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11216 Carlingford Rd
B- Composite 65.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$369,900

11216 Carlingford Rd · Fort Myers, FL 33913
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,433 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 2019 7,792 sqft lot Est $411k · 10% under $459/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Seller is offering $1,000 in concessions with a strong offer! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home with a den, located in the highly desirable Bridgetown at The Plantation in Fort Myers. This residence features a thoughtfully designed open-concept floor plan ideal for both comfortable everyday living and entertaining. The versatile den offers the perfect flex space for a home office, guest room, or hobby area. The light-filled kitchen opens seamlessly to the living and dining areas, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet and a private en-suite bath, while the secondary bedroom and full bath provide

Key facts

  • Versatile den
  • Light-filled kitchen
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANVERSATILE DENLIGHT-FILLED KITCHENWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is in a community development district; Zoning: MDP-3; Lot is a regular lot with architectural and no-commercial/RV restrictions
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (professional management); Quarterly HOA fee; HOA covers cable, internet/WiFi access, manager, exterior pest control, recreation facilities, reserves, street lights and street maintenance; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool and spa, exercise/fitness center (attended), tennis, pickleball, bocce, BBQ/picnic area and sidewalks; Gated community; Total annual recurring HOA fees listed; Total one-time HOA fees listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Residential single-family home; 1 story / ranch; Rear exposure facing south; Located in The Plantation / Bridgetown community
  • Construction: Built in 2019; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Casement, single-hung and sliding windows
  • Exterior features: Patio; Screened lanai/porch; Preserve view; Reclaimed irrigation; Shutters (manual); Gated community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (split bedroom floor plan)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with dual sinks and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smoke detectors; Dining area open to living room; Den / study; Guest bath; Guest room; Home office; Screened lanai/porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $370k).
  • Recommended offer: $337k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in FL, #383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 811 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,649/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($110k/yr) (locally 276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $336,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.69%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$411,271
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11253 Carlingford Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,574 (+10%) 22mo $452,000 $287 56
10610 Camarelle Cir 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,278 (-11%) 2mo $316,000 $247 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-23,882
Equity at exit
$55,153
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-4,777
Equity at exit
$31,982

Cash invested: $103,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33913

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
811
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,649 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax from tax record
$370 /mo · $4,443/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$459
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$976
Net cashflow
$750

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,700
Max offer price $369,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $959 -5% $854 +0% $750 +5% $645 +10% $540
Rent -10% $382 -5% $566 +0% $750 +5% $933 +10% $1,117
Rate -1.0pp $936 -0.5pp $844 base $750 +0.5pp $654 +1.0pp $556

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,475
Closing costs
$11,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10791 Palazzo Way #301 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $5,300 $3.81 24d 1 0.02mi
10820 Palazzo Way #203 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1235 $5,400 $4.37 24d 1 0.11mi
10751 Palazzo Way #103 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1235 $5,000 $4.05 24d 1 0.12mi
10711 Palazzo Way Unit 203 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1257 $5,300 $4.22 22d 1 0.17mi
10711 Palazzo Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1257 $3,900 $3.10 16d 2 0.17mi
10700 Palazzo Way #201 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $5,000 $3.60 22d 1 0.23mi
11230 Suffield St Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1560 $8,500 $5.45 24d 1 0.25mi
10529 Casella Way #102 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $4,500 $2.61 24d 1 0.31mi
11343 Tiverton Trce Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1685 $4,000 $2.37 4d 1 0.32mi
10520 Casella Way #101 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $7,000 $4.07 24d 1 0.35mi
10602 Camarelle Cir Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1690 $5,500 $3.25 24d 1 0.56mi
11701 Avingston Ter Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1553 $5,500 $3.54 15d 1 0.58mi
10535 Carolina Willow Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1290 $2,300 $1.78 22d 1 0.61mi
10879 Rutherford Rd Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1566 $3,500 $2.23 24d 1 0.69mi
10730 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $6,900 $4.43 24d 1 0.70mi
10518 Avila Cir Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1466 $6,500 $4.43 24d 1 0.71mi
10518 Avila Cir Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1466 $6,500 $4.43 4d 1 0.71mi
10714 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $5,500 $4.48 24d 1 0.72mi
10702 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1347 $5,500 $4.08 24d 1 0.73mi
10700 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $3,500 $2.85 24d 1 0.74mi
11075 Lancewood St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,300 $1.46 24d 1 0.81mi
11075 Lancewood St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,300 $1.46 16d 1 0.81mi
10111 Colonial Country Club Blvd #2308 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1309 $2,000 $1.53 12d 1 0.83mi
10280 Crepe Jasmine Ln Unit 1546286P Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1571 $4,526 $2.88 16d 1 0.83mi
10514 Bella Vista Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1823 $6,500 $3.57 24d 1 0.86mi
10428 Materita Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1568 $6,250 $3.99 24d 1 0.87mi
10112 Colonial Country Club Blvd #209 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1530 $5,000 $3.27 24d 1 0.88mi
10121 Colonial Country Club Blvd #1802 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1530 $4,800 $3.14 4d 1 0.88mi
11033 Mill Creek Way #202 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1379 $5,400 $3.92 24d 1 0.90mi
11041 Iron Horse Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1692 $4,000 $2.36 24d 1 0.92mi
10020 Horse Creek Rd Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1692 $2,500 $1.48 24d 1 0.93mi
10952 Clarendon St Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1582 $4,000 $2.53 24d 1 0.94mi
11029 Mill Creek Way #405 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1749 $2,500 $1.43 24d 1 0.96mi
10128 Colonial Country Club Blvd #602 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1530 $4,600 $3.01 24d 1 0.97mi
10130 Colonial Country Club Blvd #707 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1116 $4,900 $4.39 24d 1 0.99mi
10908 Clarendon St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1433 $8,000 $5.58 15d 1 1.01mi
10908 Clarendon St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1433 $8,000 $5.58 24d 1 1.01mi
9918 Horse Creek Rd Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1510 $2,200 $1.46 24d 1 1.01mi
10900 Glenhurst St Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,200 $1.62 3d 1 1.03mi
12020 Champions Green Way #112 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $2,000 $1.89 12d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$459 · $5,508/yr

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $369,900 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $369,900 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $369,900 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $369,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,900 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,900 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,900 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-05-13
    price $369,900
  13. 2026-04-01
    price $370,000
  14. 2026-03-16
    listed $395,000 Active
  15. 2025-07-12
    historical
  16. 2025-05-19
    price $448,999
  17. 2025-03-18
    listed $449,999 Active
  18. 2024-12-04
    historical $2,995
  19. 2024-12-03
    historical
  20. 2024-11-05
    price $2,995
  21. 2024-11-02
    listed $3,000
  22. 2024-07-13
    historical $3,000
  23. 2024-06-05
    listed $3,000
  24. 2024-04-02
    price $469,999
  25. 2024-03-04
    listed $474,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,443 · $370/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,443 · $370/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,791
− Mortgage interest
−$20,720
− Property taxes
−$4,443
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,463
− Management
−$4,463
− HOA
−$5,508
− Depreciation
−$10,761
Taxable income
$3,583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$860
After-tax cash flow
$8,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Myers

Score
86/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
278,598
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,538
Household income
$110,373
Rent vs Own
9.5% rent · 90.5% own
Severe rent burden
276.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.45%
Current HPI
221.7115
Rent YoY
▲ 0.37%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $369,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $370,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $395,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-07-12 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $448,999 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $449,999 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Rental Removed $2,995 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-12-03 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Price Changed $2,995 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-11-02 Listed for Rent $3,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-07-13 Rental Removed $3,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-06-05 Listed for Rent $3,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-04-02 Price Changed $469,999 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-03-04 Listed $474,999 NAPLESMLS

Property tax history

+26.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,443 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…