127 Canaan Bldg 82 Ct #28 · Stratford, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ideal opportunity, move in condition 2 bedroom coop! Heat, hot water, taxes are included in the common charges. Cash only, minimum approximate credit score 650, and $4,000.00 per month income.
Key facts
- $756 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1943
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $56k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#56 in CT, #3,523 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: commute F.
- Stratford School District (urban): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #122 of 153 in CT (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent; built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.01%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,262
- List price
- $56,000
- Delta
- -10.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $3,908
- Equity at exit
- $8,350
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $21,479
- Equity at exit
- $4,842
Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06614
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,695 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$294
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$756
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,000
- Closing costs
- $1,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 Henry Ave Unit 12E Stratford, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,695 | $2.45 | 10d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 250 N Bishop Ave #19 Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $1,650 | $2.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 250 N Bishop Ave Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 611 | $1,425 | $2.33 | 23d | 2 | 0.22mi |
| 250 N Bishop Ave #1 Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $1,650 | $2.83 | 11d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 86 Birdsey St Unit 3R Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,350 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 192 Peace St Unit 1st floor Stratford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $2,000 | $2.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 600 Bond St Unit 112 Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $2,250 | $4.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 556 Hollister St Stratford, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,295 | $3.17 | 11d | 4 | 0.82mi |
| 1150 Ogden Street Ext Unit 102 Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,425 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1525 Central Ave Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,550 | $2.48 | 43d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 231 Goddard Ave Unit 3RD Bridgeport, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $1,700 | $2.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 145 Cowles St Unit B7 Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,325 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1254 Pembroke St Unit 1st Floor Bridgeport, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,850 | $2.51 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 186 Louisiana Ave Unit D Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,700 | $2.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 498 Sherwood Pl Stratford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $2,622 | $2.66 | 21d | 5 | 1.37mi |
| 154 Virginia Ave Unit B Bridgeport, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,800 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 647 Union Ave Unit 2 Bridgeport, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,675 | $2.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1111 Stratford Ave Stratford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 809 | $2,750 | $3.40 | 43d | 7 | 1.42mi |
| 3699 Broadbridge Ave #101 Stratford, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,700 | $2.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3699 Broadbridge Ave #101 Stratford, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,700 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1333 E Main St Apt 1 Bridgeport, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1333 E Main St #5 Bridgeport, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $756 · $9,072/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-18days on market $56,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $56,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $56,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $56,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $56,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $56,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $56,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $56,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $56,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $56,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $56,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $56,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $56,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $56,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-02-09$56,000 Active 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Ideal opportunity, move in condition 2 bedroom coop! Heat, hot water, taxes are included in the common charges. Cash only, minimum approximate credit score 650, and $4,000.00 per month income.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,137
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,627
- − Management
- −$1,627
- − HOA
- −$9,072
- − Depreciation
- −$1,629
- Taxable income
- $2,129
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$511
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
The property is in fair condition with moderate repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrading the interior and exterior, replacing worn flooring, and updating appliances and furniture can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior paint — Paint appears faded and needs repainting.
- Major Interior paint — Paint appears faded and needs repainting.
- Major Flooring — Carpeted floors appear worn and need replacement or cleaning.
- Major Kitchen appliances — Appliances appear used and may need replacement.
- Major Living room furniture — Furniture appears outdated and may need replacement or updating.
- Major Landscaping — No visible landscaping or curb appeal features, needs improvement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating interior and exterior — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the home's appearance and appeal.
- Both Replacing worn flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's value and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Updating living room furniture — Fresh, modern furniture can make the living room more inviting and appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior paint · Paint appears faded and needs repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior paint · Paint appears faded and needs repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Carpeted floors appear worn and need replacement or cleaning. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen appliances · Appliances appear used and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Living room furniture · Furniture appears outdated and may need replacement or updating. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · No visible landscaping or curb appeal features, needs improvement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating interior and exterior — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the home's appearance and appeal. ↑
- Both Replacing worn flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's value and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Updating living room furniture — Fresh, modern furniture can make the living room more inviting and appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stratford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904440
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,912
- Composite
- 27.85/100
- National rank
- #6877
- State rank
- #122 of 153 in CT
Livability — Stratford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #56
- US rank
- #3523
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 17,136
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,538
Population outlook (Greater Bridgeport County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 365,581
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Greater Bridgeport
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.3) · D 60.9% · R 37.6% · Other 1.5%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.74%
- Current HPI
- 206.0128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $56,000 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…