3727 86th St Unit 4A · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Conveniently located one bedroom co-op in Jackson Heights, Queens in a Clean Elevator building with Laundry, superintendent, security cameras, The unit contains a living room, kitchen, one bedroom, and one full bathroom, and great closet space. Safe neighborhood close to transportation 7 train, Q29 and Q49, 20 Minutes to Manhattan, Close to shopping, restaurants, parks, and schools great school district.
Key facts
- Security cameras
- Superintendent
- Great closet space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: BRADFORD HOUSE
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Carport: none; Parking features: waitlist
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One level; Located on entry level 4; Building with 7 stories total
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation type
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Open kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 4
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Open kitchen; Laundry room; Stainless steel appliances; Hardwood floors; No basement; Attic none; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (5.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Ps 89 Jose Peralta School of Dreamers (The) (math 32% / reading 49%, grade F, #1,413 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 1,241 students, 82% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.40%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-48,600
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -27.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-71,705
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11372
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,985 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $-88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $71 | -5% $-8 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-167 | +10% $-247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-244 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-9 | +10% $69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $28 | -0.5pp $-29 | base $-88 | +0.5pp $-147 | +1.0pp $-208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37-27 86th St Unit 6N Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 650 | $1,900 | $2.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3716 83rd St Jackson Heights, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 40-38 82nd St Apt 3C Elmhurst, NY | — | 1.0 | 350 | $1,600 | $4.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3730 103rd St Corona, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,800 | $3.33 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10006 32nd Ave East Elmhurst, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,500 | $5.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 31-47 102nd St Unit 2 fl Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,600 | $4.00 | 26d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3260 106th St East Elmhurst, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $3,250 | $5.42 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9430 58th Ave Unit 3A Elmhurst, NY | — | 1.0 | 530 | $1,800 | $3.40 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2724 Gillmore St Unit 2 East Elmhurst, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,300 | $3.99 | 26d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 86-16 60th Ave Unit 1K Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 26d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6125 97th St Unit 4D Rego Park, NY | — | 1.0 | 650 | $2,300 | $3.54 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 6155 98th St Unit 8B Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $230,000 Pending 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $230,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-03-12$230,000 Active
-
2025-09-24historical
-
2025-06-27status Active
-
2024-10-09$230,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,948
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,906
- − Management
- −$1,906
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$4,962
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,191
- After-tax cash flow
- $139/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,756
- Household income
- $78,606
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4836.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Asian 21% Two or more races 21% White 18% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 60% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Spanish 51% Other Indo-European 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.57%
- Current HPI
- 239.6404
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.59%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $230,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-09 Listed $230,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…