🌊 Lakefront
29 N 12th St · Newark, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nicely updated home with lots of living space. First floor laundry, Large eat in kitchen, hard wood floors, nice backyard on dead end street. There have been several updates since this property was listed. Windows and flooring upgraded. New photos coming soon
Key facts
- Great location
- Dead end street
- Two covered porches
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1910; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Block and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Has basement; Approximately 1690 building area (per listing source)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.2% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#493 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Newark City (suburban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #431 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $120k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.00%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $233,220
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 N 10th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,682 (-0%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $146 | 73 |
| 517 W Main St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,816 (+8%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $138 | 70 |
| 30 Neal Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,760 (+4%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 72 N 7th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,736 (+3%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $63 | 65 |
| 606 W Main St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,862 (+10%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $59 | 64 |
| 59 Jefferson St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,756 (+4%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $111 | 61 |
| 623 W Main St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,854 (+10%) | 5mo | $99,900 | $54 | 60 |
| 655 W Main St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-11%) | 0mo | $106,000 | $70 | 56 |
| 149 Maholm St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,916 (+13%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 265 W Church St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 6mo | $231,000 | $120 | 48 |
| 207 Buckingham St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,834 (+8%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $169 | 47 |
| 148 N 21st St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,447 (-14%) | 1mo | $269,900 | $187 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,706
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $16,273
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43055
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,113/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $342 | +0% $308 | +5% $274 | +10% $240 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $200 | -5% $254 | +0% $308 | +5% $362 | +10% $416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $368 | -0.5pp $338 | base $308 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $245 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Wilson St Newark, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 55 N Fulton Ave Newark, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1616 | $1,525 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 73 N 9th St Unit 73 Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $950 | $0.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8 N 8th St Unit 2 Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 33 Jefferson St Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 374 Seroco Ave Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 71 W Locust St Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1371 | $1,225 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 63 N 4th St Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 63 N 4th St Unit 302 Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 86 Wilwood Ave Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1205 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 150 N 1st St Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1467 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 39 Charles St Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,649 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 27 N Buena Vista St Newark, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18status $119,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16$119,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,113 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,492 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$379/yr (+$32/mo · 34.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,113
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,853
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$445
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,247/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newark City
- NCES district ID
- 3904445
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,662
- Composite
- 43.33/100
- National rank
- #3034
- State rank
- #431 of 656 in OH
Livability — Newark
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #493
- US rank
- #8263
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newark, OH
- County
- Licking County · 109,194 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,281
- Household income
- $63,974
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2269.0
Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,210 people
- By 2030
- 180,917 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 183,885 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 182,985 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 178,377 · +0.1%
- By 2100
- 161,075 · -9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Licking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.54%
- Current HPI
- 247.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.63%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+71.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $119,900 CBRMLS
- 2018-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CBRMLS
- 2018-09-13 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2018-08-12 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2018-07-31 Price Changed $66,900 CBRMLS
- 2018-07-06 Listed $69,900 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,113 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…