3081 E Mayaguana Ln · Seminole Manor, FL
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just Reduced !!! Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home built in 2022 , occupied in 2023. Large kitchen with huge center island and seating. New Samsung Refrigerator . Laminate flooring thru out the home. Open floor plan with high ceilings. Spacious Master Suite with Private bathroom. Large side yard with Storage Unit, plus fruit trees including Banana , Star Fruit , Papaya. All age community which is gated , offering a Clubhouse, 2 Pools, Playground, Fitness , lake .
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Open floor plan
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (restrictions on number and size)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $980 fee (includes common areas, recreation facilities, and taxes); Community amenities: Clubhouse, Fitness Center, Gated community, Playground
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; 110V and 220V electrical service
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.19 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#711 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.97%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $7,971
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $47,872
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33462
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,522 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$980
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $2,200 | $2.78 | 14d | 2 | 0.24mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 6175 Reflections Blvd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $2,307 | $2.83 | 1d | 15 | 0.36mi |
| 2780 Norfolk Pine Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5981 Via Vermilya #203 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,975 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6511 Seminole Dr Unit 2 Atlantis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $2,150 | $2.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3327 Sapphire Rd Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1377 | $3,400 | $2.47 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3327 Sapphire Rd Lake Worth, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1377 | $3,350 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 580 Tallulah Rd Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3883 Island Club Cir W Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1308 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 423 Pine Tree Ct #23 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,300 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 712 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,400 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6411 Birch Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,895 | $2.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1120 Meadows Cir Unit 1120 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,980 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1205 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,900 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 316 Meadows Cir #316 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 88 Buxton Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $3,100 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 58 Paxford Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $900 | $0.73 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7093 Middlebury Dr Unit 7093 Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $3,000 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6040 Lace Wood Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,799 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5 Heather Trace Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $3,100 | $2.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6 Hammond Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $3,160 | $2.24 | 10d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3901 Medford Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1374 | $2,650 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3901 Medford Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1374 | $2,650 | $1.93 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $3,119 | $3.04 | 2d | 18 | 1.36mi |
| 4938 Serafica Dr Unit 14 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3195 Mcsherry Dr Unit 3195 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $2,300 | $2.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2640 South Dr Unit 301 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2640 South Dr Unit 301 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9 Walcott Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,550 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,861 | $2.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $980 · $11,760/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $99,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-04-19status Pending
-
2026-03-26price $105,000
-
2026-03-16price $115,000
-
2026-02-23$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$1,492
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,421
- − Management
- −$2,421
- − HOA
- −$11,760
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $3,199
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$768
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Seminole Manor
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #711
- US rank
- #15076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,371
- Household income
- $73,997
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1852.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.48%
- Current HPI
- 361.5391
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-16.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — MCRTC
- 2026-04-19 Pending — MCRTC
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $105,000 MCRTC
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $115,000 MCRTC
- 2026-02-23 Listed $125,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…