2013 Windharp · Rosamond, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell! Cozy 1 + 1 in Tradewinds Mobile Estates located in Rosamond. Home features 1 bedroom with an additional room, a nice sized back yard, This mobile home is in of a little TLC. Beautiful, quiet mobile home park. Hurry this is a steal at this price! Won't last. Close to schools, shopping and bus stop. This is the opportunity to own a great investment
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Back yard
- Close to bus stop
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 4.3% in Rosamond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,178 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Southern Kern Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #387 of 517 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rosamond Elementary (878 students, 94% FRL); Tropico Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 782 students, 80% FRL); Rosamond High Early College Campus (913 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 67% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 463 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.95%
- DSCR
- 3.27
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,792
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -16.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 Windharp Dr #29 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+1%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $110 | 92 |
| 2017 Windharp Dr #29 | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+1%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $110 | 87 |
| 2012 Windbreak Dr #23 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 2012 Windbreak Dr | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 2421 sierra Hwy #21 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+11%) | 9mo | $78,000 | $98 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $47,148
- Equity at exit
- $27,074
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $112,772
- Equity at exit
- $40,123
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93560
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 463
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $692 | -5% $670 | +0% $648 | +5% $625 | +10% $603 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $525 | -5% $586 | +0% $648 | +5% $709 | +10% $770 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $680 | -0.5pp $664 | base $648 | +0.5pp $631 | +1.0pp $614 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1933 Harvell St Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2541 Diamond St Unit 3 Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1857 Elm St #1 Rosamond, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1839 Elm St #4 Rosamond, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2612 Desert St #9 Rosamond, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2634 Desert St Unit 8 Rosamond, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2841 B St Unit 8 Rosamond, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,295 | $2.13 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19$65,000 Active 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Priced to sell! Cozy 1 + 1 in Tradewinds Mobile Estates located in Rosamond. Home features 1 bedroom with an additional room, a nice sized back yard, This mobile home is in of a little TLC. Beautiful, quiet mobile home park. Hurry this is a steal at this price! Won't last. Close to schools, shopping and bus stop. This is the opportunity to own a great investment
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$1,828
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting, replacing carpeting, and updating cabinets and HVAC units would significantly enhance its appeal and marketability.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
- Minor kitchen cabinets — basic white cabinets
- Minor bathroom cabinets — basic white cabinets
- Minor HVAC units — basic units
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace carpeting — improves comfort and reduces maintenance
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
- Both update bathroom cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
- Both replace HVAC units — improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · moderate wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · basic white cabinets | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom cabinets · basic white cabinets | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC units · basic units | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $4,500–24,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace carpeting — improves comfort and reduces maintenance ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Both update bathroom cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Both replace HVAC units — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Kern Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0637620
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,523
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8093
- State rank
- #387 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rosamond
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1178
- US rank
- #25952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rosamond, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 22,119
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,119
- Household income
- $77,431
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- Current HPI
- 403.7206
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…