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4662 W isabella Rd
B+ Composite 77.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,000

4662 W isabella Rd · Coleman, MI 48883
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 1968 1.00 ac lot $67/sqft · 41% below area Est $109k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is livable but will need septic work and will need a new roof in the near future The starts of a pole barn frame. Property is as is where is cash or conventional financing NO RENTAL NO LAND CONTRACT Appliances are NOT included

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1968
  • Listed 94 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#525 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Bullock Creek School District (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 540 in MI (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 320 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Midland County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $58,240 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.50%
Cash-on-cash
22.15%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,066
List price
$64,000
Delta
-41.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$10,709
Equity at exit
$9,543
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$36,495
Equity at exit
$5,534

Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48883

Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$336
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $856/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$331

Break-even live

Break-even rent $549
Max offer price $64,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,000
Closing costs
$1,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,000 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,000 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,000 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,000 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,000 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,000 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-03-16
    listed $64,000 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Home is livable but will need septic work and will need a new roof in the near future The starts of a pole barn frame. Property is as is where is cash or conventional financing NO RENTAL NO LAND CONTRACT Appliances are NOT included

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$856 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$921 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$65/yr (+$5/mo · 7.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,612
− Mortgage interest
−$3,585
− Property taxes
−$856
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$929
− Management
−$929
− Depreciation
−$1,862
Taxable income
$3,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$751
After-tax cash flow
$3,218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullock Creek School District
NCES district ID
2607320
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,984
Composite
39.68/100
National rank
#3907
State rank
#132 of 540 in MI

Livability — Coleman

Score
63/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#15768

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,755

Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,968 people
By 2030
83,368 · -0.7%
By 2040
80,713 · -3.9%
By 2050
76,698 · -8.7%
By 2075
67,617 · -19.5%
By 2100
57,529 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Midland

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.6% · R 56.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+14.6 2016: R+19.4 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.65%
Current HPI
178.4528
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $856 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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