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2013 Windharp
A- Composite 80.55
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$65,000

2013 Windharp · Rosamond, CA 93560
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 94 Days on market
Built 1980 Fair condition $90/sqft · 16% below area Est $78k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell! Cozy 1 + 1 in Tradewinds Mobile Estates located in Rosamond. Home features 1 bedroom with an additional room, a nice sized back yard, This mobile home is in of a little TLC. Beautiful, quiet mobile home park. Hurry this is a steal at this price! Won't last. Close to schools, shopping and bus stop. This is the opportunity to own a great investment

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Back yard
  • Close to bus stop

Tags

BACK YARDCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO BUS STOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 4.3% in Rosamond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,178 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southern Kern Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #387 of 517 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rosamond Elementary (878 students, 94% FRL); Tropico Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 782 students, 80% FRL); Rosamond High Early College Campus (913 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 67% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 463 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,150 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
20.56%
Cash-on-cash
50.95%
DSCR
3.27
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,792
List price
$65,000
Delta
-16.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2017 Windharp Dr #29 0.00mi 2/1.0 728 (+1%) 8mo $80,000 $110 92
2017 Windharp Dr #29 0.10mi 2/1.0 728 (+1%) 8mo $80,000 $110 87
2012 Windbreak Dr #23 0.02mi 2/1.0 672 (-7%) 22mo $80,000 $119 70
2012 Windbreak Dr 0.02mi 2/1.0 672 (-7%) 22mo $80,000 $119 70
2421 sierra Hwy #21 0.56mi 2/2.0 800 (+11%) 9mo $78,000 $98 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.3%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$47,148
Equity at exit
$27,074
10-year hold
IRR
47.7%
Equity multiple
7.20×
Total profit
$112,772
Equity at exit
$40,123

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93560

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
463
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,547 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $727
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $692 -5% $670 +0% $648 +5% $625 +10% $603
Rent -10% $525 -5% $586 +0% $648 +5% $709 +10% $770
Rate -1.0pp $680 -0.5pp $664 base $648 +0.5pp $631 +1.0pp $614

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1933 Harvell St Rosamond, CA 2.0 1.0 600 $1,250 $2.08 0d 1 0.35mi
2541 Diamond St Unit 3 Rosamond, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 0d 1 0.67mi
1857 Elm St #1 Rosamond, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 20d 1 0.69mi
1839 Elm St #4 Rosamond, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 13d 1 0.70mi
2612 Desert St #9 Rosamond, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,050 $1.75 0d 1 0.70mi
2634 Desert St Unit 8 Rosamond, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 0d 1 0.72mi
2841 B St Unit 8 Rosamond, CA 1.0 1.0 608 $1,295 $2.13 0d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-03-19
    listed $65,000 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Priced to sell! Cozy 1 + 1 in Tradewinds Mobile Estates located in Rosamond. Home features 1 bedroom with an additional room, a nice sized back yard, This mobile home is in of a little TLC. Beautiful, quiet mobile home park. Hurry this is a steal at this price! Won't last. Close to schools, shopping and bus stop. This is the opportunity to own a great investment

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,561
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$1,828
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,485
− Management
−$1,485
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,742
After-tax cash flow
$6,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting, replacing carpeting, and updating cabinets and HVAC units would significantly enhance its appeal and marketability.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
  • Minor kitchen cabinets — basic white cabinets
  • Minor bathroom cabinets — basic white cabinets
  • Minor HVAC units — basic units

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpeting — improves comfort and reduces maintenance
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both update bathroom cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both replace HVAC units — improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · moderate wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen cabinets · basic white cabinets Minor $500–3,000
bathroom cabinets · basic white cabinets Minor $500–3,000
HVAC units · basic units Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $4,500–24,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpeting — improves comfort and reduces maintenance
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both update bathroom cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both replace HVAC units — improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southern Kern Unified
NCES district ID
0637620
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$54,523
Composite
22.5/100
National rank
#8093
State rank
#387 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rosamond

Score
49/100
State rank
#1178
US rank
#25952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rosamond, CA
County
Kern County · 710,371 people
City population
22,119
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
22,119
Household income
$77,431
Rent vs Own
22.6% rent · 77.4% own
Severe rent burden
425.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.40%
Current HPI
403.7206
Rent YoY
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $65,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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