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27250 Murrieta Rd #347
B+ Composite 77.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

27250 Murrieta Rd #347 · Menifee, CA 92586
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,833 sqft · Manufactured · 27 Days on market
Built 1988 Fair condition Est $202k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH!!! Located in a desirable 55+ community, this spacious triple-section manufactured home sits on a fantastic corner location with great curb appeal and is just steps from the Sun Meadows clubhouse, pool/spa, putting green, and community amenities! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a functional floor plan with each bedroom featuring a walk-in closet. Interior features include finished drywall, vaulted ceilings, ceiling fans, white raised-panel doors, and a cozy corner fireplace with hearth and mantel in the family room. The open kitchen offers abundant cabinetry and a breakfast bar overlooking the living area. Large primary suite includes dual sinks, walk-in shower with

Key facts

  • Corner location
  • Community amenities
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

CORNER LOCATIONSUN MEADOWS CLUBHOUSEPOOL SPAPUTTING GREENCOMMUNITY AMENITIESWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Special assessments; Park name: SUN MEADOWS MOBILE HOME PARK; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease of $997 (seller provided)
  • HOA & community: Part of the Sun Meadow association (Sun Meadow amenities include pool, clubhouse, pickleball, sauna, and front yard maintenance); Senior community; Manager approval required; Park on property

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story manufactured home (Villa West 608C); Mobile home remains; One story
  • Construction: Model: Villa West 608C; Year built (from public records)
  • Exterior features: Association pool; Sprinklers in front and on side; Landscaped front and back yards; Lawn; Level/flat lot with street access; Front yard; Back yard; Paved; Corner lot; Close to clubhouse

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling; Central natural gas furnace heating
  • Interior features: One-level floorplan with front door entry; Entry located at the front door
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Individual laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $969 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.6% in Menifee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#407 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A-; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities D.
  • Menifee Union Elementary (suburban): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #434 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,757/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1163% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.94%
Cash-on-cash
23.73%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,630
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27250 Murrieta Rd #1 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,830 (-0%) 6mo $127,500 $70 95
27250 Murrieta Rd #298 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 4mo $210,000 $134 72
27250 Murrieta #126 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 0mo $225,000 $143 72
27250 Murrieta #85 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (-14%) 0mo $145,000 $92 71
27250 Murrieta Rd #332 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (-14%) 1mo $160,000 $102 70
27250 Murrieta Rd #225 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 10mo $222,500 $142 67
27250 Murrieta #84 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-15%) 4mo $179,900 $115 67
27250 Murrieta Rd #295 0.00mi 3/2.0 2,072 (+13%) 14mo $195,000 $94 67
27250 Murrieta Rd #220 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 14mo $209,000 $133 55
27701 Murrieta Rd #217 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,692 (-8%) 11mo $65,000 $38 51
27601 Sun City Blvd Sp 127 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,704 (-7%) 12mo $85,000 $50 40
27601 Sun City Blvd #312 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,636 (-11%) 11mo $180,000 $110 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$42,256
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$155,199
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92586

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,757 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$579
Net cashflow
$969

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29196 Crestone Dr Sun City, CA 2.0 2.0 1393 $1,995 $1.43 19d 1 0.30mi
26460 Spaniel Ln Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,995 $1.50 1d 1 0.32mi
26772 Maris Ct Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 1715 $2,800 $1.63 1d 1 0.48mi
27305 Uppercrest Ct Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 1318 $2,353 $1.79 22d 1 0.53mi
27055 Fan Ln Menifee, CA 2.0 2.0 1800 $2,950 $1.64 1d 1 0.63mi
25615 Union Hill Dr Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,550 $1.89 15d 1 0.66mi
26805 China Dr Menifee, CA 3.0 2.5 1773 $3,000 $1.69 24d 1 0.82mi
25861 McCall Blvd Menifee, CA 2.0 2.0 1378 $2,350 $1.71 1d 1 0.83mi
28033 Radford Dr Menifee, CA 2.0 2.0 1520 $2,400 $1.58 10d 1 0.91mi
27218 Pennywhistle Way Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 2000 $3,700 $1.85 1d 1 0.91mi
26156 Birkdale Rd Menifee, CA 2.0 2.0 1285 $2,000 $1.56 1d 1 0.91mi
28375 Paseo Grande Dr Menifee, CA 2.0 2.0 1285 $2,395 $1.86 1d 1 0.96mi
27379 Zeolite Rd Menifee, CA 4.0 3.0 2529 $3,700 $1.46 10d 1 1.02mi
27379 Zeolite Rd Menifee, CA 4.0 3.0 2550 $3,700 $1.45 1d 1 1.02mi
25650 Hartwick Rd Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 1603 $2,650 $1.65 22d 1 1.13mi
28461 Portsmouth Dr Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,685 $1.85 1d 1 1.37mi
26542 Sun City Blvd Menifee, CA 2.0 2.0 1530 $2,295 $1.50 10d 1 1.38mi
27709 Camino Donaire Menifee, CA 3.0 2.0 1317 $3,000 $2.28 1d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,087
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,647
− Management
−$2,647
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$9,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,256
After-tax cash flow
$9,370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a desirable 55+ community requires moderate renovations to modernize the kitchen and bathrooms, which will significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Major bathroom cabinets — dated and worn
  • Minor interior walls — paint peeling

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Resale new bathroom cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both paint interior walls — improves the appearance and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom cabinets · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · paint peeling Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Resale new bathroom cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both paint interior walls — improves the appearance and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Menifee Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0624540
Math proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$58,228
Composite
45.17/100
National rank
#5790
State rank
#434 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Menifee

Score
64/100
State rank
#407
US rank
#13882

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Menifee, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
111,667
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
20,767
Household income
$57,708
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
1163.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 17% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.18%
Current HPI
364.9577
Rent YoY
▲ 6.10%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $175,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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