$14,685
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$71,300
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83716

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,465 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$660
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,885
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $541 -5% $500 +0% $458 +5% $417 +10% $375
Rent -10% $264 -5% $361 +0% $458 +5% $556 +10% $653
Rate -1.0pp $519 -0.5pp $489 base $458 +0.5pp $427 +1.0pp $396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$660 · $7,920/yr
Likely covers
watersewer

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-03-02
    price $120,000
  16. 2026-01-28
    listed $140,000 Active
  17. 2020-09-29
    price $76,825
  18. 2020-09-06
    status Pending
  19. 2020-08-11
    listed $80,000 Active
  20. 2018-03-21
    soldstatus Sold
  21. 2018-02-28
    historical
  22. 2018-02-16
    status Pending
  23. 2018-02-07
    price $42,000
  24. 2018-02-01
    status Active
  25. 2018-01-30
    status Pending
  26. 2018-01-09
    listed $43,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,585
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,367
− Management
−$2,367
− HOA
−$7,920
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,036
After-tax cash flow
$4,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boise Independent District
NCES district ID
1600360
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$49,135
Composite
41.82/100
National rank
#3388
State rank
#36 of 92 in ID

Livability — Boise City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Boise City, ID
County
Ada County · 522,161 people
City population
152,689
Metro
Boise City, ID
Population (ZIP)
21,402
Household income
$128,822
Rent vs Own
21.2% rent · 78.8% own
Severe rent burden
408.0

Population outlook (Ada County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
535,818 people
By 2030
585,751 · +9.3%
By 2040
682,435 · +27.4%
By 2050
775,818 · +44.8%
By 2075
994,458 · +85.6%
By 2100
1,148,884 · +114.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ada

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 43.4% · R 53.8% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.80%
Current HPI
332.0696
Rent YoY
▲ 4.78%
Metro
Boise City, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $120,000 IMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $140,000 IMLS
  • 2020-09-29 Price Changed $76,825 IMLS
  • 2020-09-06 Pending IMLS
  • 2020-08-11 Listed $80,000 IMLS
  • 2018-03-21 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2018-02-28 Listing Removed IMLS
  • 2018-02-16 Pending IMLS
  • 2018-02-07 Price Changed $42,000 IMLS
  • 2018-02-01 Relisted IMLS
  • 2018-01-30 Pending IMLS
  • 2018-01-09 Listed $43,000 IMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…