Fourplex
540 Vista Ct · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$1,100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Downtown income property! Huge penthouse manager/owners unit, with beamed ceiling, sunroom, and a large, south facing rooftop deck. Has a 5 car garage & ample storage for all tenants. Laundry room on site w room to add more W/D. Has an enclosed backyard with southern exposure.
Key facts
- Laundry room on site
- Enclosed backyard
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $597/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $1.10M).
- Recommended offer: $1.00M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,387/mo this rent would consume 210% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 889% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.00M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.30%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,105,776
- List price
- $1,100,000
- Delta
- -0.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $840
- Equity at exit
- $164,014
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $312,389
- Equity at exit
- $95,108
Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99501
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 29.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,387 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,769
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,172 /mo · $14,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,601
- Net cashflow
- $2,387
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | — | $12,388 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $3,097 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $3,097 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $3,097 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $3,097 |
| Total (4 units) | $12,387 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $275,000
- Closing costs
- $33,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-18days on market $1,100,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $1,100,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $1,100,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,100,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $1,100,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,100,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,100,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,100,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,100,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $1,100,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,100,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $1,100,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $1,100,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $1,100,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $1,100,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-02-28$1,100,000 Active 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Downtown income property! Huge penthouse manager/owners unit, with beamed ceiling, sunroom, and a large, south facing rooftop deck. Has a 5 car garage & ample storage for all tenants. Laundry room on site w room to add more W/D. Has an enclosed backyard with southern exposure.
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2024-06-07historical $975
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2024-05-31$975
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2023-08-15historical
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2007-07-24soldstatus
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1989-08-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $14,059 · $1,172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,059 · $1,172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $148,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,617
- − Property taxes
- −$14,059
- − Insurance
- −$5,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,892
- − Management
- −$11,892
- − Depreciation
- −$32,000
- Taxable income
- $11,684
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,804
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,175
- Household income
- $70,891
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 889.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 9% Black 9% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.72%
- Current HPI
- 251.948
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.12%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-28 Listed $1,100,000 AKMLS
- 2024-06-07 Rental Removed $975 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-31 Listed for Rent $975 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-15 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2007-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $14,059 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…