Fourplex
4724 N Ebony St · Pharr, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$518,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment opportunity! Fourplex units in the gated community of Hacienda Santa Lucia in Pharr, TX. All units include fridge, stove/oven, microwave, washer & dryer. All units have 1040 square feet of living area with 3 bedrooms 2 full baths, tiled floors and granite counter tops. Assigned covered carports for 2 vehicles for each unit.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Tiled floors
- Near expressway 281
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $518k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $518k).
- Recommended offer: $456k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.8% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dr William Long El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 792 students, 83% FRL); Lyndon B Johnson Middle (math 15% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 1,003 students, 90% FRL); Psja North Early College H S (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #859 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 2,176 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 72% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 541 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,800/mo per unit this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $145k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 716 days — a 12% lower offer ($456k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 47036% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 716 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.42%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $562,161
- List price
- $518,500
- Delta
- -7.77%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4718 N Ebony St | 0.01mi | —/— | 4,160 (0%) | 24mo | $519,000 | $125 | 80 |
| 4905 N Dahlia St | 0.93mi | —/— | 3,944 (-5%) | 5mo | $510,000 | $129 | 52 |
| 3814 N Mezcal Dr | 0.71mi | —/— | 4,250 (+2%) | 22mo | $539,900 | $127 | 44 |
| 3672 N Mezcal Dr | 0.76mi | —/— | 4,250 (+2%) | 21mo | $545,000 | $128 | 44 |
| 5002 N Hiawatha Dr | 0.76mi | —/— | 4,292 (+3%) | 23mo | $539,500 | $126 | 41 |
| 5000 N Hiawatha Dr | 0.76mi | —/— | 4,292 (+3%) | 23mo | $539,500 | $126 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $212,594
- Equity at exit
- $77,310
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.92×
- Total profit
- $568,580
- Equity at exit
- $44,830
Cash invested: $145,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active
- Months of supply
- 54.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $525,000 ($126/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 138 d
- This list price
- 44% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78577
- Home prices YoY
- -8.1%
- Active inventory
- 541
- Price-to-rent
- 15.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,200 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,719
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,222 /mo · $14,669/yr
- Insurance
- −$216
- HOA
- −$42
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,352
- Net cashflow
- $4,649
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 2 | $11,200 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $2,800 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $2,800 |
| #3 | 3 | 2 | $2,800 |
| #4 | 3 | 2 | $2,800 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,200 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,942 | -5% $4,795 | +0% $4,649 | +5% $4,502 | +10% $4,355 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,764 | -5% $4,206 | +0% $4,649 | +5% $5,091 | +10% $5,533 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,910 | -0.5pp $4,780 | base $4,649 | +0.5pp $4,514 | +1.0pp $4,377 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $129,625
- Closing costs
- $15,555
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4710 N Ebony St Pharr, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4160 | $2,800 | $0.67 | 93d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3671 N Mezcal Dr Unit 3 Pharr, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4250 | $1,275 | $0.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4904 N Crown Pt Unit 1 Pharr, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3944 | $1,100 | $0.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 303 S Ridge Ln Unit 1 San Juan, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4154 | $1,000 | $0.24 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 705 W Bronze Dr Unit 1 Pharr, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3640 | $900 | $0.25 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 705 W Bronze Dr Unit 2 Pharr, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3640 | $900 | $0.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 100 Lauryn Dr Unit 3 San Juan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4032 | $1,350 | $0.33 | 70d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 807 W Emerald Dr Unit D Pharr, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3422 | $835 | $0.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail $42/mo · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $518,500 Active 716 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $518,500 Active 715 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $518,500 Active 714 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $518,500 Active 713 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $518,500 Active 712 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $518,500 Active 711 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $518,500 Active 708 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $518,500 Active 706 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $518,500 Active 704 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $518,500 Active 702 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $518,500 Active 700 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $518,500 Active 699 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $518,500 Active 698 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $518,500 Active 695 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $518,500 Active 693 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $518,500 Active 692 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $518,500 Active 691 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $518,500 Active 690 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $518,500 Active 689 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $518,500 Active 688 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $518,500 Active 687 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $518,500 Active 686 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $518,500 Active 684 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $518,500 Active 683 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $518,500 Active 682 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $518,500 Active 681 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $518,500 Active 680 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $518,500 Active 679 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $518,500 Active 678 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $518,500 Active 677 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $518,500 Active 676 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $518,500 Active 675 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $518,500 Active 674 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $518,500 Active 673 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $518,500 Active 671 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $518,500 Active 669 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $518,500 Active 668 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $518,500 Active 665 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $518,500 Active 664 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $518,500 Active 663 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $518,500 Active 662 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $518,500 Active 660 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $518,500 Active 659 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $518,500 Active 657 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $518,500 Active 656 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $518,500 Active 655 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $518,500 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $518,500 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $518,500 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $518,500 Active 648 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $14,669 · $1,222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,669 · $1,222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $134,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,044
- − Property taxes
- −$14,669
- − Insurance
- −$2,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,752
- − Management
- −$10,752
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$15,084
- Taxable income
- $51,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$12,241
- After-tax cash flow
- $43,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The property is in good condition with a neutral color scheme and tiled flooring. It has a good roof and exterior, and the kitchen and bathrooms appear to be in good condition. The property is located in a gated community, which adds to its appeal. Upgrading the exterior and HVAC system would significantly increase its value.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior walls and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, which can attract more tenants and buyers. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,757
- Composite
- 19.63/100
- National rank
- #8744
- State rank
- #740 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pharr
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #5852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pharr, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 955,232 people
- City population
- 80,540
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,540
- Household income
- $52,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 45% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 92%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 81%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.00%
- Current HPI
- 261.1606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-0.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $518,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-11-04 Rental Removed $1,100 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-05 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-08-22 Listed $519,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2017-09-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+20.7%/yrLatest (2025): $14,669 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…