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1366 Red Valley Rd
C- Composite 54.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$215,000

1366 Red Valley Rd · Remlap, AL 35133
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,299 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 239 Days on market
Built 1974 3.50 ac lot $94/sqft · 37% below area Est $409k · 47% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This full-brick residence offers exceptional space and potential situated on approximately 3.5 fenced acres. Boasting over 2,700 square feet, this home provides the perfect opportunity to add personal touches and updates. The main level features three bedrooms and two full baths, with hardwood flooring throughout and tile in the kitchen and baths. The layout includes a formal living room, a separate dining room, and a cozy den, two fireplaces—one on the main level and one in the downstairs bonus room-adds warmth and character to the home. Ample parking and workspace options include a two-car main-level garage, basement parking, and a large detached shop with electricity, also a barn located at the back of the property, accessible through the wooded area. The basement offers additional shop space and room for future expansion. With solid construction and generous square footage, this property presents an outstanding opportunity to create custom home in a private setting. SOLD "AS IS".

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Full brick residence
  • Separate dining room

Tags

FULL BRICK RESIDENCEAPPROXIMATELY 3.5 FENCED ACRESHARDWOOD FLOORINGTILE IN KITCHEN AND BATHSFORMAL LIVING ROOMSEPARATE DINING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-30/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (25.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.4% in Remlap — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,078 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$409,097
List price
$215,000
Delta
-47.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1775 Red Valley Rd 0.47mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,229 (-3%) 2mo $445,000 $200 64
133 Cedar Bend Cir 0.70mi 3/2.0 2,142 (-7%) 11mo $275,000 $128 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$116,830
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
6.71×
Total profit
$343,961
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35133

Home prices YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $695/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,614
Max offer price $214,557
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $119 -5% $58 +0% $-3 +5% $-63 +10% $-124
Rent -10% $-130 -5% $-66 +0% $-3 +5% $61 +10% $125
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $52 base $-3 +0.5pp $-58 +1.0pp $-115

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 239 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 238 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 237 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 236 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 234 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $215,000 Active 231 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 230 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 229 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 228 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $215,000 Active 225 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 224 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 223 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $215,000 Active 222 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 222 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 221 DOM
  16. 2026-03-24
    price $225,000 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    This full-brick residence offers exceptional space and potential situated on approximately 3.5 fenced acres. Boasting over 2,700 square feet, this home provides the perfect opportunity to add personal touches and updates. The main level features three bedrooms and two full baths, with hardwood flooring throughout and tile in the kitchen and baths. The layout includes a formal living room, a separate dining room, and a cozy den, two fireplaces—one on the main level and one in the downstairs bonus room-adds warmth and character to the home. Ample parking and workspace options include a two-car main-level garage, basement parking, and a large detached shop with electricity, also a barn located at the back of the property, accessible through the wooded area. The basement offers additional shop space and room for future expansion. With solid construction and generous square footage, this property presents an outstanding opportunity to create custom home in a private setting. SOLD "AS IS".

  17. 2026-01-30
    price $234,900 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    This full-brick residence offers exceptional space and potential situated on approximately 3.5 fenced acres. Boasting over 2,700 square feet, this home provides the perfect opportunity to add personal touches and updates. The main level features three bedrooms and two full baths, with hardwood flooring throughout and tile in the kitchen and baths. The layout includes a formal living room, a separate dining room, and a cozy den, two fireplaces—one on the main level and one in the downstairs bonus room-adds warmth and character to the home. Ample parking and workspace options include a two-car main-level garage, basement parking, and a large detached shop with electricity, also a barn located at the back of the property, accessible through the wooded area. The basement offers additional shop space and room for future expansion. With solid construction and generous square footage, this property presents an outstanding opportunity to create custom home in a private setting. SOLD "AS IS".

  18. 2025-10-22
    listed $269,900 Active 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    This full-brick residence offers exceptional space and potential situated on approximately 3.5 fenced acres. Boasting over 2,700 square feet, this home provides the perfect opportunity to add personal touches and updates. The main level features three bedrooms and two full baths, with hardwood flooring throughout and tile in the kitchen and baths. The layout includes a formal living room, a separate dining room, and a cozy den, two fireplaces—one on the main level and one in the downstairs bonus room-adds warmth and character to the home. Ample parking and workspace options include a two-car main-level garage, basement parking, and a large detached shop with electricity, also a barn located at the back of the property, accessible through the wooded area. The basement offers additional shop space and room for future expansion. With solid construction and generous square footage, this property presents an outstanding opportunity to create custom home in a private setting. SOLD "AS IS".

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$695 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$882 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$186/yr (+$16/mo · 26.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,329
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$695
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,546
− Management
−$1,546
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,832
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$920
After-tax cash flow
$890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blount County
NCES district ID
0100420
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,961
Composite
27.79/100
National rank
#6891
State rank
#54 of 129 in AL

Livability — Remlap

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Remlap, AL
City population
2,793
Population (ZIP)
2,793

Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,983 people
By 2030
57,405 · -1.0%
By 2040
55,602 · -4.1%
By 2050
53,393 · -7.9%
By 2075
48,248 · -16.8%
By 2100
44,190 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blount

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.0) · D 9.2% · R 90.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.5pp toward R · 2008: -69.5pp · 2024: -81.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.0 2020: R+80.0 2016: R+81.4 2012: R+74.1 2008: R+69.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.26%
Current HPI
255.0421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $225,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $234,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $269,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $695 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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