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1421 E Ann Arbor Ave
B+ Composite 77.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

1421 E Ann Arbor Ave · Dallas, TX 75216
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1935 9,627 sqft lot Est $163k · 33% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. Investment property. CASH ONLY. Detached workshop. Large yard. .22 acres. View property before making offer. NO BLIND OFFERS. NO OPTION PERIOD. No survey.

Key facts

  • Detached workshop
  • Large yard
  • View property

Tags

DETACHED WORKSHOPLARGE YARDVIEW PROPERTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John W Runyon El (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 434 students, 93% FRL); Boude Storey Middle (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,177 of 1,662 statewide, top 72%, 445 students, 98% FRL); South Oak Cliff H S (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,522 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,513 students, 94% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,743/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2465% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,009 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
11.22%
Cash-on-cash
17.60%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1823 Atlas Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 868 (-4%) 5mo $90,000 $104 67
1318 Waweenoc Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 789 (-12%) 8mo $199,900 $253 65
1202 Waweenoc Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+7%) 11mo $249,900 $260 64
3512 S Ewing Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 867 (-4%) 1mo $125,000 $144 60
1526 Grinnell St 0.30mi 2/1.0 1,016 (+13%) 12mo $119,000 $117 54
4815 Bartlett Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 914 (+2%) 17mo $158,000 $173 49
4516 Idaho Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 967 (+7%) 10mo $159,000 $164 48
1502 Montague Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,029 (+14%) 2mo $259,000 $252 48
1543 Garza Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,024 (+14%) 9mo $190,000 $186 44
4727 S Denley Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 816 (-9%) 8mo $198,000 $243 44
4731 Bartlett Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,012 (+12%) 11mo $125,000 $124 37
3551 Utah Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,023 (+14%) 19mo $185,000 $181 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$13,200
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$57,990
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75216

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,743 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,637/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,171
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $514 -5% $483 +0% $451 +5% $420 +10% $389
Rent -10% $314 -5% $383 +0% $451 +5% $520 +10% $589
Rate -1.0pp $507 -0.5pp $479 base $451 +0.5pp $423 +1.0pp $394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1214 Adelaide Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,350 $2.26 9d 1 0.50mi
1334 Marfa Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,475 $1.34 45d 1 0.50mi
4417 S Lancaster Rd Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $1,595 $1.82 4d 1 0.58mi
1618 Marfa Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 45d 1 0.64mi
4934 Kildare Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,595 $1.43 25d 1 0.75mi
3608 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 907 $1,400 $1.54 45d 1 0.79mi
1435 Whispering Trl Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1047 $1,660 $1.59 9d 1 1.08mi
1754 E Red Bird Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 1.5 1115 $1,675 $1.50 9d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,900 Pending 104 DOM
  2. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-17
    status Active
  4. 2026-02-18
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-09
    price $109,900
  6. 2025-12-31
    price $110,000
  7. 2025-12-06
    price $114,900
  8. 2025-11-21
    price $118,500
  9. 2025-11-07
    listed $130,000 Active
  10. 2024-03-29
    historical
  11. 2024-01-30
    listed $155,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,637 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,637 · $303/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,911
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$3,637
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,673
− Management
−$1,673
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$4,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$966
After-tax cash flow
$4,451/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
55,894
Household income
$41,386
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
2465.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (51%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 14% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.35%
Current HPI
299.1825
Rent YoY
▲ 4.20%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-02-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $109,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $114,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $118,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-01-30 Listed $155,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,637 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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